Newcastle United FC v Liverpool FC
Back to board
Newcastle United FC v Liverpool FC
Recommended bet
Over 1.5 goals
Total goals
De-vigged fair price from the marketLow
Win probability80%
Implied (with margin)80%
Model edge—
Odds1.25 1/4
All markets
Model-only estimates · 172 markets
Match winnerProbOddsEdge
Double chance — Newcastle United FC or Liverpool FC72%——
Double chance — Liverpool FC or Draw64%——
Double chance — Newcastle United FC or Draw63%——
Draw no bet — Liverpool FC51%——
Draw no bet — Newcastle United FC49%——
Liverpool FC to win37%——
Newcastle United FC to win36%——
Draw28%——
GoalsProbOddsEdge
Over 0.5 goals93%——
Under 5.5 goals92%——
Under 4.5 goals83%——
Over 1.5 goals80%——
Under 3.5 goals67%——
BTTS — Yes60%——
Over 2.5 goals56%——
BTTS Yes + Over 2.547%——
Goals range — 2-3 goals47%——
Under 2.5 goals44%——
BTTS — No40%——
Over 3.5 goals33%——
Goals range — 4-6 goals30%——
Under 1.5 goals20%——
Goals range — 0-1 goals20%——
Over 4.5 goals17%——
BTTS Yes + Under 2.513%——
Over 5.5 goals8%——
Under 0.5 goals7%——
Goals range — 7+ goals3%——
Score & marginProbOddsEdge
Both score no draw40%——
Newcastle United FC to score 134%——
Liverpool FC to score 134%——
Winning margin — Draw28%——
Liverpool FC to score 225%——
Newcastle United FC to score 225%——
Newcastle United FC to score 024%——
Liverpool FC clean sheet24%——
Liverpool FC to score 023%——
Newcastle United FC clean sheet23%——
Winning margin — Liverpool FC by 119%——
Liverpool FC to score 3+18%——
Winning margin — Newcastle United FC by 118%——
Newcastle United FC to score 3+18%——
Liverpool FC win to nil17%——
Newcastle United FC win to nil16%——
Correct score 1-113%——
Winning margin — Liverpool FC by 211%——
Winning margin — Newcastle United FC by 211%——
Correct score 1-29%——
Correct score 2-18%——
Correct score 0-07%——
Correct score 0-17%——
Correct score 1-06%——
Correct score 2-26%——
Correct score 0-26%——
Correct score 2-06%——
Winning margin — Liverpool FC by 35%——
Winning margin — Newcastle United FC by 35%——
Correct score 1-34%——
Winning margin — Liverpool FC by 42%——
Winning margin — Newcastle United FC by 42%——
Winning margin — Liverpool FC by 5+1%——
Winning margin — Newcastle United FC by 5+1%——
HalvesProbOddsEdge
1st Half Under 2.5 goals85%——
1st Half Over 0.5 goals73%——
1st Half Under 1.5 goals62%——
Liverpool FC to win either half53%——
Newcastle United FC to win either half52%——
Half with most goals — 2nd44%——
1st Half result — Draw40%——
1st Half Over 1.5 goals38%——
Half with most goals — 1st31%——
1st Half result — Liverpool FC30%——
1st Half result — Newcastle United FC30%——
1st Half Under 0.5 goals27%——
Liverpool FC to score in both halves27%——
Newcastle United FC to score in both halves26%——
Half with most goals — Equal24%——
HT/FT Liverpool FC / Liverpool FC23%——
HT/FT Newcastle United FC / Newcastle United FC22%——
1st Half Over 2.5 goals15%——
HT/FT Draw / Draw14%——
HT/FT Draw / Liverpool FC13%——
HT/FT Draw / Newcastle United FC13%——
Liverpool FC to win both halves10%——
Newcastle United FC to win both halves10%——
HT/FT Liverpool FC / Draw5%——
HT/FT Newcastle United FC / Draw5%——
HT/FT Newcastle United FC / Liverpool FC3%——
HT/FT Liverpool FC / Newcastle United FC2%——
HandicapsProbOddsEdge
Handicap — Liverpool FC -2.594%——
Handicap — Newcastle United FC +2.593%——
Handicap — Liverpool FC -1.583%——
Handicap — Newcastle United FC +1.582%——
Handicap — Liverpool FC -0.564%——
Handicap — Newcastle United FC +0.563%——
Handicap — Liverpool FC +0.537%——
Handicap — Newcastle United FC -0.536%——
Handicap — Liverpool FC +1.518%——
Handicap — Newcastle United FC -1.517%——
Handicap — Liverpool FC +2.57%——
Handicap — Newcastle United FC -2.57%——
CardsProbOddsEdge
Under 6.5 cards94%——
Under 5.5 cards87%——
Under 4.5 cards74%——
Over 2.5 cards67%——
Under 3.5 cards55%——
Over 3.5 cards45%——
Most cards — Liverpool FC41%——
Most cards — Newcastle United FC37%——
Under 2.5 cards33%——
Over 4.5 cards26%——
Most cards — Tie23%——
Over 5.5 cards13%——
Any red card10%——
Over 6.5 cards6%——
Liverpool FC expected cards2%——
Newcastle United FC expected cards2%——
2+ red cards1%——
CornersProbOddsEdge
Over 7.5 corners85%——
Over 8.5 corners76%——
Under 12.5 corners70%——
Over 9.5 corners65%——
Most corners — Liverpool FC60%——
Under 11.5 corners59%——
Over 10.5 corners53%——
Under 10.5 corners47%——
Over 11.5 corners41%——
Under 9.5 corners35%——
Over 12.5 corners30%——
Most corners — Newcastle United FC29%——
Under 8.5 corners24%——
Under 7.5 corners15%——
Liverpool FC expected corners6%——
Newcastle United FC expected corners5%——
FoulsProbOddsEdge
Under 24.5 fouls86%——
Under 23.5 fouls80%——
Under 22.5 fouls74%——
Under 21.5 fouls66%——
Under 20.5 fouls58%——
Over 19.5 fouls51%——
Under 19.5 fouls49%——
Most fouls — Newcastle United FC46%——
Most fouls — Liverpool FC45%——
Over 20.5 fouls42%——
Over 21.5 fouls34%——
Over 22.5 fouls26%——
Over 23.5 fouls20%——
Over 24.5 fouls14%——
GoalscorersProbOddsEdge
Player to score or assist — Yoane Wissa (Newcastle)41%——
Player to score or assist — Anthony Gordon (Newcastle)40%——
Player to score or assist — Mohamed Salah (Liverpool)38%——
Player to score or assist — Federico Chiesa (Liverpool)38%——
Player to score or assist — William Osula (Newcastle)37%——
Player to score or assist — Rio Ngumoha (Liverpool)37%——
Player anytime scorer — Yoane Wissa (Newcastle)36%——
Player anytime scorer — William Osula (Newcastle)33%——
Player to score or assist — Harvey Barnes (Newcastle)31%——
Player to score or assist — Florian Wirtz (Liverpool)31%——
Player anytime scorer — Anthony Gordon (Newcastle)31%——
Player anytime scorer — Federico Chiesa (Liverpool)29%——
Player anytime scorer — Mohamed Salah (Liverpool)25%——
Player anytime scorer — Alexander Isak (Liverpool)25%——
Player anytime scorer — Harvey Barnes (Newcastle)23%——
Player anytime scorer — Cody Gakpo (Liverpool)20%——
Player cardsProbOddsEdge
Player carded — Federico Chiesa (Liverpool)51%——
Player carded — Joe Gomez (Liverpool)40%——
Player carded — Yoane Wissa (Newcastle)35%——
Player carded — Dan Burn (Newcastle)27%——
Player carded — Joe Willock (Newcastle)21%——
Player carded — Alexis Mac Allister (Liverpool)18%——
Player carded — Dominik Szoboszlai (Liverpool)17%——
Player carded — Bruno Guimarães Rodriguez Moura (Newcastle)17%——