AS Roma v ACF Fiorentina
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Football·Serie A· 2026-08-23 · 18:30

AS Roma v ACF Fiorentina

Recommended bet
AS Roma or Draw
Double chance
De-vigged fair price from the marketLow
Win probability78%
Implied (with margin)78%
Model edge—
Odds1.29 2/7
All markets
Model-only estimates · 148 markets
Match winnerProbOddsEdge
Double chance — AS Roma or Draw78%——
Double chance — AS Roma or ACF Fiorentina71%——
Draw no bet — AS Roma69%——
Double chance — ACF Fiorentina or Draw51%——
AS Roma to win49%——
Draw no bet — ACF Fiorentina31%——
Draw29%——
ACF Fiorentina to win22%——
GoalsProbOddsEdge
Under 5.5 goals96%——
Over 0.5 goals90%——
Under 4.5 goals89%——
Under 3.5 goals76%——
Over 1.5 goals73%——
Under 2.5 goals54%——
BTTS — Yes50%——
BTTS — No50%——
Goals range — 2-3 goals49%——
Over 2.5 goals46%——
BTTS Yes + Over 2.537%——
Under 1.5 goals27%——
Goals range — 0-1 goals27%——
Over 3.5 goals25%——
Goals range — 4-6 goals23%——
BTTS Yes + Under 2.514%——
Over 4.5 goals11%——
Under 0.5 goals10%——
Over 5.5 goals4%——
Goals range — 7+ goals2%——
Score & marginProbOddsEdge
ACF Fiorentina to score 038%——
AS Roma clean sheet38%——
ACF Fiorentina to score 137%——
AS Roma to score 133%——
Both score no draw31%——
Winning margin — Draw29%——
AS Roma win to nil28%——
AS Roma to score 225%——
Winning margin — AS Roma by 123%——
AS Roma to score 022%——
ACF Fiorentina clean sheet22%——
AS Roma to score 3+20%——
ACF Fiorentina to score 218%——
Winning margin — AS Roma by 215%——
Winning margin — ACF Fiorentina by 114%——
Correct score 1-114%——
ACF Fiorentina win to nil12%——
Correct score 1-011%——
Correct score 0-010%——
Correct score 2-010%——
Correct score 2-19%——
ACF Fiorentina to score 3+8%——
Winning margin — AS Roma by 37%——
Correct score 0-16%——
Winning margin — ACF Fiorentina by 26%——
Correct score 1-26%——
Correct score 3-05%——
Correct score 3-15%——
Correct score 2-25%——
Winning margin — AS Roma by 43%——
Winning margin — ACF Fiorentina by 32%——
Winning margin — AS Roma by 5+1%——
Winning margin — ACF Fiorentina by 40%——
Winning margin — ACF Fiorentina by 5+0%——
HalvesProbOddsEdge
1st Half Under 2.5 goals89%——
1st Half Under 1.5 goals69%——
1st Half Over 0.5 goals68%——
AS Roma to win either half62%——
1st Half result — Draw43%——
Half with most goals — 2nd43%——
ACF Fiorentina to win either half38%——
1st Half result — AS Roma37%——
1st Half Under 0.5 goals32%——
1st Half Over 1.5 goals31%——
Half with most goals — 1st31%——
HT/FT AS Roma / AS Roma31%——
AS Roma to score in both halves29%——
Half with most goals — Equal27%——
1st Half result — ACF Fiorentina20%——
HT/FT Draw / AS Roma17%——
HT/FT Draw / Draw16%——
AS Roma to win both halves15%——
ACF Fiorentina to score in both halves15%——
HT/FT ACF Fiorentina / ACF Fiorentina13%——
1st Half Over 2.5 goals11%——
HT/FT Draw / ACF Fiorentina9%——
HT/FT ACF Fiorentina / Draw5%——
HT/FT AS Roma / Draw5%——
ACF Fiorentina to win both halves4%——
HT/FT ACF Fiorentina / AS Roma2%——
HT/FT AS Roma / ACF Fiorentina1%——
HandicapsProbOddsEdge
Handicap — AS Roma +2.598%——
Handicap — AS Roma +1.592%——
Handicap — ACF Fiorentina -2.589%——
Handicap — AS Roma +0.578%——
Handicap — ACF Fiorentina -1.574%——
Handicap — ACF Fiorentina -0.551%——
Handicap — AS Roma -0.549%——
Handicap — AS Roma -1.526%——
Handicap — ACF Fiorentina +0.522%——
Handicap — AS Roma -2.511%——
Handicap — ACF Fiorentina +1.58%——
Handicap — ACF Fiorentina +2.52%——
CardsProbOddsEdge
Under 6.5 cards86%——
Over 2.5 cards80%——
Under 5.5 cards75%——
Over 3.5 cards61%——
Under 4.5 cards58%——
Most cards — ACF Fiorentina50%——
Over 4.5 cards42%——
Under 3.5 cards39%——
Most cards — AS Roma31%——
Over 5.5 cards26%——
Under 2.5 cards20%——
Most cards — Tie20%——
Any red card15%——
Over 6.5 cards14%——
ACF Fiorentina expected cards2%——
AS Roma expected cards2%——
2+ red cards1%——
CornersProbOddsEdge
Under 12.5 corners83%——
Over 7.5 corners74%——
Under 11.5 corners74%——
Under 10.5 corners63%——
Over 8.5 corners62%——
Most corners — AS Roma53%——
Under 9.5 corners51%——
Over 9.5 corners49%——
Under 8.5 corners38%——
Over 10.5 corners37%——
Most corners — ACF Fiorentina35%——
Over 11.5 corners26%——
Under 7.5 corners26%——
Over 12.5 corners17%——
AS Roma expected corners5%——
ACF Fiorentina expected corners4%——
FoulsProbOddsEdge
Over 19.5 fouls92%——
Over 20.5 fouls89%——
Over 21.5 fouls84%——
Over 22.5 fouls79%——
Over 23.5 fouls73%——
Over 24.5 fouls66%——
Most fouls — AS Roma51%——
Most fouls — ACF Fiorentina41%——
Under 24.5 fouls35%——
Under 23.5 fouls28%——
Under 22.5 fouls21%——
Under 21.5 fouls16%——
Under 20.5 fouls11%——
Under 19.5 fouls8%——