Aston Villa FC v Arsenal FC
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Aston Villa FC v Arsenal FC
Recommended bet
Over 1.5 goals
Total goals
De-vigged fair price from the marketLow
Win probability79%
Implied (with margin)79%
Model edge—
Odds1.26 1/4
All markets
Model-only estimates · 125 markets
Match winnerProbOddsEdge
Double chance — Aston Villa FC or Arsenal FC72%——
Double chance — Arsenal FC or Draw69%——
Double chance — Aston Villa FC or Draw59%——
Draw no bet — Arsenal FC57%——
Draw no bet — Aston Villa FC43%——
Arsenal FC to win41%——
Aston Villa FC to win31%——
Draw28%——
GoalsProbOddsEdge
Under 5.5 goals93%——
Over 0.5 goals93%——
Under 4.5 goals84%——
Over 1.5 goals79%——
Under 3.5 goals68%——
BTTS — Yes59%——
Over 2.5 goals54%——
Goals range — 2-3 goals47%——
Under 2.5 goals46%——
BTTS Yes + Over 2.545%——
BTTS — No41%——
Over 3.5 goals32%——
Goals range — 4-6 goals29%——
Under 1.5 goals21%——
Goals range — 0-1 goals21%——
Over 4.5 goals16%——
BTTS Yes + Under 2.513%——
Under 0.5 goals7%——
Over 5.5 goals7%——
Goals range — 7+ goals3%——
Score & marginProbOddsEdge
Both score no draw38%——
Aston Villa FC to score 135%——
Arsenal FC to score 133%——
Winning margin — Draw28%——
Aston Villa FC to score 027%——
Arsenal FC clean sheet27%——
Arsenal FC to score 225%——
Aston Villa FC to score 223%——
Arsenal FC to score 022%——
Aston Villa FC clean sheet22%——
Winning margin — Arsenal FC by 120%——
Arsenal FC to score 3+20%——
Arsenal FC win to nil20%——
Winning margin — Aston Villa FC by 117%——
Aston Villa FC to score 3+14%——
Aston Villa FC win to nil14%——
Correct score 1-113%——
Winning margin — Arsenal FC by 213%——
Winning margin — Aston Villa FC by 29%——
Correct score 1-29%——
Correct score 2-18%——
Correct score 0-18%——
Correct score 0-07%——
Correct score 0-27%——
Correct score 1-06%——
Correct score 2-26%——
Winning margin — Arsenal FC by 36%——
Correct score 2-05%——
Correct score 1-35%——
Winning margin — Aston Villa FC by 34%——
Winning margin — Arsenal FC by 42%——
Winning margin — Aston Villa FC by 41%——
Winning margin — Arsenal FC by 5+1%——
Winning margin — Aston Villa FC by 5+0%——
HalvesProbOddsEdge
1st Half Under 2.5 goals86%——
1st Half Over 0.5 goals72%——
1st Half Under 1.5 goals64%——
Arsenal FC to win either half57%——
Aston Villa FC to win either half47%——
Half with most goals — 2nd44%——
1st Half result — Draw40%——
1st Half Over 1.5 goals37%——
1st Half result — Arsenal FC33%——
Half with most goals — 1st31%——
Arsenal FC to score in both halves29%——
1st Half Under 0.5 goals28%——
1st Half result — Aston Villa FC27%——
HT/FT Arsenal FC / Arsenal FC26%——
Half with most goals — Equal25%——
Aston Villa FC to score in both halves23%——
HT/FT Aston Villa FC / Aston Villa FC19%——
HT/FT Draw / Arsenal FC15%——
HT/FT Draw / Draw14%——
1st Half Over 2.5 goals14%——
Arsenal FC to win both halves12%——
HT/FT Draw / Aston Villa FC12%——
Aston Villa FC to win both halves8%——
HT/FT Arsenal FC / Draw5%——
HT/FT Aston Villa FC / Draw5%——
HT/FT Aston Villa FC / Arsenal FC3%——
HT/FT Arsenal FC / Aston Villa FC2%——
HandicapsProbOddsEdge
Handicap — Arsenal FC -2.595%——
Handicap — Aston Villa FC +2.592%——
Handicap — Arsenal FC -1.586%——
Handicap — Aston Villa FC +1.579%——
Handicap — Arsenal FC -0.569%——
Handicap — Aston Villa FC +0.559%——
Handicap — Arsenal FC +0.541%——
Handicap — Aston Villa FC -0.531%——
Handicap — Arsenal FC +1.521%——
Handicap — Aston Villa FC -1.514%——
Handicap — Arsenal FC +2.59%——
Handicap — Aston Villa FC -2.55%——
GoalscorersProbOddsEdge
Player to score or assist — Tammy Abraham (Aston Villa)48%——
Player anytime scorer — Tammy Abraham (Aston Villa)42%——
Player to score or assist — Gabriel Fernando de Jesus (Arsenal)41%——
Player to score or assist — Kai Havertz (Arsenal)40%——
Player to score or assist — Bukayo Saka (Arsenal)39%——
Player to score or assist — Viktor Gyökeres (Arsenal)38%——
Player anytime scorer — Gabriel Fernando de Jesus (Arsenal)38%——
Player to score or assist — Ollie Watkins (Aston Villa)36%——
Player anytime scorer — Kai Havertz (Arsenal)35%——
Player to score or assist — Alejandro Garnacho Ferreyra (Aston Villa)35%——
Player anytime scorer — Viktor Gyökeres (Arsenal)34%——
Player anytime scorer — Ollie Watkins (Aston Villa)34%——
Player to score or assist — Leon Bailey (Aston Villa)28%——
Player anytime scorer — Gabriel Martinelli Silva (Arsenal)25%——
Player anytime scorer — Alejandro Garnacho Ferreyra (Aston Villa)19%——
Player anytime scorer — Emiliano Buendía Stati (Aston Villa)13%——
Player cardsProbOddsEdge
Player carded — Gabriel Fernando de Jesus (Arsenal)42%——
Player carded — Lamare Bogarde (Aston Villa)30%——
Player carded — Myles Lewis-Skelly (Arsenal)28%——
Player carded — Joao Gomes (Aston Villa)26%——
Player carded — Cristhian Mosquera (Arsenal)26%——
Player carded — Boubacar Kamara (Aston Villa)23%——
Player carded — Emiliano Buendía Stati (Aston Villa)23%——
Player carded — Riccardo Calafiori (Arsenal)20%——