SBV Excelsior v FC Groningen
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Football·Eredivisie· 2026-10-11 · 14:45

SBV Excelsior v FC Groningen

Recommended bet
SBV Excelsior or FC Groningen
Double chance
De-vigged fair price from the marketLow
Win probability77%
Implied (with margin)77%
Model edge
Odds1.29 3/10
All markets
Model-only estimates · 106 markets
Match winnerProbOddsEdge
Double chance — SBV Excelsior or FC Groningen77%
Double chance — FC Groningen or Draw68%
Draw no bet — FC Groningen58%
Double chance — SBV Excelsior or Draw55%
FC Groningen to win45%
Draw no bet — SBV Excelsior42%
SBV Excelsior to win33%
Draw23%
GoalsProbOddsEdge
Over 0.5 goals97%
Over 1.5 goals91%
Under 5.5 goals80%
Over 2.5 goals75%
BTTS — Yes74%
BTTS Yes + Over 2.566%
Under 4.5 goals65%
Over 3.5 goals55%
Under 3.5 goals45%
Goals range — 4-6 goals45%
Goals range — 2-3 goals36%
Over 4.5 goals35%
BTTS — No26%
Under 2.5 goals25%
Over 5.5 goals20%
Goals range — 7+ goals10%
Under 1.5 goals9%
Goals range — 0-1 goals9%
BTTS Yes + Under 2.59%
Under 0.5 goals3%
Score & marginProbOddsEdge
Both score no draw55%
FC Groningen to score 3+35%
SBV Excelsior to score 130%
FC Groningen to score 227%
SBV Excelsior to score 227%
SBV Excelsior to score 3+27%
FC Groningen to score 126%
Winning margin — Draw23%
Winning margin — FC Groningen by 118%
SBV Excelsior to score 017%
FC Groningen clean sheet17%
Winning margin — SBV Excelsior by 115%
Winning margin — FC Groningen by 214%
FC Groningen win to nil14%
FC Groningen to score 012%
SBV Excelsior clean sheet12%
Winning margin — SBV Excelsior by 210%
SBV Excelsior win to nil9%
Correct score 1-19%
Correct score 1-28%
Winning margin — FC Groningen by 38%
Correct score 2-27%
Correct score 2-17%
Correct score 1-36%
Correct score 2-35%
Winning margin — SBV Excelsior by 35%
Correct score 0-25%
Correct score 3-24%
Correct score 3-14%
Winning margin — FC Groningen by 43%
Correct score 0-13%
Winning margin — FC Groningen by 5+2%
Winning margin — SBV Excelsior by 42%
Winning margin — SBV Excelsior by 5+1%
HalvesProbOddsEdge
1st Half Over 0.5 goals83%
1st Half Under 2.5 goals75%
FC Groningen to win either half62%
1st Half Over 1.5 goals52%
SBV Excelsior to win either half51%
1st Half Under 1.5 goals48%
Half with most goals — 2nd47%
FC Groningen to score in both halves42%
1st Half result — FC Groningen37%
SBV Excelsior to score in both halves34%
1st Half result — Draw33%
Half with most goals — 1st32%
1st Half result — SBV Excelsior29%
HT/FT FC Groningen / FC Groningen29%
1st Half Over 2.5 goals25%
Half with most goals — Equal21%
HT/FT SBV Excelsior / SBV Excelsior20%
1st Half Under 0.5 goals18%
FC Groningen to win both halves15%
HT/FT Draw / FC Groningen13%
HT/FT Draw / SBV Excelsior10%
HT/FT Draw / Draw10%
SBV Excelsior to win both halves9%
HT/FT FC Groningen / Draw6%
HT/FT SBV Excelsior / Draw6%
HT/FT SBV Excelsior / FC Groningen4%
HT/FT FC Groningen / SBV Excelsior3%
HandicapsProbOddsEdge
Handicap — FC Groningen -2.593%
Handicap — SBV Excelsior +2.587%
Handicap — FC Groningen -1.583%
Handicap — SBV Excelsior +1.574%
Handicap — FC Groningen -0.568%
Handicap — SBV Excelsior +0.555%
Handicap — FC Groningen +0.545%
Handicap — SBV Excelsior -0.533%
Handicap — FC Groningen +1.526%
Handicap — SBV Excelsior -1.517%
Handicap — FC Groningen +2.513%
Handicap — SBV Excelsior -2.57%
GoalscorersProbOddsEdge
Anytime scorer — David Garden (SBV Excelsior)55%
Anytime scorer — Brynjolfur Darri Willumsson (FC Groningen)46%
Anytime scorer — Irakli Yegoian (SBV Excelsior)41%
Anytime scorer — Thom van Bergen (FC Groningen)37%
Anytime scorer — David van der Werff (FC Groningen)27%