AFC Ajax v NEC
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AFC Ajax v NEC
Recommended bet
Over 2.5 goals
Total goals
Best price at Nordic BetLow
Win probability74%
Implied (with margin)76%
Model edge-2.7%
Odds1.31 3/10
All markets
Match winnerProbOddsEdge
Match Winner — NEC43%9.20—
Match Winner — AFC Ajax34%1.32—
Match Winner — Draw23%6.50—
GoalsProbOddsEdge
Over 2.5 goals74%1.31—
Over 3.5 goals54%1.82—
Under 3.5 goals46%2.06—
Under 2.5 goals26%3.40—
Over 3.75 goals—1.99—
Under 3.75 goals—1.84—
Model-only estimates · 107 markets
Match winnerProbOddsEdge
Double chance — AFC Ajax or NEC77%——
Double chance — NEC or Draw66%——
Double chance — AFC Ajax or Draw57%——
Draw no bet — NEC55%——
Draw no bet — AFC Ajax45%——
NEC to win43%——
AFC Ajax to win34%——
Draw23%——
GoalsProbOddsEdge
Over 0.5 goals97%——
Over 1.5 goals91%——
Under 5.5 goals81%——
Over 2.5 goals74%——
BTTS — Yes74%——
Under 4.5 goals65%——
BTTS Yes + Over 2.565%——
Over 3.5 goals54%——
Under 3.5 goals46%——
Goals range — 4-6 goals44%——
Goals range — 2-3 goals37%——
Over 4.5 goals35%——
BTTS — No26%——
Under 2.5 goals26%——
Over 5.5 goals20%——
Goals range — 7+ goals10%——
Under 1.5 goals9%——
Goals range — 0-1 goals9%——
BTTS Yes + Under 2.59%——
Under 0.5 goals3%——
Score & marginProbOddsEdge
Both score no draw54%——
NEC to score 3+34%——
AFC Ajax to score 129%——
AFC Ajax to score 3+28%——
NEC to score 227%——
AFC Ajax to score 227%——
NEC to score 127%——
Winning margin — Draw23%——
Winning margin — NEC by 118%——
Winning margin — AFC Ajax by 116%——
AFC Ajax to score 016%——
NEC clean sheet16%——
Winning margin — NEC by 213%——
NEC to score 013%——
AFC Ajax clean sheet13%——
NEC win to nil13%——
Winning margin — AFC Ajax by 211%——
AFC Ajax win to nil10%——
Correct score 1-19%——
Correct score 1-28%——
Correct score 2-27%——
Correct score 2-17%——
Winning margin — NEC by 37%——
Correct score 1-35%——
Winning margin — AFC Ajax by 35%——
Correct score 2-35%——
Correct score 3-24%——
Correct score 3-14%——
Correct score 0-24%——
Correct score 2-04%——
Winning margin — NEC by 43%——
Winning margin — AFC Ajax by 42%——
Winning margin — NEC by 5+2%——
Winning margin — AFC Ajax by 5+1%——
HalvesProbOddsEdge
1st Half Over 0.5 goals84%——
1st Half Under 2.5 goals73%——
NEC to win either half61%——
1st Half Over 1.5 goals54%——
AFC Ajax to win either half53%——
Half with most goals — 2nd48%——
1st Half Under 1.5 goals46%——
NEC to score in both halves42%——
AFC Ajax to score in both halves37%——
1st Half result — NEC36%——
1st Half result — Draw33%——
Half with most goals — 1st32%——
1st Half result — AFC Ajax31%——
HT/FT NEC / NEC28%——
1st Half Over 2.5 goals27%——
HT/FT AFC Ajax / AFC Ajax22%——
Half with most goals — Equal20%——
1st Half Under 0.5 goals16%——
NEC to win both halves14%——
HT/FT Draw / NEC13%——
HT/FT Draw / AFC Ajax11%——
AFC Ajax to win both halves10%——
HT/FT Draw / Draw10%——
HT/FT NEC / Draw6%——
HT/FT AFC Ajax / Draw6%——
HT/FT AFC Ajax / NEC4%——
HT/FT NEC / AFC Ajax3%——
HandicapsProbOddsEdge
Handicap — NEC -2.592%——
Handicap — AFC Ajax +2.588%——
Handicap — NEC -1.582%——
Handicap — AFC Ajax +1.575%——
Handicap — NEC -0.566%——
Handicap — AFC Ajax +0.557%——
Handicap — NEC +0.543%——
Handicap — AFC Ajax -0.534%——
Handicap — NEC +1.525%——
Handicap — AFC Ajax -1.518%——
Handicap — NEC +2.512%——
Handicap — AFC Ajax -2.58%——
GoalscorersProbOddsEdge
Anytime scorer — Julian Brandt (AFC Ajax)47%——
Anytime scorer — Davy Klaassen (AFC Ajax)38%——
Anytime scorer — Toluwalas Arokodare (AFC Ajax)38%——
Anytime scorer — Tjaronn Chery (NEC)35%——
Anytime scorer — Kaj Sierhuis (NEC)25%——
Anytime scorer — Adam Tahauia (NEC)25%——