Chelsea FC v Brighton & Hove Albion FC
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Chelsea FC v Brighton & Hove Albion FC
Recommended bet
Over 1.5 goals
Total goals
De-vigged fair price from the marketLow
Win probability80%
Implied (with margin)80%
Model edge—
Odds1.25 1/4
All markets
Model-only estimates · 172 markets
Match winnerProbOddsEdge
Double chance — Chelsea FC or Brighton & Hove Albion FC72%——
Double chance — Chelsea FC or Draw67%——
Double chance — Brighton & Hove Albion FC or Draw60%——
Draw no bet — Chelsea FC55%——
Draw no bet — Brighton & Hove Albion FC45%——
Chelsea FC to win40%——
Brighton & Hove Albion FC to win33%——
Draw28%——
GoalsProbOddsEdge
Over 0.5 goals93%——
Under 5.5 goals92%——
Under 4.5 goals83%——
Over 1.5 goals80%——
Under 3.5 goals67%——
BTTS — Yes60%——
Over 2.5 goals56%——
BTTS Yes + Over 2.547%——
Goals range — 2-3 goals47%——
Under 2.5 goals44%——
BTTS — No40%——
Over 3.5 goals33%——
Goals range — 4-6 goals30%——
Under 1.5 goals20%——
Goals range — 0-1 goals20%——
Over 4.5 goals17%——
BTTS Yes + Under 2.513%——
Over 5.5 goals8%——
Under 0.5 goals7%——
Goals range — 7+ goals3%——
Score & marginProbOddsEdge
Both score no draw40%——
Brighton & Hove Albion FC to score 135%——
Chelsea FC to score 133%——
Winning margin — Draw28%——
Chelsea FC to score 225%——
Brighton & Hove Albion FC to score 025%——
Chelsea FC clean sheet25%——
Brighton & Hove Albion FC to score 224%——
Chelsea FC to score 022%——
Brighton & Hove Albion FC clean sheet22%——
Chelsea FC to score 3+20%——
Winning margin — Chelsea FC by 119%——
Chelsea FC win to nil18%——
Winning margin — Brighton & Hove Albion FC by 117%——
Brighton & Hove Albion FC to score 3+16%——
Brighton & Hove Albion FC win to nil15%——
Correct score 1-113%——
Winning margin — Chelsea FC by 212%——
Winning margin — Brighton & Hove Albion FC by 210%——
Correct score 2-19%——
Correct score 1-28%——
Correct score 0-07%——
Correct score 1-07%——
Correct score 2-06%——
Correct score 2-26%——
Correct score 0-16%——
Winning margin — Chelsea FC by 35%——
Correct score 0-25%——
Correct score 3-15%——
Winning margin — Brighton & Hove Albion FC by 34%——
Winning margin — Chelsea FC by 42%——
Winning margin — Brighton & Hove Albion FC by 41%——
Winning margin — Chelsea FC by 5+1%——
Winning margin — Brighton & Hove Albion FC by 5+0%——
HalvesProbOddsEdge
1st Half Under 2.5 goals85%——
1st Half Over 0.5 goals73%——
1st Half Under 1.5 goals62%——
Chelsea FC to win either half56%——
Brighton & Hove Albion FC to win either half49%——
Half with most goals — 2nd44%——
1st Half result — Draw40%——
1st Half Over 1.5 goals38%——
1st Half result — Chelsea FC32%——
Half with most goals — 1st31%——
Chelsea FC to score in both halves29%——
1st Half result — Brighton & Hove Albion FC28%——
1st Half Under 0.5 goals27%——
HT/FT Chelsea FC / Chelsea FC25%——
Brighton & Hove Albion FC to score in both halves25%——
Half with most goals — Equal24%——
HT/FT Brighton & Hove Albion FC / Brighton & Hove Albion FC20%——
1st Half Over 2.5 goals15%——
HT/FT Draw / Draw14%——
HT/FT Draw / Chelsea FC14%——
HT/FT Draw / Brighton & Hove Albion FC12%——
Chelsea FC to win both halves11%——
Brighton & Hove Albion FC to win both halves8%——
HT/FT Brighton & Hove Albion FC / Draw5%——
HT/FT Chelsea FC / Draw5%——
HT/FT Brighton & Hove Albion FC / Chelsea FC3%——
HT/FT Chelsea FC / Brighton & Hove Albion FC2%——
HandicapsProbOddsEdge
Handicap — Chelsea FC +2.595%——
Handicap — Brighton & Hove Albion FC -2.592%——
Handicap — Chelsea FC +1.585%——
Handicap — Brighton & Hove Albion FC -1.580%——
Handicap — Chelsea FC +0.567%——
Handicap — Brighton & Hove Albion FC -0.560%——
Handicap — Chelsea FC -0.540%——
Handicap — Brighton & Hove Albion FC +0.533%——
Handicap — Chelsea FC -1.520%——
Handicap — Brighton & Hove Albion FC +1.515%——
Handicap — Chelsea FC -2.58%——
Handicap — Brighton & Hove Albion FC +2.56%——
CardsProbOddsEdge
Over 2.5 cards93%——
Over 3.5 cards84%——
Over 4.5 cards70%——
Under 6.5 cards63%——
Over 5.5 cards53%——
Under 5.5 cards47%——
Most cards — Brighton & Hove Albion FC46%——
Most cards — Chelsea FC37%——
Over 6.5 cards37%——
Under 4.5 cards31%——
Most cards — Tie17%——
Any red card17%——
Under 3.5 cards16%——
Under 2.5 cards7%——
Brighton & Hove Albion FC expected cards3%——
Chelsea FC expected cards3%——
2+ red cards2%——
CornersProbOddsEdge
Over 7.5 corners85%——
Over 8.5 corners76%——
Under 12.5 corners69%——
Over 9.5 corners65%——
Under 11.5 corners59%——
Most corners — Chelsea FC58%——
Over 10.5 corners53%——
Under 10.5 corners47%——
Over 11.5 corners41%——
Under 9.5 corners35%——
Over 12.5 corners31%——
Most corners — Brighton & Hove Albion FC30%——
Under 8.5 corners24%——
Under 7.5 corners15%——
Chelsea FC expected corners6%——
Brighton & Hove Albion FC expected corners5%——
FoulsProbOddsEdge
Over 19.5 fouls82%——
Over 20.5 fouls75%——
Over 21.5 fouls68%——
Over 22.5 fouls60%——
Under 24.5 fouls56%——
Over 23.5 fouls52%——
Most fouls — Brighton & Hove Albion FC49%——
Under 23.5 fouls48%——
Over 24.5 fouls44%——
Most fouls — Chelsea FC43%——
Under 22.5 fouls40%——
Under 21.5 fouls32%——
Under 20.5 fouls25%——
Under 19.5 fouls19%——
GoalscorersProbOddsEdge
Player to score or assist — Charalampos Kostoulas (Brighton)43%——
Player to score or assist — Cole Palmer (Chelsea)39%——
Player to score or assist — João Pedro Junqueira de Jesus (Chelsea)38%——
Player to score or assist — Danny Welbeck (Brighton)37%——
Player to score or assist — Enzo Fernández (Chelsea)36%——
Player anytime scorer — Charalampos Kostoulas (Brighton)36%——
Player to score or assist — Alejandro Garnacho Ferreyra (Chelsea)35%——
Player anytime scorer — João Pedro Junqueira de Jesus (Chelsea)34%——
Player anytime scorer — Cole Palmer (Chelsea)34%——
Player anytime scorer — Danny Welbeck (Brighton)34%——
Player to score or assist — Jack Hinshelwood (Brighton)27%——
Player anytime scorer — Liam Delap (Chelsea)27%——
Player to score or assist — Diego Gómez Amarilla (Brighton)25%——
Player anytime scorer — Enzo Fernández (Chelsea)24%——
Player anytime scorer — Diego Gómez Amarilla (Brighton)20%——
Player anytime scorer — Jack Hinshelwood (Brighton)20%——
Player cardsProbOddsEdge
Player carded — Jorrel Hato (Chelsea)37%——
Player carded — Charalampos Kostoulas (Brighton)35%——
Player carded — Joël Veltman (Brighton)30%——
Player carded — Benoît Badiashile Mukinayi (Chelsea)27%——
Player carded — Diego Gómez Amarilla (Brighton)27%——
Player carded — Mats Wieffer (Brighton)27%——
Player carded — Moisés Caicedo Corozo (Chelsea)26%——
Player carded — Liam Delap (Chelsea)24%——