Aston Villa FC v Arsenal FC
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Aston Villa FC v Arsenal FC
Recommended bet
Over 1.5 goals
Total goals
De-vigged fair price from the marketLow
Win probability80%
Implied (with margin)80%
Model edge—
Odds1.25 1/4
All markets
Model-only estimates · 172 markets
Match winnerProbOddsEdge
Double chance — Aston Villa FC or Arsenal FC73%——
Double chance — Arsenal FC or Draw69%——
Double chance — Aston Villa FC or Draw59%——
Draw no bet — Arsenal FC57%——
Draw no bet — Aston Villa FC43%——
Arsenal FC to win41%——
Aston Villa FC to win31%——
Draw28%——
GoalsProbOddsEdge
Over 0.5 goals93%——
Under 5.5 goals92%——
Under 4.5 goals83%——
Over 1.5 goals80%——
Under 3.5 goals67%——
BTTS — Yes60%——
Over 2.5 goals56%——
BTTS Yes + Over 2.547%——
Goals range — 2-3 goals47%——
Under 2.5 goals44%——
BTTS — No40%——
Over 3.5 goals33%——
Goals range — 4-6 goals30%——
Under 1.5 goals20%——
Goals range — 0-1 goals20%——
Over 4.5 goals17%——
BTTS Yes + Under 2.513%——
Over 5.5 goals8%——
Under 0.5 goals7%——
Goals range — 7+ goals3%——
Score & marginProbOddsEdge
Both score no draw39%——
Aston Villa FC to score 135%——
Arsenal FC to score 133%——
Winning margin — Draw28%——
Aston Villa FC to score 026%——
Arsenal FC clean sheet26%——
Arsenal FC to score 226%——
Aston Villa FC to score 224%——
Arsenal FC to score 3+21%——
Arsenal FC to score 021%——
Aston Villa FC clean sheet21%——
Winning margin — Arsenal FC by 120%——
Arsenal FC win to nil19%——
Winning margin — Aston Villa FC by 117%——
Aston Villa FC to score 3+15%——
Aston Villa FC win to nil14%——
Correct score 1-113%——
Winning margin — Arsenal FC by 213%——
Winning margin — Aston Villa FC by 29%——
Correct score 1-29%——
Correct score 2-18%——
Correct score 0-17%——
Correct score 0-07%——
Correct score 0-27%——
Correct score 2-26%——
Correct score 1-06%——
Winning margin — Arsenal FC by 36%——
Correct score 2-05%——
Correct score 1-35%——
Winning margin — Aston Villa FC by 34%——
Winning margin — Arsenal FC by 42%——
Winning margin — Aston Villa FC by 41%——
Winning margin — Arsenal FC by 5+1%——
Winning margin — Aston Villa FC by 5+0%——
HalvesProbOddsEdge
1st Half Under 2.5 goals85%——
1st Half Over 0.5 goals73%——
1st Half Under 1.5 goals62%——
Arsenal FC to win either half57%——
Aston Villa FC to win either half48%——
Half with most goals — 2nd44%——
1st Half result — Draw40%——
1st Half Over 1.5 goals38%——
1st Half result — Arsenal FC33%——
Half with most goals — 1st31%——
Arsenal FC to score in both halves29%——
1st Half result — Aston Villa FC27%——
1st Half Under 0.5 goals27%——
HT/FT Arsenal FC / Arsenal FC26%——
Half with most goals — Equal24%——
Aston Villa FC to score in both halves24%——
HT/FT Aston Villa FC / Aston Villa FC19%——
1st Half Over 2.5 goals15%——
HT/FT Draw / Arsenal FC14%——
HT/FT Draw / Draw14%——
Arsenal FC to win both halves12%——
HT/FT Draw / Aston Villa FC11%——
Aston Villa FC to win both halves8%——
HT/FT Arsenal FC / Draw5%——
HT/FT Aston Villa FC / Draw5%——
HT/FT Aston Villa FC / Arsenal FC3%——
HT/FT Arsenal FC / Aston Villa FC2%——
HandicapsProbOddsEdge
Handicap — Arsenal FC -2.595%——
Handicap — Aston Villa FC +2.591%——
Handicap — Arsenal FC -1.586%——
Handicap — Aston Villa FC +1.578%——
Handicap — Arsenal FC -0.569%——
Handicap — Aston Villa FC +0.559%——
Handicap — Arsenal FC +0.541%——
Handicap — Aston Villa FC -0.531%——
Handicap — Arsenal FC +1.522%——
Handicap — Aston Villa FC -1.514%——
Handicap — Arsenal FC +2.59%——
Handicap — Aston Villa FC -2.55%——
CardsProbOddsEdge
Under 6.5 cards98%——
Under 5.5 cards94%——
Under 4.5 cards85%——
Under 3.5 cards70%——
Over 2.5 cards53%——
Most cards — Arsenal FC48%——
Under 2.5 cards47%——
Over 3.5 cards30%——
Most cards — Aston Villa FC28%——
Most cards — Tie25%——
Over 4.5 cards15%——
Over 5.5 cards6%——
Any red card3%——
Over 6.5 cards2%——
Arsenal FC expected cards2%——
Aston Villa FC expected cards1%——
2+ red cards0%——
CornersProbOddsEdge
Over 7.5 corners85%——
Over 8.5 corners76%——
Under 12.5 corners70%——
Over 9.5 corners65%——
Under 11.5 corners59%——
Over 10.5 corners53%——
Most corners — Arsenal FC49%——
Under 10.5 corners47%——
Over 11.5 corners41%——
Most corners — Aston Villa FC39%——
Under 9.5 corners35%——
Over 12.5 corners30%——
Under 8.5 corners24%——
Under 7.5 corners15%——
Arsenal FC expected corners6%——
Aston Villa FC expected corners5%——
FoulsProbOddsEdge
Under 24.5 fouls86%——
Under 23.5 fouls81%——
Under 22.5 fouls75%——
Under 21.5 fouls68%——
Under 20.5 fouls59%——
Under 19.5 fouls51%——
Over 19.5 fouls49%——
Most fouls — Arsenal FC47%——
Most fouls — Aston Villa FC44%——
Over 20.5 fouls41%——
Over 21.5 fouls32%——
Over 22.5 fouls25%——
Over 23.5 fouls19%——
Over 24.5 fouls14%——
GoalscorersProbOddsEdge
Player to score or assist — Tammy Abraham (Aston Villa)48%——
Player anytime scorer — Tammy Abraham (Aston Villa)42%——
Player to score or assist — Gabriel Fernando de Jesus (Arsenal)41%——
Player to score or assist — Kai Havertz (Arsenal)40%——
Player to score or assist — Bukayo Saka (Arsenal)39%——
Player to score or assist — Viktor Gyökeres (Arsenal)38%——
Player anytime scorer — Gabriel Fernando de Jesus (Arsenal)38%——
Player to score or assist — Ollie Watkins (Aston Villa)36%——
Player anytime scorer — Kai Havertz (Arsenal)35%——
Player anytime scorer — Viktor Gyökeres (Arsenal)34%——
Player anytime scorer — Ollie Watkins (Aston Villa)34%——
Player to score or assist — Leon Bailey (Aston Villa)28%——
Player anytime scorer — Gabriel Martinelli Silva (Arsenal)25%——
Player to score or assist — Morgan Rogers (Aston Villa)23%——
Player anytime scorer — Morgan Rogers (Aston Villa)15%——
Player anytime scorer — Emiliano Buendía Stati (Aston Villa)13%——
Player cardsProbOddsEdge
Player carded — Gabriel Fernando de Jesus (Arsenal)42%——
Player carded — Lamare Bogarde (Aston Villa)30%——
Player carded — Myles Lewis-Skelly (Arsenal)28%——
Player carded — Cristhian Mosquera (Arsenal)26%——
Player carded — Emiliano Buendía Stati (Aston Villa)23%——
Player carded — Douglas Luiz Soares de Paulo (Aston Villa)22%——
Player carded — Matty Cash (Aston Villa)20%——
Player carded — Riccardo Calafiori (Arsenal)20%——