Brighton & Hove Albion FC v Leeds United FC
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Brighton & Hove Albion FC v Leeds United FC
Recommended bet
Over 1.5 goals
Total goals
De-vigged fair price from the marketLow
Win probability80%
Implied (with margin)80%
Model edge—
Odds1.25 1/4
All markets
Model-only estimates · 172 markets
Match winnerProbOddsEdge
Double chance — Brighton & Hove Albion FC or Leeds United FC73%——
Double chance — Brighton & Hove Albion FC or Draw71%——
Draw no bet — Brighton & Hove Albion FC60%——
Double chance — Leeds United FC or Draw56%——
Brighton & Hove Albion FC to win44%——
Draw no bet — Leeds United FC40%——
Leeds United FC to win29%——
Draw27%——
GoalsProbOddsEdge
Over 0.5 goals93%——
Under 5.5 goals92%——
Under 4.5 goals83%——
Over 1.5 goals80%——
Under 3.5 goals67%——
BTTS — Yes60%——
Over 2.5 goals56%——
BTTS Yes + Over 2.547%——
Goals range — 2-3 goals47%——
Under 2.5 goals44%——
BTTS — No40%——
Over 3.5 goals33%——
Goals range — 4-6 goals30%——
Under 1.5 goals20%——
Goals range — 0-1 goals20%——
Over 4.5 goals17%——
BTTS Yes + Under 2.513%——
Over 5.5 goals8%——
Under 0.5 goals7%——
Goals range — 7+ goals3%——
Score & marginProbOddsEdge
Both score no draw39%——
Leeds United FC to score 136%——
Brighton & Hove Albion FC to score 132%——
Leeds United FC to score 027%——
Brighton & Hove Albion FC clean sheet27%——
Winning margin — Draw27%——
Brighton & Hove Albion FC to score 226%——
Leeds United FC to score 223%——
Brighton & Hove Albion FC to score 3+22%——
Brighton & Hove Albion FC win to nil21%——
Winning margin — Brighton & Hove Albion FC by 120%——
Brighton & Hove Albion FC to score 020%——
Leeds United FC clean sheet20%——
Winning margin — Leeds United FC by 116%——
Leeds United FC to score 3+14%——
Winning margin — Brighton & Hove Albion FC by 214%——
Leeds United FC win to nil13%——
Correct score 1-113%——
Correct score 2-19%——
Winning margin — Leeds United FC by 29%——
Correct score 1-27%——
Correct score 1-07%——
Correct score 2-07%——
Correct score 0-07%——
Winning margin — Brighton & Hove Albion FC by 36%——
Correct score 2-26%——
Correct score 0-16%——
Correct score 3-15%——
Correct score 0-25%——
Winning margin — Leeds United FC by 33%——
Winning margin — Brighton & Hove Albion FC by 42%——
Winning margin — Leeds United FC by 41%——
Winning margin — Brighton & Hove Albion FC by 5+1%——
Winning margin — Leeds United FC by 5+0%——
HalvesProbOddsEdge
1st Half Under 2.5 goals85%——
1st Half Over 0.5 goals73%——
1st Half Under 1.5 goals62%——
Brighton & Hove Albion FC to win either half59%——
Leeds United FC to win either half46%——
Half with most goals — 2nd44%——
1st Half result — Draw40%——
1st Half Over 1.5 goals38%——
1st Half result — Brighton & Hove Albion FC35%——
Half with most goals — 1st31%——
Brighton & Hove Albion FC to score in both halves31%——
HT/FT Brighton & Hove Albion FC / Brighton & Hove Albion FC27%——
1st Half Under 0.5 goals27%——
1st Half result — Leeds United FC26%——
Half with most goals — Equal24%——
Leeds United FC to score in both halves23%——
HT/FT Leeds United FC / Leeds United FC18%——
HT/FT Draw / Brighton & Hove Albion FC15%——
1st Half Over 2.5 goals15%——
HT/FT Draw / Draw14%——
Brighton & Hove Albion FC to win both halves13%——
HT/FT Draw / Leeds United FC11%——
Leeds United FC to win both halves7%——
HT/FT Leeds United FC / Draw5%——
HT/FT Brighton & Hove Albion FC / Draw5%——
HT/FT Leeds United FC / Brighton & Hove Albion FC3%——
HT/FT Brighton & Hove Albion FC / Leeds United FC2%——
HandicapsProbOddsEdge
Handicap — Brighton & Hove Albion FC +2.596%——
Handicap — Leeds United FC -2.590%——
Handicap — Brighton & Hove Albion FC +1.587%——
Handicap — Leeds United FC -1.577%——
Handicap — Brighton & Hove Albion FC +0.571%——
Handicap — Leeds United FC -0.556%——
Handicap — Brighton & Hove Albion FC -0.544%——
Handicap — Leeds United FC +0.529%——
Handicap — Brighton & Hove Albion FC -1.523%——
Handicap — Leeds United FC +1.513%——
Handicap — Brighton & Hove Albion FC -2.510%——
Handicap — Leeds United FC +2.55%——
CardsProbOddsEdge
Under 6.5 cards93%——
Under 5.5 cards86%——
Under 4.5 cards72%——
Over 2.5 cards68%——
Under 3.5 cards53%——
Over 3.5 cards47%——
Most cards — Leeds United FC43%——
Most cards — Brighton & Hove Albion FC35%——
Under 2.5 cards32%——
Over 4.5 cards28%——
Most cards — Tie22%——
Over 5.5 cards14%——
Over 6.5 cards7%——
Any red card3%——
Leeds United FC expected cards2%——
Brighton & Hove Albion FC expected cards2%——
2+ red cards0%——
CornersProbOddsEdge
Under 12.5 corners85%——
Under 11.5 corners77%——
Over 7.5 corners71%——
Under 10.5 corners67%——
Over 8.5 corners58%——
Under 9.5 corners55%——
Most corners — Brighton & Hove Albion FC49%——
Over 9.5 corners45%——
Under 8.5 corners42%——
Most corners — Leeds United FC38%——
Over 10.5 corners33%——
Under 7.5 corners29%——
Over 11.5 corners23%——
Over 12.5 corners15%——
Brighton & Hove Albion FC expected corners5%——
Leeds United FC expected corners4%——
FoulsProbOddsEdge
Over 19.5 fouls74%——
Over 20.5 fouls67%——
Under 24.5 fouls66%——
Over 21.5 fouls59%——
Under 23.5 fouls58%——
Most fouls — Brighton & Hove Albion FC52%——
Over 22.5 fouls51%——
Under 22.5 fouls50%——
Over 23.5 fouls42%——
Under 21.5 fouls41%——
Most fouls — Leeds United FC40%——
Over 24.5 fouls34%——
Under 20.5 fouls33%——
Under 19.5 fouls26%——
GoalscorersProbOddsEdge
Player to score or assist — Lukas Nmecha (Leeds)46%——
Player to score or assist — Charalampos Kostoulas (Brighton)43%——
Player anytime scorer — Lukas Nmecha (Leeds)40%——
Player to score or assist — Danny Welbeck (Brighton)37%——
Player to score or assist — Dominic Calvert-Lewin (Leeds)37%——
Player anytime scorer — Charalampos Kostoulas (Brighton)36%——
Player anytime scorer — Dominic Calvert-Lewin (Leeds)35%——
Player anytime scorer — Danny Welbeck (Brighton)34%——
Player to score or assist — Jack Hinshelwood (Brighton)27%——
Player to score or assist — Diego Gómez Amarilla (Brighton)25%——
Player to score or assist — Brenden Aaronson (Leeds)22%——
Player to score or assist — Sean Longstaff (Leeds)21%——
Player anytime scorer — Diego Gómez Amarilla (Brighton)20%——
Player anytime scorer — Jack Hinshelwood (Brighton)20%——
Player anytime scorer — Brenden Aaronson (Leeds)13%——
Player anytime scorer — Daniel James (Leeds)12%——
Player cardsProbOddsEdge
Player carded — Wilfried Gnonto (Leeds)35%——
Player carded — Charalampos Kostoulas (Brighton)35%——
Player carded — Joël Veltman (Brighton)30%——
Player carded — Diego Gómez Amarilla (Brighton)27%——
Player carded — Mats Wieffer (Brighton)27%——
Player carded — Ethan Ampadu (Leeds)21%——
Player carded — Sebastiaan Bornauw (Leeds)16%——
Player carded — Jayden Bogle (Leeds)15%——