Fortuna Sittard v AFC Ajax
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Football·Eredivisie· 2026-09-12 · 18:00

Fortuna Sittard v AFC Ajax

Recommended bet
Under 3.5 goals
Total goals
De-vigged fair price from the marketLow
Win probability76%
Implied (with margin)76%
Model edge
Odds1.32 1/3
All markets
Model-only estimates · 101 markets
Match winnerProbOddsEdge
Double chance — AFC Ajax or Draw74%
Double chance — Fortuna Sittard or AFC Ajax70%
Draw no bet — AFC Ajax63%
Double chance — Fortuna Sittard or Draw56%
AFC Ajax to win44%
Draw no bet — Fortuna Sittard37%
Draw30%
Fortuna Sittard to win26%
GoalsProbOddsEdge
Under 5.5 goals96%
Over 0.5 goals90%
Under 4.5 goals89%
Under 3.5 goals76%
Over 1.5 goals73%
Under 2.5 goals54%
BTTS — Yes51%
Goals range — 2-3 goals49%
BTTS — No49%
Over 2.5 goals46%
BTTS Yes + Over 2.537%
Under 1.5 goals27%
Goals range — 0-1 goals27%
Over 3.5 goals24%
Goals range — 4-6 goals23%
BTTS Yes + Under 2.514%
Over 4.5 goals11%
Under 0.5 goals10%
Over 5.5 goals4%
Goals range — 7+ goals1%
Score & marginProbOddsEdge
Fortuna Sittard to score 137%
Fortuna Sittard to score 035%
AFC Ajax clean sheet35%
AFC Ajax to score 134%
Both score no draw32%
Winning margin — Draw30%
AFC Ajax win to nil25%
AFC Ajax to score 225%
AFC Ajax to score 024%
Fortuna Sittard clean sheet24%
Winning margin — AFC Ajax by 122%
Fortuna Sittard to score 219%
AFC Ajax to score 3+18%
Winning margin — Fortuna Sittard by 116%
Correct score 1-114%
Winning margin — AFC Ajax by 214%
Fortuna Sittard win to nil14%
Correct score 0-110%
Correct score 0-010%
Fortuna Sittard to score 3+9%
Correct score 1-29%
Correct score 0-29%
Winning margin — Fortuna Sittard by 27%
Correct score 1-07%
Correct score 2-17%
Winning margin — AFC Ajax by 36%
Correct score 2-25%
Correct score 2-05%
Correct score 1-34%
Winning margin — Fortuna Sittard by 32%
Winning margin — AFC Ajax by 42%
Winning margin — AFC Ajax by 5+1%
Winning margin — Fortuna Sittard by 41%
Winning margin — Fortuna Sittard by 5+0%
HalvesProbOddsEdge
1st Half Under 2.5 goals90%
1st Half Under 1.5 goals69%
1st Half Over 0.5 goals68%
AFC Ajax to win either half59%
1st Half result — Draw43%
Half with most goals — 2nd43%
Fortuna Sittard to win either half42%
1st Half result — AFC Ajax34%
1st Half Under 0.5 goals33%
1st Half Over 1.5 goals31%
Half with most goals — 1st31%
HT/FT AFC Ajax / AFC Ajax28%
Half with most goals — Equal27%
AFC Ajax to score in both halves26%
1st Half result — Fortuna Sittard23%
Fortuna Sittard to score in both halves17%
HT/FT Draw / Draw17%
HT/FT Draw / AFC Ajax16%
HT/FT Fortuna Sittard / Fortuna Sittard16%
AFC Ajax to win both halves13%
1st Half Over 2.5 goals11%
HT/FT Draw / Fortuna Sittard11%
Fortuna Sittard to win both halves6%
HT/FT AFC Ajax / Draw5%
HT/FT Fortuna Sittard / Draw5%
HT/FT Fortuna Sittard / AFC Ajax2%
HT/FT AFC Ajax / Fortuna Sittard2%
HandicapsProbOddsEdge
Handicap — AFC Ajax -2.597%
Handicap — Fortuna Sittard +2.591%
Handicap — AFC Ajax -1.590%
Handicap — Fortuna Sittard +1.578%
Handicap — AFC Ajax -0.574%
Handicap — Fortuna Sittard +0.556%
Handicap — AFC Ajax +0.544%
Handicap — Fortuna Sittard -0.526%
Handicap — AFC Ajax +1.523%
Handicap — Fortuna Sittard -1.510%
Handicap — AFC Ajax +2.59%
Handicap — Fortuna Sittard -2.53%