AJ Auxerre v OGC Nice
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Football·Ligue 1· 2026-09-12 · 17:00

AJ Auxerre v OGC Nice

Recommended bet
Over 1.5 goals
Total goals
De-vigged fair price from the marketLow
Win probability79%
Implied (with margin)79%
Model edge
Odds1.27 1/4
All markets
Model-only estimates · 148 markets
Match winnerProbOddsEdge
Double chance — AJ Auxerre or OGC Nice72%
Double chance — AJ Auxerre or Draw71%
Draw no bet — AJ Auxerre60%
Double chance — OGC Nice or Draw57%
AJ Auxerre to win43%
Draw no bet — OGC Nice40%
OGC Nice to win29%
Draw28%
GoalsProbOddsEdge
Under 5.5 goals93%
Over 0.5 goals93%
Under 4.5 goals84%
Over 1.5 goals79%
Under 3.5 goals69%
BTTS — Yes58%
Over 2.5 goals54%
Goals range — 2-3 goals47%
Under 2.5 goals46%
BTTS Yes + Over 2.545%
BTTS — No42%
Over 3.5 goals32%
Goals range — 4-6 goals29%
Under 1.5 goals21%
Goals range — 0-1 goals21%
Over 4.5 goals16%
BTTS Yes + Under 2.513%
Under 0.5 goals7%
Over 5.5 goals7%
Goals range — 7+ goals3%
Score & marginProbOddsEdge
Both score no draw38%
OGC Nice to score 136%
AJ Auxerre to score 133%
OGC Nice to score 029%
AJ Auxerre clean sheet29%
Winning margin — Draw28%
AJ Auxerre to score 226%
OGC Nice to score 223%
AJ Auxerre win to nil21%
AJ Auxerre to score 3+21%
AJ Auxerre to score 021%
OGC Nice clean sheet21%
Winning margin — AJ Auxerre by 121%
Winning margin — OGC Nice by 116%
Winning margin — AJ Auxerre by 214%
OGC Nice to score 3+13%
OGC Nice win to nil13%
Correct score 1-113%
Correct score 2-19%
Winning margin — OGC Nice by 29%
Correct score 1-08%
Correct score 0-07%
Correct score 1-27%
Correct score 2-07%
Winning margin — AJ Auxerre by 36%
Correct score 0-16%
Correct score 2-26%
Correct score 3-15%
Correct score 0-25%
Winning margin — OGC Nice by 33%
Winning margin — AJ Auxerre by 42%
Winning margin — OGC Nice by 41%
Winning margin — AJ Auxerre by 5+1%
Winning margin — OGC Nice by 5+0%
HalvesProbOddsEdge
1st Half Under 2.5 goals86%
1st Half Over 0.5 goals72%
1st Half Under 1.5 goals64%
AJ Auxerre to win either half59%
OGC Nice to win either half46%
Half with most goals — 2nd44%
1st Half result — Draw40%
1st Half Over 1.5 goals36%
1st Half result — AJ Auxerre34%
Half with most goals — 1st31%
AJ Auxerre to score in both halves29%
1st Half Under 0.5 goals28%
HT/FT AJ Auxerre / AJ Auxerre27%
1st Half result — OGC Nice25%
Half with most goals — Equal25%
OGC Nice to score in both halves22%
HT/FT OGC Nice / OGC Nice18%
HT/FT Draw / AJ Auxerre15%
HT/FT Draw / Draw14%
1st Half Over 2.5 goals14%
AJ Auxerre to win both halves13%
HT/FT Draw / OGC Nice11%
OGC Nice to win both halves7%
HT/FT OGC Nice / Draw5%
HT/FT AJ Auxerre / Draw5%
HT/FT OGC Nice / AJ Auxerre3%
HT/FT AJ Auxerre / OGC Nice2%
HandicapsProbOddsEdge
Handicap — AJ Auxerre +2.596%
Handicap — OGC Nice -2.591%
Handicap — AJ Auxerre +1.587%
Handicap — OGC Nice -1.577%
Handicap — AJ Auxerre +0.571%
Handicap — OGC Nice -0.557%
Handicap — AJ Auxerre -0.543%
Handicap — OGC Nice +0.529%
Handicap — AJ Auxerre -1.523%
Handicap — OGC Nice +1.513%
Handicap — AJ Auxerre -2.59%
Handicap — OGC Nice +2.54%
CardsProbOddsEdge
Over 2.5 cards84%
Under 6.5 cards82%
Under 5.5 cards68%
Over 3.5 cards68%
Under 4.5 cards51%
Over 4.5 cards49%
Most cards — OGC Nice45%
Most cards — AJ Auxerre36%
Under 3.5 cards32%
Over 5.5 cards32%
Any red card26%
Most cards — Tie19%
Over 6.5 cards18%
Under 2.5 cards16%
2+ red cards4%
OGC Nice expected cards2%
AJ Auxerre expected cards2%
CornersProbOddsEdge
Under 12.5 corners81%
Over 7.5 corners77%
Under 11.5 corners71%
Over 8.5 corners65%
Under 10.5 corners60%
Over 9.5 corners52%
Under 9.5 corners48%
Most corners — OGC Nice48%
Over 10.5 corners40%
Most corners — AJ Auxerre40%
Under 8.5 corners35%
Over 11.5 corners29%
Under 7.5 corners23%
Over 12.5 corners20%
OGC Nice expected corners5%
AJ Auxerre expected corners5%
FoulsProbOddsEdge
Over 19.5 fouls93%
Over 20.5 fouls90%
Over 21.5 fouls86%
Over 22.5 fouls81%
Over 23.5 fouls75%
Over 24.5 fouls68%
Most fouls — AJ Auxerre52%
Most fouls — OGC Nice41%
Under 24.5 fouls32%
Under 23.5 fouls25%
Under 22.5 fouls19%
Under 21.5 fouls14%
Under 20.5 fouls10%
Under 19.5 fouls7%