Toulouse FC v ES Troyes AC
Back to board
Football·Ligue 1· 2026-10-24 · 15:15

Toulouse FC v ES Troyes AC

Recommended bet
Over 1.5 goals
Total goals
De-vigged fair price from the marketLow
Win probability79%
Implied (with margin)79%
Model edge—
Odds1.27 2/7
All markets
Model-only estimates · 152 markets
Match winnerProbOddsEdge
Double chance — Toulouse FC or Draw73%——
Double chance — Toulouse FC or ES Troyes AC72%——
Draw no bet — Toulouse FC63%——
Double chance — ES Troyes AC or Draw54%——
Toulouse FC to win46%——
Draw no bet — ES Troyes AC37%——
Draw28%——
ES Troyes AC to win27%——
GoalsProbOddsEdge
Under 5.5 goals93%——
Over 0.5 goals93%——
Under 4.5 goals85%——
Over 1.5 goals79%——
Under 3.5 goals69%——
BTTS — Yes57%——
Over 2.5 goals53%——
Goals range — 2-3 goals48%——
Under 2.5 goals47%——
BTTS Yes + Over 2.544%——
BTTS — No43%——
Over 3.5 goals31%——
Goals range — 4-6 goals29%——
Under 1.5 goals21%——
Goals range — 0-1 goals21%——
Over 4.5 goals15%——
BTTS Yes + Under 2.513%——
Under 0.5 goals8%——
Over 5.5 goals7%——
Goals range — 7+ goals3%——
Score & marginProbOddsEdge
Both score no draw37%——
ES Troyes AC to score 136%——
Toulouse FC to score 132%——
ES Troyes AC to score 030%——
Toulouse FC clean sheet30%——
Winning margin — Draw28%——
Toulouse FC to score 226%——
Toulouse FC win to nil23%——
Toulouse FC to score 3+22%——
ES Troyes AC to score 222%——
Winning margin — Toulouse FC by 121%——
Toulouse FC to score 020%——
ES Troyes AC clean sheet20%——
Winning margin — ES Troyes AC by 115%——
Winning margin — Toulouse FC by 214%——
Correct score 1-113%——
ES Troyes AC win to nil12%——
ES Troyes AC to score 3+12%——
Correct score 2-19%——
Correct score 1-08%——
Correct score 2-08%——
Winning margin — ES Troyes AC by 28%——
Correct score 0-08%——
Correct score 1-27%——
Winning margin — Toulouse FC by 37%——
Correct score 0-16%——
Correct score 2-26%——
Correct score 3-15%——
Correct score 0-24%——
Winning margin — ES Troyes AC by 33%——
Winning margin — Toulouse FC by 43%——
Winning margin — Toulouse FC by 5+1%——
Winning margin — ES Troyes AC by 41%——
Winning margin — ES Troyes AC by 5+0%——
HalvesProbOddsEdge
1st Half Under 2.5 goals88%——
1st Half Over 0.5 goals70%——
1st Half Under 1.5 goals67%——
Toulouse FC to win either half60%——
Half with most goals — 2nd43%——
ES Troyes AC to win either half43%——
1st Half result — Draw42%——
1st Half result — Toulouse FC35%——
1st Half Over 1.5 goals34%——
Half with most goals — 1st31%——
1st Half Under 0.5 goals30%——
Toulouse FC to score in both halves28%——
HT/FT Toulouse FC / Toulouse FC28%——
Half with most goals — Equal26%——
1st Half result — ES Troyes AC23%——
ES Troyes AC to score in both halves18%——
HT/FT Draw / Toulouse FC16%——
HT/FT ES Troyes AC / ES Troyes AC16%——
HT/FT Draw / Draw16%——
Toulouse FC to win both halves13%——
1st Half Over 2.5 goals12%——
HT/FT Draw / ES Troyes AC11%——
ES Troyes AC to win both halves6%——
HT/FT ES Troyes AC / Draw5%——
HT/FT Toulouse FC / Draw5%——
HT/FT ES Troyes AC / Toulouse FC3%——
HT/FT Toulouse FC / ES Troyes AC2%——
HandicapsProbOddsEdge
Handicap — Toulouse FC +2.596%——
Handicap — ES Troyes AC -2.590%——
Handicap — Toulouse FC +1.589%——
Handicap — ES Troyes AC -1.576%——
Handicap — Toulouse FC +0.573%——
Handicap — ES Troyes AC -0.554%——
Handicap — Toulouse FC -0.546%——
Handicap — ES Troyes AC +0.527%——
Handicap — Toulouse FC -1.525%——
Handicap — ES Troyes AC +1.512%——
Handicap — Toulouse FC -2.510%——
Handicap — ES Troyes AC +2.54%——
CardsProbOddsEdge
Under 6.5 cards100%——
Under 5.5 cards98%——
Under 4.5 cards95%——
Under 3.5 cards86%——
Under 2.5 cards68%——
Most cards — Toulouse FC53%——
Over 2.5 cards33%——
Most cards — Tie29%——
Most cards — ES Troyes AC19%——
Over 3.5 cards14%——
Over 4.5 cards5%——
Over 5.5 cards2%——
Toulouse FC expected cards1%——
ES Troyes AC expected cards1%——
Over 6.5 cards1%——
Any red card0%——
2+ red cards0%——
CornersProbOddsEdge
Over 7.5 corners92%——
Over 8.5 corners86%——
Over 9.5 corners78%——
Most corners — ES Troyes AC76%——
Over 10.5 corners67%——
Over 11.5 corners56%——
Under 12.5 corners55%——
Over 12.5 corners45%——
Under 11.5 corners44%——
Under 10.5 corners33%——
Under 9.5 corners23%——
Most corners — Toulouse FC16%——
Under 8.5 corners14%——
Under 7.5 corners8%——
ES Troyes AC expected corners8%——
Toulouse FC expected corners5%——
FoulsProbOddsEdge
Over 19.5 fouls99%——
Over 20.5 fouls98%——
Over 21.5 fouls96%——
Over 22.5 fouls94%——
Over 23.5 fouls91%——
Over 24.5 fouls88%——
Most fouls — Toulouse FC65%——
Most fouls — ES Troyes AC29%——
Under 24.5 fouls12%——
Under 23.5 fouls9%——
Under 22.5 fouls6%——
Under 21.5 fouls4%——
Under 20.5 fouls3%——
Under 19.5 fouls2%——
GoalscorersProbOddsEdge
Anytime scorer — Casper Tengstedt (Toulouse FC)62%——
Anytime scorer — Thomas Jørgensen (Toulouse FC)28%——
Anytime scorer — Renaud Ripart (ES Troyes AC)13%——
Anytime scorer — Lucas Maronnier (ES Troyes AC)13%——