AS Roma v Atalanta BC
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Football·Serie A· 2026-09-06 · 18:30

AS Roma v Atalanta BC

Recommended bet
Under 3.5 goals
Total goals
De-vigged fair price from the marketLow
Win probability75%
Implied (with margin)75%
Model edge
Odds1.32 1/3
All markets
Model-only estimates · 148 markets
Match winnerProbOddsEdge
Double chance — AS Roma or Draw72%
Double chance — AS Roma or Atalanta BC70%
Draw no bet — AS Roma60%
Double chance — Atalanta BC or Draw58%
AS Roma to win42%
Draw no bet — Atalanta BC40%
Draw30%
Atalanta BC to win28%
GoalsProbOddsEdge
Under 5.5 goals96%
Over 0.5 goals90%
Under 4.5 goals89%
Under 3.5 goals76%
Over 1.5 goals73%
Under 2.5 goals54%
BTTS — Yes52%
Goals range — 2-3 goals49%
BTTS — No48%
Over 2.5 goals46%
BTTS Yes + Over 2.538%
Under 1.5 goals27%
Goals range — 0-1 goals27%
Over 3.5 goals25%
Goals range — 4-6 goals23%
BTTS Yes + Under 2.514%
Over 4.5 goals11%
Under 0.5 goals10%
Over 5.5 goals4%
Goals range — 7+ goals2%
Score & marginProbOddsEdge
Atalanta BC to score 137%
AS Roma to score 135%
Atalanta BC to score 033%
AS Roma clean sheet33%
Both score no draw32%
Winning margin — Draw30%
AS Roma to score 025%
Atalanta BC clean sheet25%
AS Roma to score 224%
AS Roma win to nil23%
Winning margin — AS Roma by 121%
Atalanta BC to score 220%
AS Roma to score 3+17%
Winning margin — Atalanta BC by 117%
Atalanta BC win to nil15%
Correct score 1-114%
Winning margin — AS Roma by 213%
Atalanta BC to score 3+10%
Correct score 0-010%
Correct score 1-010%
Correct score 2-19%
Winning margin — Atalanta BC by 28%
Correct score 2-08%
Correct score 0-17%
Correct score 1-27%
Winning margin — AS Roma by 35%
Correct score 0-25%
Correct score 2-25%
Correct score 3-14%
Winning margin — Atalanta BC by 33%
Winning margin — AS Roma by 42%
Winning margin — Atalanta BC by 41%
Winning margin — AS Roma by 5+1%
Winning margin — Atalanta BC by 5+0%
HalvesProbOddsEdge
1st Half Under 2.5 goals89%
1st Half Under 1.5 goals69%
1st Half Over 0.5 goals68%
AS Roma to win either half57%
Atalanta BC to win either half44%
1st Half result — Draw43%
Half with most goals — 2nd43%
1st Half result — AS Roma33%
1st Half Under 0.5 goals32%
1st Half Over 1.5 goals31%
Half with most goals — 1st31%
Half with most goals — Equal27%
HT/FT AS Roma / AS Roma26%
AS Roma to score in both halves25%
1st Half result — Atalanta BC24%
Atalanta BC to score in both halves18%
HT/FT Atalanta BC / Atalanta BC17%
HT/FT Draw / Draw17%
HT/FT Draw / AS Roma15%
AS Roma to win both halves12%
HT/FT Draw / Atalanta BC11%
1st Half Over 2.5 goals11%
Atalanta BC to win both halves6%
HT/FT Atalanta BC / Draw5%
HT/FT AS Roma / Draw5%
HT/FT Atalanta BC / AS Roma2%
HT/FT AS Roma / Atalanta BC2%
HandicapsProbOddsEdge
Handicap — AS Roma +2.596%
Handicap — Atalanta BC -2.592%
Handicap — AS Roma +1.588%
Handicap — Atalanta BC -1.579%
Handicap — AS Roma +0.572%
Handicap — Atalanta BC -0.558%
Handicap — AS Roma -0.542%
Handicap — Atalanta BC +0.528%
Handicap — AS Roma -1.521%
Handicap — Atalanta BC +1.512%
Handicap — AS Roma -2.58%
Handicap — Atalanta BC +2.54%
CardsProbOddsEdge
Under 6.5 cards93%
Under 5.5 cards85%
Under 4.5 cards71%
Over 2.5 cards70%
Under 3.5 cards52%
Over 3.5 cards48%
Most cards — Atalanta BC46%
Most cards — AS Roma32%
Under 2.5 cards31%
Over 4.5 cards29%
Most cards — Tie22%
Over 5.5 cards15%
Any red card12%
Over 6.5 cards7%
Atalanta BC expected cards2%
AS Roma expected cards2%
2+ red cards1%
CornersProbOddsEdge
Over 7.5 corners85%
Over 8.5 corners75%
Under 12.5 corners71%
Over 9.5 corners64%
Under 11.5 corners60%
Over 10.5 corners52%
Most corners — Atalanta BC50%
Under 10.5 corners48%
Over 11.5 corners40%
Most corners — AS Roma38%
Under 9.5 corners36%
Over 12.5 corners29%
Under 8.5 corners25%
Under 7.5 corners16%
Atalanta BC expected corners6%
AS Roma expected corners5%
FoulsProbOddsEdge
Over 19.5 fouls89%
Over 20.5 fouls85%
Over 21.5 fouls79%
Over 22.5 fouls73%
Over 23.5 fouls65%
Over 24.5 fouls58%
Most fouls — AS Roma54%
Under 24.5 fouls42%
Most fouls — Atalanta BC39%
Under 23.5 fouls35%
Under 22.5 fouls27%
Under 21.5 fouls21%
Under 20.5 fouls15%
Under 19.5 fouls11%