Fortuna Sittard v AFC Ajax
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Football·Eredivisie· 2026-09-12 · 18:00

Fortuna Sittard v AFC Ajax

Recommended bet
Over 1.5 goals
Total goals
De-vigged fair price from the marketLow
Win probability87%
Implied (with margin)87%
Model edge
Odds1.14 1/7
All markets
Model-only estimates · 101 markets
Match winnerProbOddsEdge
Double chance — AFC Ajax or Draw81%
Double chance — Fortuna Sittard or AFC Ajax78%
Draw no bet — AFC Ajax75%
AFC Ajax to win59%
Double chance — Fortuna Sittard or Draw41%
Draw no bet — Fortuna Sittard25%
Draw22%
Fortuna Sittard to win19%
GoalsProbOddsEdge
Over 0.5 goals96%
Over 1.5 goals88%
Under 5.5 goals86%
Under 4.5 goals73%
Over 2.5 goals68%
BTTS — Yes65%
BTTS Yes + Over 2.555%
Under 3.5 goals54%
Over 3.5 goals46%
Goals range — 2-3 goals41%
Goals range — 4-6 goals40%
BTTS — No35%
Under 2.5 goals32%
Over 4.5 goals27%
Over 5.5 goals14%
Under 1.5 goals13%
Goals range — 0-1 goals13%
BTTS Yes + Under 2.510%
Goals range — 7+ goals7%
Under 0.5 goals4%
Score & marginProbOddsEdge
Both score no draw47%
AFC Ajax to score 3+39%
Fortuna Sittard to score 136%
Fortuna Sittard to score 029%
AFC Ajax clean sheet29%
AFC Ajax to score 227%
AFC Ajax win to nil24%
AFC Ajax to score 124%
Fortuna Sittard to score 222%
Winning margin — Draw22%
Winning margin — AFC Ajax by 121%
Winning margin — AFC Ajax by 218%
Fortuna Sittard to score 3+13%
Winning margin — Fortuna Sittard by 111%
Winning margin — AFC Ajax by 311%
AFC Ajax to score 011%
Fortuna Sittard clean sheet11%
Correct score 1-110%
Correct score 1-210%
Correct score 0-28%
Correct score 1-37%
Fortuna Sittard win to nil7%
Correct score 2-26%
Correct score 0-16%
Correct score 0-36%
Winning margin — Fortuna Sittard by 26%
Winning margin — AFC Ajax by 46%
Correct score 2-15%
Correct score 2-35%
Correct score 0-04%
Winning margin — AFC Ajax by 5+3%
Winning margin — Fortuna Sittard by 32%
Winning margin — Fortuna Sittard by 41%
Winning margin — Fortuna Sittard by 5+0%
HalvesProbOddsEdge
1st Half Under 2.5 goals79%
1st Half Over 0.5 goals79%
AFC Ajax to win either half72%
1st Half Under 1.5 goals54%
1st Half Over 1.5 goals46%
Half with most goals — 2nd46%
1st Half result — AFC Ajax45%
AFC Ajax to score in both halves45%
HT/FT AFC Ajax / AFC Ajax39%
Fortuna Sittard to win either half37%
1st Half result — Draw35%
Half with most goals — 1st32%
AFC Ajax to win both halves22%
Half with most goals — Equal22%
Fortuna Sittard to score in both halves21%
1st Half Under 0.5 goals21%
1st Half Over 2.5 goals21%
1st Half result — Fortuna Sittard20%
HT/FT Draw / AFC Ajax17%
HT/FT Fortuna Sittard / Fortuna Sittard12%
HT/FT Draw / Draw10%
HT/FT Draw / Fortuna Sittard7%
HT/FT AFC Ajax / Draw5%
HT/FT Fortuna Sittard / Draw5%
Fortuna Sittard to win both halves4%
HT/FT Fortuna Sittard / AFC Ajax4%
HT/FT AFC Ajax / Fortuna Sittard2%
HandicapsProbOddsEdge
Handicap — AFC Ajax -2.597%
Handicap — AFC Ajax -1.592%
Handicap — AFC Ajax -0.581%
Handicap — Fortuna Sittard +2.580%
Handicap — Fortuna Sittard +1.562%
Handicap — AFC Ajax +0.559%
Handicap — Fortuna Sittard +0.541%
Handicap — AFC Ajax +1.538%
Handicap — AFC Ajax +2.520%
Handicap — Fortuna Sittard -0.519%
Handicap — Fortuna Sittard -1.58%
Handicap — Fortuna Sittard -2.53%