FC Lorient v Toulouse FC
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Football·Ligue 1· 2026-09-12 · 17:00

FC Lorient v Toulouse FC

Recommended bet
Over 1.5 goals
Total goals
De-vigged fair price from the marketLow
Win probability79%
Implied (with margin)79%
Model edge
Odds1.27 1/4
All markets
Model-only estimates · 148 markets
Match winnerProbOddsEdge
Double chance — FC Lorient or Toulouse FC72%
Double chance — FC Lorient or Draw67%
Double chance — Toulouse FC or Draw61%
Draw no bet — FC Lorient55%
Draw no bet — Toulouse FC45%
FC Lorient to win39%
Toulouse FC to win33%
Draw28%
GoalsProbOddsEdge
Under 5.5 goals93%
Over 0.5 goals93%
Under 4.5 goals84%
Over 1.5 goals79%
Under 3.5 goals69%
BTTS — Yes59%
Over 2.5 goals54%
Goals range — 2-3 goals47%
Under 2.5 goals46%
BTTS Yes + Over 2.545%
BTTS — No41%
Over 3.5 goals32%
Goals range — 4-6 goals29%
Under 1.5 goals21%
Goals range — 0-1 goals21%
Over 4.5 goals16%
BTTS Yes + Under 2.513%
Under 0.5 goals7%
Over 5.5 goals7%
Goals range — 7+ goals3%
Score & marginProbOddsEdge
Both score no draw38%
Toulouse FC to score 135%
FC Lorient to score 134%
Winning margin — Draw28%
Toulouse FC to score 026%
FC Lorient clean sheet26%
FC Lorient to score 225%
Toulouse FC to score 224%
FC Lorient to score 023%
Toulouse FC clean sheet23%
Winning margin — FC Lorient by 120%
FC Lorient to score 3+19%
FC Lorient win to nil19%
Winning margin — Toulouse FC by 117%
Toulouse FC to score 3+15%
Toulouse FC win to nil15%
Correct score 1-113%
Winning margin — FC Lorient by 212%
Winning margin — Toulouse FC by 210%
Correct score 2-19%
Correct score 1-28%
Correct score 0-07%
Correct score 1-07%
Correct score 2-07%
Correct score 0-16%
Correct score 2-26%
Correct score 0-25%
Winning margin — FC Lorient by 35%
Correct score 3-14%
Winning margin — Toulouse FC by 34%
Winning margin — FC Lorient by 42%
Winning margin — Toulouse FC by 41%
Winning margin — FC Lorient by 5+1%
Winning margin — Toulouse FC by 5+0%
HalvesProbOddsEdge
1st Half Under 2.5 goals86%
1st Half Over 0.5 goals72%
1st Half Under 1.5 goals64%
FC Lorient to win either half55%
Toulouse FC to win either half49%
Half with most goals — 2nd44%
1st Half result — Draw41%
1st Half Over 1.5 goals36%
1st Half result — FC Lorient32%
Half with most goals — 1st31%
1st Half Under 0.5 goals28%
1st Half result — Toulouse FC28%
FC Lorient to score in both halves27%
Half with most goals — Equal25%
HT/FT FC Lorient / FC Lorient24%
Toulouse FC to score in both halves24%
HT/FT Toulouse FC / Toulouse FC20%
HT/FT Draw / Draw15%
HT/FT Draw / FC Lorient14%
1st Half Over 2.5 goals14%
HT/FT Draw / Toulouse FC12%
FC Lorient to win both halves11%
Toulouse FC to win both halves8%
HT/FT Toulouse FC / Draw5%
HT/FT FC Lorient / Draw5%
HT/FT Toulouse FC / FC Lorient3%
HT/FT FC Lorient / Toulouse FC2%
HandicapsProbOddsEdge
Handicap — FC Lorient +2.595%
Handicap — Toulouse FC -2.592%
Handicap — FC Lorient +1.585%
Handicap — Toulouse FC -1.580%
Handicap — FC Lorient +0.567%
Handicap — Toulouse FC -0.561%
Handicap — FC Lorient -0.539%
Handicap — Toulouse FC +0.533%
Handicap — FC Lorient -1.520%
Handicap — Toulouse FC +1.515%
Handicap — FC Lorient -2.58%
Handicap — Toulouse FC +2.55%
CardsProbOddsEdge
Over 2.5 cards86%
Under 6.5 cards78%
Over 3.5 cards72%
Under 5.5 cards64%
Most cards — Toulouse FC58%
Over 4.5 cards54%
Under 4.5 cards46%
Over 5.5 cards36%
Under 3.5 cards28%
Most cards — FC Lorient25%
Over 6.5 cards22%
Most cards — Tie17%
Any red card17%
Under 2.5 cards14%
Toulouse FC expected cards3%
FC Lorient expected cards2%
2+ red cards2%
CornersProbOddsEdge
Under 12.5 corners94%
Under 11.5 corners89%
Under 10.5 corners82%
Under 9.5 corners72%
Under 8.5 corners60%
Most corners — Toulouse FC56%
Over 7.5 corners55%
Under 7.5 corners46%
Over 8.5 corners41%
Most corners — FC Lorient31%
Over 9.5 corners28%
Over 10.5 corners18%
Over 11.5 corners11%
Over 12.5 corners6%
Toulouse FC expected corners4%
FC Lorient expected corners4%
FoulsProbOddsEdge
Over 19.5 fouls78%
Over 20.5 fouls71%
Most fouls — Toulouse FC65%
Over 21.5 fouls63%
Under 24.5 fouls62%
Over 22.5 fouls55%
Under 23.5 fouls53%
Over 23.5 fouls47%
Under 22.5 fouls45%
Over 24.5 fouls39%
Under 21.5 fouls37%
Under 20.5 fouls29%
Most fouls — FC Lorient28%
Under 19.5 fouls22%