AS Monaco FC v Toulouse FC
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Football·Ligue 1· 2026-10-10 · 18:45

AS Monaco FC v Toulouse FC

Recommended bet
Over 1.5 goals
Total goals
De-vigged fair price from the marketLow
Win probability79%
Implied (with margin)79%
Model edge—
Odds1.27 2/7
All markets
Match winnerProbOddsEdge
Match Winner — AS Monaco FC52%1.69—
Match Winner — Draw27%4.50—
Match Winner — Toulouse FC22%5.40—
GoalsProbOddsEdge
Over 2.5 goals53%1.68—
Under 2.5 goals47%2.38—
Over 3 goals—2.01—
Under 3 goals—1.89—
Model-only estimates · 154 markets
Match winnerProbOddsEdge
Double chance — AS Monaco FC or Draw78%——
Double chance — AS Monaco FC or Toulouse FC74%——
Draw no bet — AS Monaco FC71%——
AS Monaco FC to win52%——
Double chance — Toulouse FC or Draw48%——
Draw no bet — Toulouse FC29%——
Draw27%——
Toulouse FC to win22%——
GoalsProbOddsEdge
Under 5.5 goals93%——
Over 0.5 goals93%——
Under 4.5 goals85%——
Over 1.5 goals79%——
Under 3.5 goals69%——
BTTS — Yes56%——
Over 2.5 goals53%——
Goals range — 2-3 goals48%——
Under 2.5 goals47%——
BTTS — No45%——
BTTS Yes + Over 2.543%——
Over 3.5 goals31%——
Goals range — 4-6 goals29%——
Under 1.5 goals22%——
Goals range — 0-1 goals22%——
Over 4.5 goals15%——
BTTS Yes + Under 2.513%——
Under 0.5 goals8%——
Over 5.5 goals7%——
Goals range — 7+ goals3%——
Score & marginProbOddsEdge
Toulouse FC to score 137%——
Both score no draw37%——
Toulouse FC to score 035%——
AS Monaco FC clean sheet35%——
AS Monaco FC to score 131%——
AS Monaco FC win to nil27%——
AS Monaco FC to score 227%——
Winning margin — Draw27%——
AS Monaco FC to score 3+26%——
Winning margin — AS Monaco FC by 122%——
Toulouse FC to score 220%——
AS Monaco FC to score 018%——
Toulouse FC clean sheet18%——
Winning margin — AS Monaco FC by 216%——
Winning margin — Toulouse FC by 113%——
Correct score 1-113%——
Toulouse FC win to nil10%——
Correct score 2-110%——
Toulouse FC to score 3+9%——
Correct score 2-09%——
Correct score 1-09%——
Winning margin — AS Monaco FC by 38%——
Correct score 0-08%——
Winning margin — Toulouse FC by 26%——
Correct score 1-26%——
Correct score 3-16%——
Correct score 3-05%——
Correct score 2-25%——
Correct score 0-15%——
Winning margin — AS Monaco FC by 43%——
Winning margin — Toulouse FC by 32%——
Winning margin — AS Monaco FC by 5+2%——
Winning margin — Toulouse FC by 41%——
Winning margin — Toulouse FC by 5+0%——
HalvesProbOddsEdge
1st Half Under 2.5 goals88%——
1st Half Over 0.5 goals70%——
1st Half Under 1.5 goals67%——
AS Monaco FC to win either half64%——
Half with most goals — 2nd43%——
1st Half result — Draw41%——
1st Half result — AS Monaco FC38%——
Toulouse FC to win either half37%——
1st Half Over 1.5 goals33%——
HT/FT AS Monaco FC / AS Monaco FC32%——
AS Monaco FC to score in both halves31%——
Half with most goals — 1st31%——
1st Half Under 0.5 goals30%——
Half with most goals — Equal26%——
1st Half result — Toulouse FC20%——
HT/FT Draw / AS Monaco FC17%——
AS Monaco FC to win both halves16%——
Toulouse FC to score in both halves15%——
HT/FT Draw / Draw15%——
HT/FT Toulouse FC / Toulouse FC13%——
1st Half Over 2.5 goals12%——
HT/FT Draw / Toulouse FC9%——
HT/FT Toulouse FC / Draw5%——
HT/FT AS Monaco FC / Draw5%——
Toulouse FC to win both halves4%——
HT/FT Toulouse FC / AS Monaco FC3%——
HT/FT AS Monaco FC / Toulouse FC1%——
HandicapsProbOddsEdge
Handicap — AS Monaco FC +2.598%——
Handicap — AS Monaco FC +1.591%——
Handicap — Toulouse FC -2.587%——
Handicap — AS Monaco FC +0.578%——
Handicap — Toulouse FC -1.571%——
Handicap — AS Monaco FC -0.552%——
Handicap — Toulouse FC -0.548%——
Handicap — AS Monaco FC -1.530%——
Handicap — Toulouse FC +0.522%——
Handicap — AS Monaco FC -2.513%——
Handicap — Toulouse FC +1.59%——
Handicap — Toulouse FC +2.53%——
CardsProbOddsEdge
Under 6.5 cards88%——
Over 2.5 cards78%——
Under 5.5 cards76%——
Under 4.5 cards60%——
Over 3.5 cards59%——
Most cards — AS Monaco FC58%——
Under 3.5 cards41%——
Over 4.5 cards40%——
Most cards — Toulouse FC24%——
Over 5.5 cards24%——
Under 2.5 cards22%——
Most cards — Tie19%——
Over 6.5 cards13%——
AS Monaco FC expected cards3%——
Toulouse FC expected cards2%——
Any red card0%——
2+ red cards0%——
CornersProbOddsEdge
Under 12.5 corners93%——
Under 11.5 corners87%——
Under 10.5 corners80%——
Under 9.5 corners69%——
Over 7.5 corners58%——
Most corners — Toulouse FC57%——
Under 8.5 corners57%——
Over 8.5 corners44%——
Under 7.5 corners43%——
Over 9.5 corners31%——
Most corners — AS Monaco FC30%——
Over 10.5 corners20%——
Over 11.5 corners13%——
Over 12.5 corners7%——
Toulouse FC expected corners5%——
AS Monaco FC expected corners4%——
FoulsProbOddsEdge
Over 19.5 fouls97%——
Over 20.5 fouls95%——
Over 21.5 fouls92%——
Over 22.5 fouls89%——
Over 23.5 fouls85%——
Over 24.5 fouls80%——
Most fouls — Toulouse FC68%——
Most fouls — AS Monaco FC25%——
Under 24.5 fouls20%——
Under 23.5 fouls15%——
Under 22.5 fouls11%——
Under 21.5 fouls8%——
Under 20.5 fouls5%——
Under 19.5 fouls3%——
GoalscorersProbOddsEdge
Anytime scorer — Paris Brunner (AS Monaco FC)57%——
Anytime scorer — Casper Tengstedt (Toulouse FC)54%——
Anytime scorer — Thomas Jørgensen (Toulouse FC)26%——
Anytime scorer — Eric Dier (AS Monaco FC)19%——
Anytime scorer — Jacen Russell-Rowe (Toulouse FC)14%——
Anytime scorer — Christ Tapé (Toulouse FC)14%——