Nottingham Forest FC v Leeds United FC
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Nottingham Forest FC v Leeds United FC
Recommended bet
Over 1.5 goals
Total goals
De-vigged fair price from the marketLow
Win probability79%
Implied (with margin)79%
Model edge—
Odds1.26 1/4
Crowd odds — Polymarket
Nottingham Forest FC43%
Draw28%
Leeds United FC30%
All markets
Match winnerProbOddsEdge
Match Winner — Nottingham Forest FC42%2.32—
Match Winner — Leeds United FC30%3.35—
Match Winner — Draw28%3.60—
GoalsProbOddsEdge
Over 2.5 goals54%1.98—
Under 2.5 goals46%1.96—
Model-only estimates · 125 markets
Match winnerProbOddsEdge
Double chance — Nottingham Forest FC or Leeds United FC72%——
Double chance — Nottingham Forest FC or Draw70%——
Draw no bet — Nottingham Forest FC58%——
Double chance — Leeds United FC or Draw58%——
Nottingham Forest FC to win42%——
Draw no bet — Leeds United FC42%——
Leeds United FC to win30%——
Draw28%——
GoalsProbOddsEdge
Under 5.5 goals93%——
Over 0.5 goals93%——
Under 4.5 goals84%——
Over 1.5 goals79%——
Under 3.5 goals68%——
BTTS — Yes59%——
Over 2.5 goals54%——
Goals range — 2-3 goals47%——
Under 2.5 goals46%——
BTTS Yes + Over 2.545%——
BTTS — No42%——
Over 3.5 goals32%——
Goals range — 4-6 goals29%——
Under 1.5 goals21%——
Goals range — 0-1 goals21%——
Over 4.5 goals16%——
BTTS Yes + Under 2.513%——
Under 0.5 goals7%——
Over 5.5 goals7%——
Goals range — 7+ goals3%——
Score & marginProbOddsEdge
Both score no draw38%——
Leeds United FC to score 136%——
Nottingham Forest FC to score 133%——
Winning margin — Draw28%——
Leeds United FC to score 028%——
Nottingham Forest FC clean sheet28%——
Nottingham Forest FC to score 226%——
Leeds United FC to score 223%——
Nottingham Forest FC to score 021%——
Leeds United FC clean sheet21%——
Nottingham Forest FC to score 3+21%——
Nottingham Forest FC win to nil20%——
Winning margin — Nottingham Forest FC by 120%——
Winning margin — Leeds United FC by 117%——
Leeds United FC to score 3+14%——
Leeds United FC win to nil14%——
Correct score 1-113%——
Winning margin — Nottingham Forest FC by 213%——
Correct score 2-19%——
Winning margin — Leeds United FC by 29%——
Correct score 1-08%——
Correct score 1-28%——
Correct score 0-07%——
Correct score 2-07%——
Correct score 0-16%——
Winning margin — Nottingham Forest FC by 36%——
Correct score 2-26%——
Correct score 0-25%——
Correct score 3-15%——
Winning margin — Leeds United FC by 33%——
Winning margin — Nottingham Forest FC by 42%——
Winning margin — Leeds United FC by 41%——
Winning margin — Nottingham Forest FC by 5+1%——
Winning margin — Leeds United FC by 5+0%——
HalvesProbOddsEdge
1st Half Under 2.5 goals86%——
1st Half Over 0.5 goals72%——
1st Half Under 1.5 goals64%——
Nottingham Forest FC to win either half58%——
Leeds United FC to win either half47%——
Half with most goals — 2nd44%——
1st Half result — Draw40%——
1st Half Over 1.5 goals37%——
1st Half result — Nottingham Forest FC34%——
Half with most goals — 1st31%——
Nottingham Forest FC to score in both halves29%——
1st Half Under 0.5 goals28%——
HT/FT Nottingham Forest FC / Nottingham Forest FC26%——
1st Half result — Leeds United FC26%——
Half with most goals — Equal25%——
Leeds United FC to score in both halves22%——
HT/FT Leeds United FC / Leeds United FC18%——
HT/FT Draw / Nottingham Forest FC15%——
HT/FT Draw / Draw14%——
1st Half Over 2.5 goals14%——
Nottingham Forest FC to win both halves12%——
HT/FT Draw / Leeds United FC11%——
Leeds United FC to win both halves7%——
HT/FT Leeds United FC / Draw5%——
HT/FT Nottingham Forest FC / Draw5%——
HT/FT Leeds United FC / Nottingham Forest FC3%——
HT/FT Nottingham Forest FC / Leeds United FC2%——
HandicapsProbOddsEdge
Handicap — Nottingham Forest FC +2.595%——
Handicap — Leeds United FC -2.591%——
Handicap — Nottingham Forest FC +1.586%——
Handicap — Leeds United FC -1.578%——
Handicap — Nottingham Forest FC +0.570%——
Handicap — Leeds United FC -0.558%——
Handicap — Nottingham Forest FC -0.542%——
Handicap — Leeds United FC +0.530%——
Handicap — Nottingham Forest FC -1.522%——
Handicap — Leeds United FC +1.514%——
Handicap — Nottingham Forest FC -2.59%——
Handicap — Leeds United FC +2.55%——
GoalscorersProbOddsEdge
Player to score or assist — Taiwo Awoniyi (Nott'm Forest)50%——
Player to score or assist — Lukas Nmecha (Leeds)46%——
Player anytime scorer — Taiwo Awoniyi (Nott'm Forest)44%——
Player anytime scorer — Lukas Nmecha (Leeds)40%——
Player to score or assist — Dominic Calvert-Lewin (Leeds)37%——
Player anytime scorer — Dominic Calvert-Lewin (Leeds)35%——
Player to score or assist — Chris Wood (Nott'm Forest)32%——
Player anytime scorer — Chris Wood (Nott'm Forest)30%——
Player to score or assist — Morgan Gibbs-White (Nott'm Forest)28%——
Player to score or assist — Noah Okafor (Leeds)27%——
Player to score or assist — Harry Wilson (Leeds)26%——
Player to score or assist — Omari Hutchinson (Nott'm Forest)23%——
Player anytime scorer — Morgan Gibbs-White (Nott'm Forest)23%——
Player anytime scorer — Noah Okafor (Leeds)22%——
Player anytime scorer — Igor Jesus Maciel da Cruz (Nott'm Forest)19%——
Player anytime scorer — Harry Wilson (Leeds)15%——
Player cardsProbOddsEdge
Player carded — Wilfried Gnonto (Leeds)35%——
Player carded — Ryan Yates (Nott'm Forest)31%——
Player carded — Taiwo Awoniyi (Nott'm Forest)27%——
Player carded — Felipe Rodrigues da Silva (Nott'm Forest)24%——
Player carded — James McAtee (Nott'm Forest)23%——
Player carded — Ethan Ampadu (Leeds)21%——
Player carded — Harry Wilson (Leeds)18%——
Player carded — Sebastiaan Bornauw (Leeds)16%——