FC Groningen v AFC Ajax
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Football·Eredivisie· 2026-10-18 · 14:45

FC Groningen v AFC Ajax

Recommended bet
FC Groningen or AFC Ajax
Double chance
De-vigged fair price from the marketLow
Win probability78%
Implied (with margin)78%
Model edge
Odds1.28 2/7
All markets
Model-only estimates · 108 markets
Match winnerProbOddsEdge
Double chance — FC Groningen or AFC Ajax78%
Double chance — AFC Ajax or Draw75%
Draw no bet — AFC Ajax68%
AFC Ajax to win54%
Double chance — FC Groningen or Draw47%
Draw no bet — FC Groningen32%
FC Groningen to win25%
Draw22%
GoalsProbOddsEdge
Over 0.5 goals97%
Over 1.5 goals91%
Under 5.5 goals80%
Over 2.5 goals75%
BTTS — Yes73%
Under 4.5 goals65%
BTTS Yes + Over 2.564%
Over 3.5 goals55%
Under 3.5 goals45%
Goals range — 4-6 goals45%
Goals range — 2-3 goals36%
Over 4.5 goals35%
BTTS — No27%
Under 2.5 goals25%
Over 5.5 goals20%
Goals range — 7+ goals10%
Under 1.5 goals9%
Goals range — 0-1 goals9%
BTTS Yes + Under 2.58%
Under 0.5 goals3%
Score & marginProbOddsEdge
Both score no draw54%
AFC Ajax to score 3+41%
FC Groningen to score 133%
AFC Ajax to score 226%
FC Groningen to score 226%
AFC Ajax to score 123%
Winning margin — Draw22%
FC Groningen to score 3+21%
FC Groningen to score 021%
AFC Ajax clean sheet21%
Winning margin — AFC Ajax by 120%
AFC Ajax win to nil18%
Winning margin — AFC Ajax by 216%
Winning margin — FC Groningen by 113%
Winning margin — AFC Ajax by 310%
AFC Ajax to score 010%
FC Groningen clean sheet10%
Correct score 1-29%
Correct score 1-18%
Winning margin — FC Groningen by 27%
Correct score 2-27%
FC Groningen win to nil7%
Correct score 1-37%
Correct score 2-16%
Correct score 0-25%
Correct score 2-35%
Winning margin — AFC Ajax by 45%
Correct score 0-34%
Correct score 1-44%
Correct score 0-14%
Winning margin — FC Groningen by 33%
Winning margin — AFC Ajax by 5+3%
Winning margin — FC Groningen by 41%
Winning margin — FC Groningen by 5+0%
HalvesProbOddsEdge
1st Half Over 0.5 goals82%
1st Half Under 2.5 goals75%
AFC Ajax to win either half69%
1st Half Over 1.5 goals52%
1st Half Under 1.5 goals48%
Half with most goals — 2nd47%
AFC Ajax to score in both halves46%
FC Groningen to win either half44%
1st Half result — AFC Ajax43%
HT/FT AFC Ajax / AFC Ajax35%
1st Half result — Draw33%
Half with most goals — 1st32%
FC Groningen to score in both halves29%
1st Half Over 2.5 goals25%
1st Half result — FC Groningen24%
Half with most goals — Equal21%
AFC Ajax to win both halves20%
1st Half Under 0.5 goals18%
HT/FT FC Groningen / FC Groningen15%
HT/FT Draw / AFC Ajax15%
HT/FT Draw / Draw10%
HT/FT Draw / FC Groningen8%
FC Groningen to win both halves6%
HT/FT AFC Ajax / Draw5%
HT/FT FC Groningen / Draw5%
HT/FT FC Groningen / AFC Ajax4%
HT/FT AFC Ajax / FC Groningen2%
HandicapsProbOddsEdge
Handicap — AFC Ajax -2.596%
Handicap — AFC Ajax -1.588%
Handicap — FC Groningen +2.582%
Handicap — AFC Ajax -0.575%
Handicap — FC Groningen +1.566%
Handicap — AFC Ajax +0.554%
Handicap — FC Groningen +0.547%
Handicap — AFC Ajax +1.534%
Handicap — FC Groningen -0.525%
Handicap — AFC Ajax +2.518%
Handicap — FC Groningen -1.512%
Handicap — FC Groningen -2.55%
GoalscorersProbOddsEdge
Anytime scorer — Julian Brandt (AFC Ajax)41%
Anytime scorer — Davy Klaassen (AFC Ajax)41%
Anytime scorer — Brynjolfur Darri Willumsson (FC Groningen)40%
Anytime scorer — Thom van Bergen (FC Groningen)40%
Anytime scorer — Toluwalas Arokodare (AFC Ajax)29%
Anytime scorer — David van der Werff (FC Groningen)23%
Anytime scorer — Tygo Land (FC Groningen)23%