Chelsea FC v Brighton & Hove Albion FC
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Chelsea FC v Brighton & Hove Albion FC
Recommended bet
Over 1.5 goals
Total goals
De-vigged fair price from the marketLow
Win probability79%
Implied (with margin)79%
Model edge—
Odds1.26 1/4
All markets
Model-only estimates · 125 markets
Match winnerProbOddsEdge
Double chance — Chelsea FC or Brighton & Hove Albion FC72%——
Double chance — Chelsea FC or Draw68%——
Double chance — Brighton & Hove Albion FC or Draw60%——
Draw no bet — Chelsea FC55%——
Draw no bet — Brighton & Hove Albion FC45%——
Chelsea FC to win40%——
Brighton & Hove Albion FC to win32%——
Draw28%——
GoalsProbOddsEdge
Under 5.5 goals93%——
Over 0.5 goals93%——
Under 4.5 goals84%——
Over 1.5 goals79%——
Under 3.5 goals68%——
BTTS — Yes59%——
Over 2.5 goals54%——
Goals range — 2-3 goals47%——
Under 2.5 goals46%——
BTTS Yes + Over 2.546%——
BTTS — No41%——
Over 3.5 goals32%——
Goals range — 4-6 goals29%——
Under 1.5 goals21%——
Goals range — 0-1 goals21%——
Over 4.5 goals16%——
BTTS Yes + Under 2.513%——
Under 0.5 goals7%——
Over 5.5 goals7%——
Goals range — 7+ goals3%——
Score & marginProbOddsEdge
Both score no draw38%——
Brighton & Hove Albion FC to score 135%——
Chelsea FC to score 134%——
Winning margin — Draw28%——
Brighton & Hove Albion FC to score 026%——
Chelsea FC clean sheet26%——
Chelsea FC to score 225%——
Brighton & Hove Albion FC to score 224%——
Chelsea FC to score 022%——
Brighton & Hove Albion FC clean sheet22%——
Winning margin — Chelsea FC by 120%——
Chelsea FC to score 3+19%——
Chelsea FC win to nil19%——
Winning margin — Brighton & Hove Albion FC by 117%——
Brighton & Hove Albion FC to score 3+15%——
Brighton & Hove Albion FC win to nil15%——
Correct score 1-113%——
Winning margin — Chelsea FC by 212%——
Winning margin — Brighton & Hove Albion FC by 210%——
Correct score 2-19%——
Correct score 1-28%——
Correct score 0-07%——
Correct score 1-07%——
Correct score 2-07%——
Correct score 0-16%——
Correct score 2-26%——
Winning margin — Chelsea FC by 35%——
Correct score 0-25%——
Correct score 3-14%——
Winning margin — Brighton & Hove Albion FC by 34%——
Winning margin — Chelsea FC by 42%——
Winning margin — Brighton & Hove Albion FC by 41%——
Winning margin — Chelsea FC by 5+1%——
Winning margin — Brighton & Hove Albion FC by 5+0%——
HalvesProbOddsEdge
1st Half Under 2.5 goals86%——
1st Half Over 0.5 goals72%——
1st Half Under 1.5 goals64%——
Chelsea FC to win either half56%——
Brighton & Hove Albion FC to win either half49%——
Half with most goals — 2nd44%——
1st Half result — Draw40%——
1st Half Over 1.5 goals37%——
1st Half result — Chelsea FC32%——
Half with most goals — 1st31%——
1st Half Under 0.5 goals28%——
Chelsea FC to score in both halves28%——
1st Half result — Brighton & Hove Albion FC28%——
Half with most goals — Equal25%——
HT/FT Chelsea FC / Chelsea FC25%——
Brighton & Hove Albion FC to score in both halves24%——
HT/FT Brighton & Hove Albion FC / Brighton & Hove Albion FC20%——
HT/FT Draw / Draw15%——
HT/FT Draw / Chelsea FC14%——
1st Half Over 2.5 goals14%——
HT/FT Draw / Brighton & Hove Albion FC12%——
Chelsea FC to win both halves11%——
Brighton & Hove Albion FC to win both halves8%——
HT/FT Brighton & Hove Albion FC / Draw5%——
HT/FT Chelsea FC / Draw5%——
HT/FT Brighton & Hove Albion FC / Chelsea FC3%——
HT/FT Chelsea FC / Brighton & Hove Albion FC2%——
HandicapsProbOddsEdge
Handicap — Chelsea FC +2.595%——
Handicap — Brighton & Hove Albion FC -2.592%——
Handicap — Chelsea FC +1.585%——
Handicap — Brighton & Hove Albion FC -1.580%——
Handicap — Chelsea FC +0.568%——
Handicap — Brighton & Hove Albion FC -0.560%——
Handicap — Chelsea FC -0.540%——
Handicap — Brighton & Hove Albion FC +0.532%——
Handicap — Chelsea FC -1.520%——
Handicap — Brighton & Hove Albion FC +1.515%——
Handicap — Chelsea FC -2.58%——
Handicap — Brighton & Hove Albion FC +2.55%——
GoalscorersProbOddsEdge
Player to score or assist — Charalampos Kostoulas (Brighton)43%——
Player to score or assist — Cole Palmer (Chelsea)39%——
Player to score or assist — João Pedro Junqueira de Jesus (Chelsea)38%——
Player to score or assist — Danny Welbeck (Chelsea)37%——
Player to score or assist — Enzo Fernández (Chelsea)36%——
Player anytime scorer — Charalampos Kostoulas (Brighton)36%——
Player anytime scorer — João Pedro Junqueira de Jesus (Chelsea)34%——
Player anytime scorer — Danny Welbeck (Chelsea)34%——
Player anytime scorer — Cole Palmer (Chelsea)34%——
Player to score or assist — Jack Hinshelwood (Brighton)27%——
Player anytime scorer — Liam Delap (Chelsea)27%——
Player to score or assist — Diego Gómez Amarilla (Brighton)25%——
Player to score or assist — Yankuba Minteh (Brighton)24%——
Player anytime scorer — Diego Gómez Amarilla (Brighton)20%——
Player anytime scorer — Jack Hinshelwood (Brighton)20%——
Player anytime scorer — Georginio Rutter (Brighton)12%——
Player cardsProbOddsEdge
Player carded — Jorrel Hato (Chelsea)37%——
Player carded — Charalampos Kostoulas (Brighton)35%——
Player carded — Estêvão Almeida de Oliveira Gonçalves (Chelsea)30%——
Player carded — Benoît Badiashile Mukinayi (Chelsea)27%——
Player carded — Diego Gómez Amarilla (Brighton)27%——
Player carded — Mats Wieffer (Brighton)27%——
Player carded — Moisés Caicedo Corozo (Chelsea)26%——
Player carded — Lewis Dunk (Brighton)23%——