Brighton & Hove Albion FC v Aston Villa FC
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Brighton & Hove Albion FC v Aston Villa FC
Recommended bet
Over 1.5 goals
Total goals
De-vigged fair price from the marketLow
Win probability80%
Implied (with margin)80%
Model edge—
Odds1.25 1/4
All markets
Model-only estimates · 172 markets
Match winnerProbOddsEdge
Double chance — Brighton & Hove Albion FC or Aston Villa FC72%——
Double chance — Aston Villa FC or Draw65%——
Double chance — Brighton & Hove Albion FC or Draw63%——
Draw no bet — Aston Villa FC51%——
Draw no bet — Brighton & Hove Albion FC49%——
Aston Villa FC to win37%——
Brighton & Hove Albion FC to win35%——
Draw28%——
GoalsProbOddsEdge
Over 0.5 goals93%——
Under 5.5 goals92%——
Under 4.5 goals83%——
Over 1.5 goals80%——
Under 3.5 goals67%——
BTTS — Yes60%——
Over 2.5 goals56%——
BTTS Yes + Over 2.547%——
Goals range — 2-3 goals47%——
Under 2.5 goals44%——
BTTS — No40%——
Over 3.5 goals33%——
Goals range — 4-6 goals30%——
Under 1.5 goals20%——
Goals range — 0-1 goals20%——
Over 4.5 goals17%——
BTTS Yes + Under 2.513%——
Over 5.5 goals8%——
Under 0.5 goals7%——
Goals range — 7+ goals3%——
Score & marginProbOddsEdge
Both score no draw40%——
Brighton & Hove Albion FC to score 134%——
Aston Villa FC to score 134%——
Winning margin — Draw28%——
Aston Villa FC to score 225%——
Brighton & Hove Albion FC to score 225%——
Brighton & Hove Albion FC to score 024%——
Aston Villa FC clean sheet24%——
Aston Villa FC to score 023%——
Brighton & Hove Albion FC clean sheet23%——
Winning margin — Aston Villa FC by 119%——
Aston Villa FC to score 3+19%——
Winning margin — Brighton & Hove Albion FC by 118%——
Brighton & Hove Albion FC to score 3+18%——
Aston Villa FC win to nil17%——
Brighton & Hove Albion FC win to nil16%——
Correct score 1-113%——
Winning margin — Aston Villa FC by 211%——
Winning margin — Brighton & Hove Albion FC by 211%——
Correct score 1-29%——
Correct score 2-18%——
Correct score 0-07%——
Correct score 0-17%——
Correct score 1-06%——
Correct score 2-26%——
Correct score 0-26%——
Correct score 2-06%——
Winning margin — Aston Villa FC by 35%——
Winning margin — Brighton & Hove Albion FC by 34%——
Correct score 1-34%——
Winning margin — Aston Villa FC by 42%——
Winning margin — Brighton & Hove Albion FC by 42%——
Winning margin — Aston Villa FC by 5+1%——
Winning margin — Brighton & Hove Albion FC by 5+1%——
HalvesProbOddsEdge
1st Half Under 2.5 goals85%——
1st Half Over 0.5 goals73%——
1st Half Under 1.5 goals62%——
Aston Villa FC to win either half54%——
Brighton & Hove Albion FC to win either half52%——
Half with most goals — 2nd44%——
1st Half result — Draw40%——
1st Half Over 1.5 goals38%——
Half with most goals — 1st31%——
1st Half result — Aston Villa FC31%——
1st Half result — Brighton & Hove Albion FC30%——
Aston Villa FC to score in both halves27%——
1st Half Under 0.5 goals27%——
Brighton & Hove Albion FC to score in both halves26%——
Half with most goals — Equal24%——
HT/FT Aston Villa FC / Aston Villa FC23%——
HT/FT Brighton & Hove Albion FC / Brighton & Hove Albion FC22%——
1st Half Over 2.5 goals15%——
HT/FT Draw / Draw14%——
HT/FT Draw / Aston Villa FC13%——
HT/FT Draw / Brighton & Hove Albion FC13%——
Aston Villa FC to win both halves10%——
Brighton & Hove Albion FC to win both halves9%——
HT/FT Aston Villa FC / Draw5%——
HT/FT Brighton & Hove Albion FC / Draw5%——
HT/FT Brighton & Hove Albion FC / Aston Villa FC3%——
HT/FT Aston Villa FC / Brighton & Hove Albion FC2%——
HandicapsProbOddsEdge
Handicap — Aston Villa FC -2.594%——
Handicap — Brighton & Hove Albion FC +2.593%——
Handicap — Aston Villa FC -1.583%——
Handicap — Brighton & Hove Albion FC +1.582%——
Handicap — Aston Villa FC -0.565%——
Handicap — Brighton & Hove Albion FC +0.563%——
Handicap — Aston Villa FC +0.537%——
Handicap — Brighton & Hove Albion FC -0.535%——
Handicap — Aston Villa FC +1.519%——
Handicap — Brighton & Hove Albion FC -1.517%——
Handicap — Aston Villa FC +2.57%——
Handicap — Brighton & Hove Albion FC -2.56%——
CardsProbOddsEdge
Under 6.5 cards93%——
Under 5.5 cards85%——
Under 4.5 cards71%——
Over 2.5 cards69%——
Under 3.5 cards52%——
Over 3.5 cards48%——
Most cards — Aston Villa FC46%——
Most cards — Brighton & Hove Albion FC32%——
Under 2.5 cards31%——
Over 4.5 cards29%——
Most cards — Tie22%——
Over 5.5 cards15%——
Over 6.5 cards7%——
Any red card3%——
Aston Villa FC expected cards2%——
Brighton & Hove Albion FC expected cards2%——
2+ red cards0%——
CornersProbOddsEdge
Over 7.5 corners79%——
Under 12.5 corners78%——
Under 11.5 corners69%——
Over 8.5 corners68%——
Under 10.5 corners57%——
Over 9.5 corners56%——
Most corners — Aston Villa FC48%——
Under 9.5 corners45%——
Over 10.5 corners43%——
Most corners — Brighton & Hove Albion FC39%——
Under 8.5 corners32%——
Over 11.5 corners32%——
Over 12.5 corners22%——
Under 7.5 corners21%——
Aston Villa FC expected corners5%——
Brighton & Hove Albion FC expected corners5%——
FoulsProbOddsEdge
Under 24.5 fouls72%——
Over 19.5 fouls69%——
Under 23.5 fouls64%——
Over 20.5 fouls61%——
Under 22.5 fouls56%——
Most fouls — Brighton & Hove Albion FC54%——
Over 21.5 fouls52%——
Under 21.5 fouls48%——
Over 22.5 fouls44%——
Under 20.5 fouls39%——
Most fouls — Aston Villa FC38%——
Over 23.5 fouls36%——
Under 19.5 fouls31%——
Over 24.5 fouls28%——
GoalscorersProbOddsEdge
Player to score or assist — Tammy Abraham (Aston Villa)48%——
Player to score or assist — Charalampos Kostoulas (Brighton)43%——
Player anytime scorer — Tammy Abraham (Aston Villa)42%——
Player to score or assist — Danny Welbeck (Brighton)37%——
Player anytime scorer — Charalampos Kostoulas (Brighton)36%——
Player to score or assist — Ollie Watkins (Aston Villa)36%——
Player anytime scorer — Danny Welbeck (Brighton)34%——
Player anytime scorer — Ollie Watkins (Aston Villa)34%——
Player to score or assist — Leon Bailey (Aston Villa)28%——
Player to score or assist — Jack Hinshelwood (Brighton)27%——
Player to score or assist — Diego Gómez Amarilla (Brighton)25%——
Player to score or assist — Morgan Rogers (Aston Villa)23%——
Player anytime scorer — Diego Gómez Amarilla (Brighton)20%——
Player anytime scorer — Jack Hinshelwood (Brighton)20%——
Player anytime scorer — Morgan Rogers (Aston Villa)15%——
Player anytime scorer — Emiliano Buendía Stati (Aston Villa)13%——
Player cardsProbOddsEdge
Player carded — Charalampos Kostoulas (Brighton)35%——
Player carded — Lamare Bogarde (Aston Villa)30%——
Player carded — Joël Veltman (Brighton)30%——
Player carded — Diego Gómez Amarilla (Brighton)27%——
Player carded — Mats Wieffer (Brighton)27%——
Player carded — Emiliano Buendía Stati (Aston Villa)23%——
Player carded — Douglas Luiz Soares de Paulo (Aston Villa)22%——
Player carded — Matty Cash (Aston Villa)20%——