AFC Ajax v AZ
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AFC Ajax v AZ
Recommended bet
Over 1.5 goals
Total goals
De-vigged fair price from the marketLow
Win probability90%
Implied (with margin)90%
Model edge—
Odds1.11 1/9
All markets
Model-only estimates · 108 markets
Match winnerProbOddsEdge
Double chance — AFC Ajax or AZ77%——
Double chance — AZ or Draw74%——
Draw no bet — AZ66%——
AZ to win51%——
Double chance — AFC Ajax or Draw49%——
Draw no bet — AFC Ajax34%——
AFC Ajax to win27%——
Draw23%——
GoalsProbOddsEdge
Over 0.5 goals97%——
Over 1.5 goals90%——
Under 5.5 goals82%——
Over 2.5 goals72%——
BTTS — Yes71%——
Under 4.5 goals68%——
BTTS Yes + Over 2.562%——
Over 3.5 goals52%——
Under 3.5 goals49%——
Goals range — 4-6 goals43%——
Goals range — 2-3 goals38%——
Over 4.5 goals32%——
BTTS — No29%——
Under 2.5 goals28%——
Over 5.5 goals18%——
Under 1.5 goals10%——
Goals range — 0-1 goals10%——
BTTS Yes + Under 2.59%——
Goals range — 7+ goals9%——
Under 0.5 goals3%——
Score & marginProbOddsEdge
Both score no draw52%——
AZ to score 3+37%——
AFC Ajax to score 133%——
AZ to score 227%——
AFC Ajax to score 226%——
AZ to score 125%——
Winning margin — Draw23%——
AFC Ajax to score 021%——
AZ clean sheet21%——
AFC Ajax to score 3+21%——
Winning margin — AZ by 120%——
AZ win to nil18%——
Winning margin — AZ by 216%——
Winning margin — AFC Ajax by 114%——
AZ to score 011%——
AFC Ajax clean sheet11%——
Correct score 1-19%——
Winning margin — AZ by 39%——
Correct score 1-29%——
Winning margin — AFC Ajax by 28%——
AFC Ajax win to nil8%——
Correct score 2-27%——
Correct score 1-36%——
Correct score 2-16%——
Correct score 0-26%——
Correct score 2-35%——
Winning margin — AZ by 44%——
Correct score 0-14%——
Correct score 0-34%——
Correct score 3-24%——
Winning margin — AFC Ajax by 33%——
Winning margin — AZ by 5+3%——
Winning margin — AFC Ajax by 41%——
Winning margin — AFC Ajax by 5+0%——
HalvesProbOddsEdge
1st Half Over 0.5 goals82%——
1st Half Under 2.5 goals76%——
AZ to win either half67%——
1st Half Over 1.5 goals50%——
1st Half Under 1.5 goals50%——
Half with most goals — 2nd47%——
AFC Ajax to win either half45%——
AZ to score in both halves44%——
1st Half result — AZ41%——
1st Half result — Draw34%——
HT/FT AZ / AZ33%——
Half with most goals — 1st32%——
AFC Ajax to score in both halves29%——
1st Half result — AFC Ajax25%——
1st Half Over 2.5 goals24%——
Half with most goals — Equal21%——
1st Half Under 0.5 goals19%——
AZ to win both halves18%——
HT/FT AFC Ajax / AFC Ajax16%——
HT/FT Draw / AZ15%——
HT/FT Draw / Draw10%——
HT/FT Draw / AFC Ajax9%——
AFC Ajax to win both halves7%——
HT/FT AZ / Draw5%——
HT/FT AFC Ajax / Draw5%——
HT/FT AFC Ajax / AZ4%——
HT/FT AZ / AFC Ajax3%——
HandicapsProbOddsEdge
Handicap — AZ -2.595%——
Handicap — AZ -1.587%——
Handicap — AFC Ajax +2.584%——
Handicap — AZ -0.574%——
Handicap — AFC Ajax +1.569%——
Handicap — AZ +0.551%——
Handicap — AFC Ajax +0.549%——
Handicap — AZ +1.531%——
Handicap — AFC Ajax -0.527%——
Handicap — AZ +2.516%——
Handicap — AFC Ajax -1.513%——
Handicap — AFC Ajax -2.55%——
GoalscorersProbOddsEdge
Anytime scorer — Ro-Zangelo Daal (AZ)42%——
Anytime scorer — Julian Brandt (AFC Ajax)36%——
Anytime scorer — Toluwalas Arokodare (AFC Ajax)36%——
Anytime scorer — Jizz Hornkamp (AZ)35%——
Anytime scorer — Mexx Meerdink (AZ)34%——
Anytime scorer — Davy Klaassen (AFC Ajax)29%——
Anytime scorer — Ayoub Oufkir (AZ)24%——