Hull City AFC v Manchester United FC
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Football·Premier League· 2026-08-22 · 11:30

Hull City AFC v Manchester United FC

Recommended bet
Manchester United
Match result
De-vigged fair price from the marketHigh
Win probability66%
Implied (with margin)68%
Model edge-2.1%
Odds1.48 1/2
Crowd odds — Polymarket
Hull City AFC12%
Draw21%
Manchester United FC69%
$3,449 liquidity · $4,383 traded · data from Polymarket
All markets
Match winnerProbOddsEdge
Match Winner — Hull City AFC8.00
Match Winner — Manchester United FC1.49
Match Winner — Draw4.70
GoalsProbOddsEdge
Over 2.75 goals1.95
Under 2.75 goals1.88
Over 2.5 goals1.81
Under 2.5 goals2.17
Model-only estimates · 24 markets
GoalscorersProbOddsEdge
Player to score or assist — Erling Haaland (Man City)51%
Player anytime scorer — Erling Haaland (Man City)48%
Player to score or assist — Bruno Borges Fernandes (Man Utd)43%
Player to score or assist — Rayan Cherki (Man City)43%
Player to score or assist — Bryan Mbeumo (Man Utd)38%
Player to score or assist — Phil Foden (Man City)32%
Player to score or assist — Sávio Moreira de Oliveira (Man City)32%
Player to score or assist — Joshua Zirkzee (Man Utd)32%
Player anytime scorer — Bryan Mbeumo (Man Utd)29%
Player anytime scorer — Joshua Zirkzee (Man Utd)29%
Player to score or assist — Benjamin Sesko (Man Utd)28%
Player anytime scorer — Benjamin Sesko (Man Utd)27%
Player anytime scorer — Omar Marmoush (Man City)26%
Player anytime scorer — Bruno Borges Fernandes (Man Utd)23%
Player anytime scorer — Antoine Semenyo (Man City)23%
Player anytime scorer — Sávio Moreira de Oliveira (Man City)21%
Player cardsProbOddsEdge
Player carded — Rico Lewis (Man City)31%
Player carded — Joshua Zirkzee (Man Utd)31%
Player carded — Omar Marmoush (Man City)28%
Player carded — Nico González Iglesias (Man City)25%
Player carded — Patrick Dorgu (Man Utd)23%
Player carded — Andrey Nascimento dos Santos (Man Utd)21%
Player carded — Noussair Mazraoui (Man Utd)21%
Player carded — Sávio Moreira de Oliveira (Man City)17%