Cagliari Calcio v US Lecce
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Football·Serie A· 2026-09-06 · 18:30

Cagliari Calcio v US Lecce

Recommended bet
Under 3.5 goals
Total goals
De-vigged fair price from the marketLow
Win probability75%
Implied (with margin)75%
Model edge
Odds1.32 1/3
All markets
Model-only estimates · 148 markets
Match winnerProbOddsEdge
Double chance — Cagliari Calcio or Draw71%
Double chance — Cagliari Calcio or US Lecce70%
Draw no bet — Cagliari Calcio59%
Double chance — US Lecce or Draw59%
Cagliari Calcio to win42%
Draw no bet — US Lecce41%
Draw30%
US Lecce to win29%
GoalsProbOddsEdge
Under 5.5 goals96%
Over 0.5 goals90%
Under 4.5 goals89%
Under 3.5 goals76%
Over 1.5 goals73%
Under 2.5 goals54%
BTTS — Yes52%
Goals range — 2-3 goals49%
BTTS — No48%
Over 2.5 goals46%
BTTS Yes + Over 2.538%
Under 1.5 goals27%
Goals range — 0-1 goals27%
Over 3.5 goals25%
Goals range — 4-6 goals23%
BTTS Yes + Under 2.514%
Over 4.5 goals11%
Under 0.5 goals10%
Over 5.5 goals4%
Goals range — 7+ goals2%
Score & marginProbOddsEdge
US Lecce to score 137%
Cagliari Calcio to score 135%
US Lecce to score 033%
Cagliari Calcio clean sheet33%
Both score no draw32%
Winning margin — Draw30%
Cagliari Calcio to score 025%
US Lecce clean sheet25%
Cagliari Calcio to score 224%
Cagliari Calcio win to nil23%
Winning margin — Cagliari Calcio by 121%
US Lecce to score 221%
Winning margin — US Lecce by 117%
Cagliari Calcio to score 3+17%
US Lecce win to nil15%
Correct score 1-114%
Winning margin — Cagliari Calcio by 213%
US Lecce to score 3+10%
Correct score 0-010%
Correct score 1-010%
Correct score 2-19%
Winning margin — US Lecce by 28%
Correct score 2-08%
Correct score 0-17%
Correct score 1-27%
Winning margin — Cagliari Calcio by 35%
Correct score 0-25%
Correct score 2-25%
Correct score 3-14%
Winning margin — US Lecce by 33%
Winning margin — Cagliari Calcio by 42%
Winning margin — US Lecce by 41%
Winning margin — Cagliari Calcio by 5+1%
Winning margin — US Lecce by 5+0%
HalvesProbOddsEdge
1st Half Under 2.5 goals89%
1st Half Under 1.5 goals69%
1st Half Over 0.5 goals68%
Cagliari Calcio to win either half56%
US Lecce to win either half44%
1st Half result — Draw43%
Half with most goals — 2nd43%
1st Half result — Cagliari Calcio32%
1st Half Under 0.5 goals32%
1st Half Over 1.5 goals31%
Half with most goals — 1st31%
Half with most goals — Equal27%
HT/FT Cagliari Calcio / Cagliari Calcio26%
Cagliari Calcio to score in both halves25%
1st Half result — US Lecce24%
US Lecce to score in both halves18%
HT/FT US Lecce / US Lecce17%
HT/FT Draw / Draw17%
HT/FT Draw / Cagliari Calcio15%
Cagliari Calcio to win both halves11%
HT/FT Draw / US Lecce11%
1st Half Over 2.5 goals11%
US Lecce to win both halves6%
HT/FT US Lecce / Draw5%
HT/FT Cagliari Calcio / Draw5%
HT/FT US Lecce / Cagliari Calcio2%
HT/FT Cagliari Calcio / US Lecce2%
HandicapsProbOddsEdge
Handicap — Cagliari Calcio +2.596%
Handicap — US Lecce -2.592%
Handicap — Cagliari Calcio +1.588%
Handicap — US Lecce -1.580%
Handicap — Cagliari Calcio +0.571%
Handicap — US Lecce -0.559%
Handicap — Cagliari Calcio -0.542%
Handicap — US Lecce +0.529%
Handicap — Cagliari Calcio -1.521%
Handicap — US Lecce +1.512%
Handicap — Cagliari Calcio -2.58%
Handicap — US Lecce +2.54%
CardsProbOddsEdge
Under 6.5 cards89%
Under 5.5 cards79%
Over 2.5 cards76%
Under 4.5 cards64%
Over 3.5 cards56%
Under 3.5 cards44%
Most cards — US Lecce44%
Over 4.5 cards36%
Most cards — Cagliari Calcio36%
Under 2.5 cards24%
Over 5.5 cards21%
Most cards — Tie21%
Over 6.5 cards11%
Any red card10%
US Lecce expected cards2%
Cagliari Calcio expected cards2%
2+ red cards1%
CornersProbOddsEdge
Under 12.5 corners93%
Under 11.5 corners88%
Under 10.5 corners80%
Under 9.5 corners70%
Under 8.5 corners57%
Over 7.5 corners57%
Most corners — US Lecce49%
Under 7.5 corners43%
Over 8.5 corners43%
Most corners — Cagliari Calcio37%
Over 9.5 corners30%
Over 10.5 corners20%
Over 11.5 corners12%
Over 12.5 corners7%
US Lecce expected corners4%
Cagliari Calcio expected corners4%
FoulsProbOddsEdge
Over 19.5 fouls93%
Over 20.5 fouls90%
Over 21.5 fouls85%
Over 22.5 fouls80%
Over 23.5 fouls74%
Over 24.5 fouls67%
Most fouls — Cagliari Calcio51%
Most fouls — US Lecce42%
Under 24.5 fouls33%
Under 23.5 fouls26%
Under 22.5 fouls20%
Under 21.5 fouls15%
Under 20.5 fouls10%
Under 19.5 fouls7%