AFC Ajax v SBV Excelsior
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AFC Ajax v SBV Excelsior
Recommended bet
AFC Ajax or SBV Excelsior
Double chance
De-vigged fair price from the marketLow
Win probability78%
Implied (with margin)78%
Model edge—
Odds1.28 2/7
All markets
Model-only estimates · 104 markets
Match winnerProbOddsEdge
Double chance — AFC Ajax or SBV Excelsior78%——
Double chance — SBV Excelsior or Draw70%——
Draw no bet — SBV Excelsior62%——
Double chance — AFC Ajax or Draw52%——
SBV Excelsior to win48%——
Draw no bet — AFC Ajax38%——
AFC Ajax to win30%——
Draw22%——
GoalsProbOddsEdge
Over 0.5 goals97%——
Over 1.5 goals92%——
Under 5.5 goals78%——
Over 2.5 goals77%——
BTTS — Yes75%——
BTTS Yes + Over 2.567%——
Under 4.5 goals62%——
Over 3.5 goals57%——
Goals range — 4-6 goals46%——
Under 3.5 goals43%——
Over 4.5 goals38%——
Goals range — 2-3 goals35%——
BTTS — No25%——
Under 2.5 goals24%——
Over 5.5 goals22%——
Goals range — 7+ goals11%——
Under 1.5 goals8%——
BTTS Yes + Under 2.58%——
Goals range — 0-1 goals8%——
Under 0.5 goals3%——
Score & marginProbOddsEdge
Both score no draw56%——
SBV Excelsior to score 3+39%——
AFC Ajax to score 130%——
AFC Ajax to score 227%——
SBV Excelsior to score 227%——
AFC Ajax to score 3+26%——
SBV Excelsior to score 124%——
Winning margin — Draw22%——
Winning margin — SBV Excelsior by 119%——
AFC Ajax to score 017%——
SBV Excelsior clean sheet17%——
Winning margin — SBV Excelsior by 215%——
Winning margin — AFC Ajax by 114%——
SBV Excelsior win to nil14%——
SBV Excelsior to score 011%——
AFC Ajax clean sheet11%——
Winning margin — AFC Ajax by 29%——
Winning margin — SBV Excelsior by 39%——
Correct score 1-18%——
Correct score 1-28%——
AFC Ajax win to nil8%——
Correct score 2-27%——
Correct score 2-16%——
Correct score 1-36%——
Correct score 2-35%——
Correct score 0-25%——
Correct score 3-24%——
Winning margin — AFC Ajax by 34%——
Winning margin — SBV Excelsior by 44%——
Correct score 3-14%——
Correct score 0-33%——
Winning margin — SBV Excelsior by 5+3%——
Winning margin — AFC Ajax by 42%——
Winning margin — AFC Ajax by 5+1%——
HalvesProbOddsEdge
1st Half Over 0.5 goals82%——
1st Half Under 2.5 goals75%——
SBV Excelsior to win either half65%——
1st Half Over 1.5 goals52%——
AFC Ajax to win either half48%——
1st Half Under 1.5 goals48%——
Half with most goals — 2nd47%——
SBV Excelsior to score in both halves43%——
1st Half result — SBV Excelsior39%——
1st Half result — Draw33%——
AFC Ajax to score in both halves32%——
Half with most goals — 1st32%——
HT/FT SBV Excelsior / SBV Excelsior31%——
1st Half result — AFC Ajax28%——
1st Half Over 2.5 goals25%——
Half with most goals — Equal21%——
HT/FT AFC Ajax / AFC Ajax18%——
1st Half Under 0.5 goals18%——
SBV Excelsior to win both halves16%——
HT/FT Draw / SBV Excelsior14%——
HT/FT Draw / Draw10%——
HT/FT Draw / AFC Ajax10%——
AFC Ajax to win both halves8%——
HT/FT SBV Excelsior / Draw5%——
HT/FT AFC Ajax / Draw5%——
HT/FT AFC Ajax / SBV Excelsior4%——
HT/FT SBV Excelsior / AFC Ajax3%——
HandicapsProbOddsEdge
Handicap — SBV Excelsior -2.594%——
Handicap — AFC Ajax +2.585%——
Handicap — SBV Excelsior -1.585%——
Handicap — SBV Excelsior -0.570%——
Handicap — AFC Ajax +1.570%——
Handicap — AFC Ajax +0.552%——
Handicap — SBV Excelsior +0.548%——
Handicap — SBV Excelsior +1.530%——
Handicap — AFC Ajax -0.530%——
Handicap — AFC Ajax -1.515%——
Handicap — SBV Excelsior +2.515%——
Handicap — AFC Ajax -2.56%——
GoalscorersProbOddsEdge
Anytime scorer — David Garden (SBV Excelsior)49%——
Anytime scorer — Toluwalas Arokodare (AFC Ajax)39%——
Anytime scorer — Irakli Yegoian (SBV Excelsior)36%——