AFC Ajax v SBV Excelsior
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AFC Ajax v SBV Excelsior
Recommended bet
AFC Ajax or Draw
Double chance
De-vigged fair price from the marketLow
Win probability82%
Implied (with margin)82%
Model edge—
Odds1.22 2/9
All markets
Model-only estimates · 101 markets
Match winnerProbOddsEdge
Double chance — AFC Ajax or Draw82%——
Draw no bet — AFC Ajax76%——
Double chance — AFC Ajax or SBV Excelsior73%——
AFC Ajax to win55%——
Double chance — SBV Excelsior or Draw45%——
Draw28%——
Draw no bet — SBV Excelsior25%——
SBV Excelsior to win18%——
GoalsProbOddsEdge
Under 5.5 goals96%——
Over 0.5 goals90%——
Under 4.5 goals89%——
Under 3.5 goals76%——
Over 1.5 goals73%——
Under 2.5 goals54%——
BTTS — No52%——
Goals range — 2-3 goals49%——
BTTS — Yes48%——
Over 2.5 goals46%——
BTTS Yes + Over 2.535%——
Under 1.5 goals27%——
Goals range — 0-1 goals27%——
Over 3.5 goals24%——
Goals range — 4-6 goals23%——
BTTS Yes + Under 2.513%——
Over 4.5 goals11%——
Under 0.5 goals10%——
Over 5.5 goals4%——
Goals range — 7+ goals1%——
Score & marginProbOddsEdge
SBV Excelsior to score 043%——
AFC Ajax clean sheet43%——
SBV Excelsior to score 136%——
AFC Ajax win to nil33%——
AFC Ajax to score 132%——
Both score no draw30%——
Winning margin — Draw28%——
AFC Ajax to score 226%——
Winning margin — AFC Ajax by 124%——
AFC Ajax to score 3+23%——
AFC Ajax to score 019%——
SBV Excelsior clean sheet19%——
Winning margin — AFC Ajax by 217%——
SBV Excelsior to score 216%——
Correct score 1-113%——
Correct score 1-012%——
Winning margin — SBV Excelsior by 112%——
Correct score 2-011%——
Correct score 0-010%——
Correct score 2-110%——
SBV Excelsior win to nil10%——
Winning margin — AFC Ajax by 39%——
Correct score 3-06%——
Correct score 0-16%——
SBV Excelsior to score 3+6%——
Correct score 3-15%——
Correct score 1-25%——
Winning margin — SBV Excelsior by 25%——
Correct score 2-24%——
Winning margin — AFC Ajax by 43%——
Winning margin — AFC Ajax by 5+1%——
Winning margin — SBV Excelsior by 31%——
Winning margin — SBV Excelsior by 40%——
Winning margin — SBV Excelsior by 5+0%——
HalvesProbOddsEdge
1st Half Under 2.5 goals90%——
1st Half Under 1.5 goals69%——
1st Half Over 0.5 goals68%——
AFC Ajax to win either half67%——
Half with most goals — 2nd43%——
1st Half result — Draw42%——
1st Half result — AFC Ajax40%——
HT/FT AFC Ajax / AFC Ajax35%——
1st Half Under 0.5 goals33%——
SBV Excelsior to win either half32%——
AFC Ajax to score in both halves31%——
1st Half Over 1.5 goals31%——
Half with most goals — 1st31%——
Half with most goals — Equal27%——
HT/FT Draw / AFC Ajax19%——
AFC Ajax to win both halves18%——
1st Half result — SBV Excelsior17%——
HT/FT Draw / Draw16%——
SBV Excelsior to score in both halves12%——
1st Half Over 2.5 goals11%——
HT/FT SBV Excelsior / SBV Excelsior11%——
HT/FT Draw / SBV Excelsior8%——
HT/FT SBV Excelsior / Draw4%——
HT/FT AFC Ajax / Draw4%——
SBV Excelsior to win both halves3%——
HT/FT SBV Excelsior / AFC Ajax3%——
HT/FT AFC Ajax / SBV Excelsior1%——
HandicapsProbOddsEdge
Handicap — AFC Ajax +2.599%——
Handicap — AFC Ajax +1.594%——
Handicap — SBV Excelsior -2.587%——
Handicap — AFC Ajax +0.582%——
Handicap — SBV Excelsior -1.569%——
Handicap — AFC Ajax -0.555%——
Handicap — SBV Excelsior -0.545%——
Handicap — AFC Ajax -1.531%——
Handicap — SBV Excelsior +0.518%——
Handicap — AFC Ajax -2.513%——
Handicap — SBV Excelsior +1.56%——
Handicap — SBV Excelsior +2.52%——