Nottingham Forest FC v Leeds United FC
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Football·Premier League· 2026-08-22 · 14:00

Nottingham Forest FC v Leeds United FC

Recommended bet
Over 1.5 goals
Total goals
De-vigged fair price from the marketLow
Win probability80%
Implied (with margin)80%
Model edge
Odds1.25 1/4
All markets
Model-only estimates · 172 markets
Match winnerProbOddsEdge
Double chance — Nottingham Forest FC or Leeds United FC73%
Double chance — Nottingham Forest FC or Draw70%
Draw no bet — Nottingham Forest FC58%
Double chance — Leeds United FC or Draw58%
Nottingham Forest FC to win42%
Draw no bet — Leeds United FC42%
Leeds United FC to win30%
Draw27%
GoalsProbOddsEdge
Over 0.5 goals93%
Under 5.5 goals92%
Under 4.5 goals83%
Over 1.5 goals80%
Under 3.5 goals67%
BTTS — Yes60%
Over 2.5 goals56%
BTTS Yes + Over 2.547%
Goals range — 2-3 goals47%
Under 2.5 goals44%
BTTS — No40%
Over 3.5 goals33%
Goals range — 4-6 goals30%
Under 1.5 goals20%
Goals range — 0-1 goals20%
Over 4.5 goals17%
BTTS Yes + Under 2.513%
Over 5.5 goals8%
Under 0.5 goals7%
Goals range — 7+ goals3%
Score & marginProbOddsEdge
Both score no draw39%
Leeds United FC to score 135%
Nottingham Forest FC to score 132%
Winning margin — Draw27%
Leeds United FC to score 027%
Nottingham Forest FC clean sheet27%
Nottingham Forest FC to score 226%
Leeds United FC to score 223%
Nottingham Forest FC to score 3+22%
Nottingham Forest FC to score 020%
Leeds United FC clean sheet20%
Winning margin — Nottingham Forest FC by 120%
Nottingham Forest FC win to nil20%
Winning margin — Leeds United FC by 116%
Leeds United FC to score 3+15%
Leeds United FC win to nil13%
Winning margin — Nottingham Forest FC by 213%
Correct score 1-113%
Correct score 2-19%
Winning margin — Leeds United FC by 29%
Correct score 1-28%
Correct score 1-07%
Correct score 0-07%
Correct score 2-07%
Correct score 2-26%
Winning margin — Nottingham Forest FC by 36%
Correct score 0-16%
Correct score 3-15%
Correct score 0-25%
Winning margin — Leeds United FC by 34%
Winning margin — Nottingham Forest FC by 42%
Winning margin — Leeds United FC by 41%
Winning margin — Nottingham Forest FC by 5+1%
Winning margin — Leeds United FC by 5+0%
HalvesProbOddsEdge
1st Half Under 2.5 goals85%
1st Half Over 0.5 goals73%
1st Half Under 1.5 goals62%
Nottingham Forest FC to win either half58%
Leeds United FC to win either half47%
Half with most goals — 2nd44%
1st Half result — Draw40%
1st Half Over 1.5 goals38%
1st Half result — Nottingham Forest FC34%
Half with most goals — 1st31%
Nottingham Forest FC to score in both halves30%
1st Half Under 0.5 goals27%
HT/FT Nottingham Forest FC / Nottingham Forest FC27%
1st Half result — Leeds United FC26%
Half with most goals — Equal24%
Leeds United FC to score in both halves23%
HT/FT Leeds United FC / Leeds United FC19%
1st Half Over 2.5 goals15%
HT/FT Draw / Nottingham Forest FC15%
HT/FT Draw / Draw14%
Nottingham Forest FC to win both halves12%
HT/FT Draw / Leeds United FC11%
Leeds United FC to win both halves8%
HT/FT Leeds United FC / Draw5%
HT/FT Nottingham Forest FC / Draw5%
HT/FT Leeds United FC / Nottingham Forest FC3%
HT/FT Nottingham Forest FC / Leeds United FC2%
HandicapsProbOddsEdge
Handicap — Nottingham Forest FC +2.595%
Handicap — Leeds United FC -2.591%
Handicap — Nottingham Forest FC +1.586%
Handicap — Leeds United FC -1.578%
Handicap — Nottingham Forest FC +0.570%
Handicap — Leeds United FC -0.558%
Handicap — Nottingham Forest FC -0.542%
Handicap — Leeds United FC +0.530%
Handicap — Nottingham Forest FC -1.522%
Handicap — Leeds United FC +1.514%
Handicap — Nottingham Forest FC -2.59%
Handicap — Leeds United FC +2.55%
CardsProbOddsEdge
Under 6.5 cards98%
Under 5.5 cards94%
Under 4.5 cards86%
Under 3.5 cards71%
Over 2.5 cards51%
Under 2.5 cards49%
Most cards — Leeds United FC46%
Over 3.5 cards29%
Most cards — Nottingham Forest FC29%
Most cards — Tie25%
Over 4.5 cards14%
Over 5.5 cards6%
Any red card3%
Over 6.5 cards2%
Leeds United FC expected cards2%
Nottingham Forest FC expected cards1%
2+ red cards0%
CornersProbOddsEdge
Under 12.5 corners82%
Over 7.5 corners75%
Under 11.5 corners74%
Over 8.5 corners63%
Under 10.5 corners63%
Most corners — Nottingham Forest FC54%
Under 9.5 corners50%
Over 9.5 corners50%
Over 10.5 corners37%
Under 8.5 corners37%
Most corners — Leeds United FC34%
Over 11.5 corners27%
Under 7.5 corners25%
Over 12.5 corners18%
Nottingham Forest FC expected corners5%
Leeds United FC expected corners4%
FoulsProbOddsEdge
Under 24.5 fouls79%
Under 23.5 fouls72%
Under 22.5 fouls64%
Over 19.5 fouls61%
Under 21.5 fouls56%
Over 20.5 fouls53%
Under 20.5 fouls48%
Most fouls — Nottingham Forest FC47%
Most fouls — Leeds United FC45%
Over 21.5 fouls44%
Under 19.5 fouls39%
Over 22.5 fouls36%
Over 23.5 fouls28%
Over 24.5 fouls22%
GoalscorersProbOddsEdge
Player to score or assist — Taiwo Awoniyi (Nott'm Forest)50%
Player to score or assist — Lukas Nmecha (Leeds)46%
Player anytime scorer — Taiwo Awoniyi (Nott'm Forest)44%
Player anytime scorer — Lukas Nmecha (Leeds)40%
Player to score or assist — Dominic Calvert-Lewin (Leeds)37%
Player anytime scorer — Dominic Calvert-Lewin (Leeds)35%
Player to score or assist — Chris Wood (Nott'm Forest)32%
Player anytime scorer — Chris Wood (Nott'm Forest)30%
Player to score or assist — Morgan Gibbs-White (Nott'm Forest)28%
Player to score or assist — Omari Hutchinson (Nott'm Forest)23%
Player anytime scorer — Morgan Gibbs-White (Nott'm Forest)23%
Player to score or assist — Brenden Aaronson (Leeds)22%
Player to score or assist — Sean Longstaff (Leeds)21%
Player anytime scorer — Igor Jesus Maciel da Cruz (Nott'm Forest)19%
Player anytime scorer — Brenden Aaronson (Leeds)13%
Player anytime scorer — Daniel James (Leeds)12%
Player cardsProbOddsEdge
Player carded — Wilfried Gnonto (Leeds)35%
Player carded — Ryan Yates (Nott'm Forest)31%
Player carded — Taiwo Awoniyi (Nott'm Forest)27%
Player carded — Felipe Rodrigues da Silva (Nott'm Forest)24%
Player carded — James McAtee (Nott'm Forest)23%
Player carded — Ethan Ampadu (Leeds)21%
Player carded — Sebastiaan Bornauw (Leeds)16%
Player carded — Jayden Bogle (Leeds)15%