Olympique de Marseille v Paris Saint-Germain FC
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Football·Ligue 1· 2026-09-20 · 20:45

Olympique de Marseille v Paris Saint-Germain FC

Recommended bet
Over 1.5 goals
Total goals
De-vigged fair price from the marketLow
Win probability79%
Implied (with margin)79%
Model edge
Odds1.27 1/4
All markets
Model-only estimates · 148 markets
Match winnerProbOddsEdge
Double chance — Olympique de Marseille or Draw74%
Double chance — Olympique de Marseille or Paris Saint-Germain FC73%
Draw no bet — Olympique de Marseille64%
Double chance — Paris Saint-Germain FC or Draw54%
Olympique de Marseille to win47%
Draw no bet — Paris Saint-Germain FC36%
Draw27%
Paris Saint-Germain FC to win26%
GoalsProbOddsEdge
Under 5.5 goals93%
Over 0.5 goals93%
Under 4.5 goals84%
Over 1.5 goals79%
Under 3.5 goals69%
BTTS — Yes58%
Over 2.5 goals54%
Goals range — 2-3 goals47%
Under 2.5 goals46%
BTTS Yes + Over 2.545%
BTTS — No42%
Over 3.5 goals32%
Goals range — 4-6 goals29%
Under 1.5 goals21%
Goals range — 0-1 goals21%
Over 4.5 goals16%
BTTS Yes + Under 2.513%
Under 0.5 goals7%
Over 5.5 goals7%
Goals range — 7+ goals3%
Score & marginProbOddsEdge
Both score no draw38%
Paris Saint-Germain FC to score 136%
Olympique de Marseille to score 132%
Paris Saint-Germain FC to score 031%
Olympique de Marseille clean sheet31%
Winning margin — Draw27%
Olympique de Marseille to score 226%
Olympique de Marseille win to nil23%
Olympique de Marseille to score 3+23%
Paris Saint-Germain FC to score 222%
Winning margin — Olympique de Marseille by 121%
Olympique de Marseille to score 019%
Paris Saint-Germain FC clean sheet19%
Winning margin — Paris Saint-Germain FC by 115%
Winning margin — Olympique de Marseille by 215%
Correct score 1-113%
Paris Saint-Germain FC win to nil12%
Paris Saint-Germain FC to score 3+12%
Correct score 2-110%
Correct score 1-08%
Correct score 2-08%
Winning margin — Paris Saint-Germain FC by 28%
Correct score 0-07%
Winning margin — Olympique de Marseille by 37%
Correct score 1-27%
Correct score 2-26%
Correct score 0-16%
Correct score 3-15%
Correct score 3-04%
Winning margin — Paris Saint-Germain FC by 33%
Winning margin — Olympique de Marseille by 43%
Winning margin — Olympique de Marseille by 5+1%
Winning margin — Paris Saint-Germain FC by 41%
Winning margin — Paris Saint-Germain FC by 5+0%
HalvesProbOddsEdge
1st Half Under 2.5 goals86%
1st Half Over 0.5 goals72%
1st Half Under 1.5 goals64%
Olympique de Marseille to win either half62%
Half with most goals — 2nd44%
Paris Saint-Germain FC to win either half43%
1st Half result — Draw40%
1st Half Over 1.5 goals36%
1st Half result — Olympique de Marseille36%
Half with most goals — 1st31%
Olympique de Marseille to score in both halves31%
HT/FT Olympique de Marseille / Olympique de Marseille29%
1st Half Under 0.5 goals28%
Half with most goals — Equal25%
1st Half result — Paris Saint-Germain FC24%
Paris Saint-Germain FC to score in both halves20%
HT/FT Draw / Olympique de Marseille16%
HT/FT Paris Saint-Germain FC / Paris Saint-Germain FC16%
Olympique de Marseille to win both halves14%
HT/FT Draw / Draw14%
1st Half Over 2.5 goals14%
HT/FT Draw / Paris Saint-Germain FC10%
Paris Saint-Germain FC to win both halves6%
HT/FT Paris Saint-Germain FC / Draw5%
HT/FT Olympique de Marseille / Draw5%
HT/FT Paris Saint-Germain FC / Olympique de Marseille3%
HT/FT Olympique de Marseille / Paris Saint-Germain FC2%
HandicapsProbOddsEdge
Handicap — Olympique de Marseille +2.597%
Handicap — Paris Saint-Germain FC -2.589%
Handicap — Olympique de Marseille +1.589%
Handicap — Paris Saint-Germain FC -1.575%
Handicap — Olympique de Marseille +0.574%
Handicap — Paris Saint-Germain FC -0.554%
Handicap — Olympique de Marseille -0.547%
Handicap — Paris Saint-Germain FC +0.526%
Handicap — Olympique de Marseille -1.525%
Handicap — Paris Saint-Germain FC +1.511%
Handicap — Olympique de Marseille -2.511%
Handicap — Paris Saint-Germain FC +2.54%
CardsProbOddsEdge
Over 2.5 cards86%
Under 6.5 cards79%
Over 3.5 cards70%
Under 5.5 cards65%
Over 4.5 cards52%
Under 4.5 cards48%
Most cards — Olympique de Marseille46%
Most cards — Paris Saint-Germain FC36%
Over 5.5 cards35%
Under 3.5 cards30%
Any red card23%
Over 6.5 cards21%
Most cards — Tie19%
Under 2.5 cards14%
2+ red cards3%
Olympique de Marseille expected cards3%
Paris Saint-Germain FC expected cards2%
CornersProbOddsEdge
Under 12.5 corners83%
Under 11.5 corners75%
Over 7.5 corners74%
Under 10.5 corners64%
Over 8.5 corners62%
Most corners — Olympique de Marseille54%
Under 9.5 corners51%
Over 9.5 corners49%
Under 8.5 corners39%
Over 10.5 corners36%
Most corners — Paris Saint-Germain FC34%
Under 7.5 corners26%
Over 11.5 corners25%
Over 12.5 corners17%
Olympique de Marseille expected corners5%
Paris Saint-Germain FC expected corners4%
FoulsProbOddsEdge
Over 19.5 fouls76%
Over 20.5 fouls68%
Under 24.5 fouls64%
Over 21.5 fouls60%
Under 23.5 fouls56%
Most fouls — Olympique de Marseille54%
Over 22.5 fouls52%
Under 22.5 fouls48%
Over 23.5 fouls44%
Under 21.5 fouls40%
Most fouls — Paris Saint-Germain FC38%
Over 24.5 fouls36%
Under 20.5 fouls32%
Under 19.5 fouls25%