AZ v Willem II Tilburg
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Football·Eredivisie· 2026-09-11 · 18:00

AZ v Willem II Tilburg

Recommended bet
Over 1.5 goals
Total goals
De-vigged fair price from the marketLow
Win probability87%
Implied (with margin)87%
Model edge
Odds1.14 1/7
All markets
Model-only estimates · 101 markets
Match winnerProbOddsEdge
Double chance — AZ or Draw82%
Double chance — AZ or Willem II Tilburg78%
Draw no bet — AZ77%
AZ to win60%
Double chance — Willem II Tilburg or Draw40%
Draw no bet — Willem II Tilburg23%
Draw22%
Willem II Tilburg to win18%
GoalsProbOddsEdge
Over 0.5 goals96%
Over 1.5 goals88%
Under 5.5 goals86%
Under 4.5 goals73%
Over 2.5 goals68%
BTTS — Yes64%
BTTS Yes + Over 2.555%
Under 3.5 goals54%
Over 3.5 goals46%
Goals range — 2-3 goals41%
Goals range — 4-6 goals40%
BTTS — No36%
Under 2.5 goals32%
Over 4.5 goals27%
Over 5.5 goals14%
Under 1.5 goals13%
Goals range — 0-1 goals13%
BTTS Yes + Under 2.510%
Goals range — 7+ goals7%
Under 0.5 goals4%
Score & marginProbOddsEdge
Both score no draw47%
AZ to score 3+40%
Willem II Tilburg to score 136%
Willem II Tilburg to score 030%
AZ clean sheet30%
AZ to score 227%
AZ win to nil25%
AZ to score 123%
Willem II Tilburg to score 222%
Winning margin — Draw22%
Winning margin — AZ by 121%
Winning margin — AZ by 218%
Willem II Tilburg to score 3+13%
Winning margin — AZ by 311%
Winning margin — Willem II Tilburg by 111%
AZ to score 010%
Willem II Tilburg clean sheet10%
Correct score 2-110%
Correct score 1-110%
Correct score 2-08%
Correct score 3-17%
Willem II Tilburg win to nil6%
Correct score 3-06%
Correct score 2-26%
Correct score 1-06%
Winning margin — AZ by 46%
Winning margin — Willem II Tilburg by 25%
Correct score 1-25%
Correct score 3-24%
Correct score 4-14%
Winning margin — AZ by 5+4%
Winning margin — Willem II Tilburg by 32%
Winning margin — Willem II Tilburg by 41%
Winning margin — Willem II Tilburg by 5+0%
HalvesProbOddsEdge
1st Half Over 0.5 goals79%
1st Half Under 2.5 goals79%
AZ to win either half73%
1st Half Under 1.5 goals53%
1st Half Over 1.5 goals47%
1st Half result — AZ46%
Half with most goals — 2nd46%
AZ to score in both halves46%
HT/FT AZ / AZ40%
Willem II Tilburg to win either half36%
1st Half result — Draw34%
Half with most goals — 1st32%
AZ to win both halves23%
Half with most goals — Equal22%
1st Half Over 2.5 goals21%
1st Half Under 0.5 goals21%
Willem II Tilburg to score in both halves21%
1st Half result — Willem II Tilburg19%
HT/FT Draw / AZ17%
HT/FT Willem II Tilburg / Willem II Tilburg11%
HT/FT Draw / Draw10%
HT/FT Draw / Willem II Tilburg7%
HT/FT Willem II Tilburg / Draw5%
HT/FT AZ / Draw5%
Willem II Tilburg to win both halves4%
HT/FT Willem II Tilburg / AZ4%
HT/FT AZ / Willem II Tilburg2%
HandicapsProbOddsEdge
Handicap — AZ +2.598%
Handicap — AZ +1.592%
Handicap — AZ +0.582%
Handicap — Willem II Tilburg -2.579%
Handicap — Willem II Tilburg -1.561%
Handicap — AZ -0.560%
Handicap — Willem II Tilburg -0.540%
Handicap — AZ -1.539%
Handicap — AZ -2.521%
Handicap — Willem II Tilburg +0.518%
Handicap — Willem II Tilburg +1.58%
Handicap — Willem II Tilburg +2.52%