Brighton & Hove Albion FC v Leeds United FC
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Football·Premier League· 2026-09-05 · 14:00

Brighton & Hove Albion FC v Leeds United FC

Recommended bet
Over 1.5 goals
Total goals
De-vigged fair price from the marketLow
Win probability79%
Implied (with margin)79%
Model edge
Odds1.27 1/4
All markets
Model-only estimates · 125 markets
Match winnerProbOddsEdge
Double chance — Brighton & Hove Albion FC or Leeds United FC72%
Double chance — Brighton & Hove Albion FC or Draw71%
Draw no bet — Brighton & Hove Albion FC60%
Double chance — Leeds United FC or Draw57%
Brighton & Hove Albion FC to win44%
Draw no bet — Leeds United FC40%
Leeds United FC to win29%
Draw28%
GoalsProbOddsEdge
Under 5.5 goals93%
Over 0.5 goals93%
Under 4.5 goals84%
Over 1.5 goals79%
Under 3.5 goals68%
BTTS — Yes58%
Over 2.5 goals54%
Goals range — 2-3 goals47%
Under 2.5 goals46%
BTTS Yes + Over 2.545%
BTTS — No42%
Over 3.5 goals32%
Goals range — 4-6 goals29%
Under 1.5 goals21%
Goals range — 0-1 goals21%
Over 4.5 goals16%
BTTS Yes + Under 2.513%
Under 0.5 goals7%
Over 5.5 goals7%
Goals range — 7+ goals3%
Score & marginProbOddsEdge
Both score no draw38%
Leeds United FC to score 136%
Brighton & Hove Albion FC to score 133%
Leeds United FC to score 029%
Brighton & Hove Albion FC clean sheet29%
Winning margin — Draw28%
Brighton & Hove Albion FC to score 226%
Leeds United FC to score 222%
Brighton & Hove Albion FC to score 3+21%
Brighton & Hove Albion FC win to nil21%
Winning margin — Brighton & Hove Albion FC by 121%
Brighton & Hove Albion FC to score 021%
Leeds United FC clean sheet21%
Winning margin — Leeds United FC by 116%
Winning margin — Brighton & Hove Albion FC by 214%
Leeds United FC to score 3+13%
Leeds United FC win to nil13%
Correct score 1-113%
Correct score 2-19%
Winning margin — Leeds United FC by 29%
Correct score 1-08%
Correct score 0-07%
Correct score 2-07%
Correct score 1-27%
Winning margin — Brighton & Hove Albion FC by 36%
Correct score 0-16%
Correct score 2-26%
Correct score 3-15%
Correct score 0-25%
Winning margin — Leeds United FC by 33%
Winning margin — Brighton & Hove Albion FC by 42%
Winning margin — Leeds United FC by 41%
Winning margin — Brighton & Hove Albion FC by 5+1%
Winning margin — Leeds United FC by 5+0%
HalvesProbOddsEdge
1st Half Under 2.5 goals86%
1st Half Over 0.5 goals72%
1st Half Under 1.5 goals64%
Brighton & Hove Albion FC to win either half59%
Leeds United FC to win either half45%
Half with most goals — 2nd44%
1st Half result — Draw40%
1st Half Over 1.5 goals37%
1st Half result — Brighton & Hove Albion FC35%
Half with most goals — 1st31%
Brighton & Hove Albion FC to score in both halves30%
1st Half Under 0.5 goals28%
HT/FT Brighton & Hove Albion FC / Brighton & Hove Albion FC27%
1st Half result — Leeds United FC25%
Half with most goals — Equal25%
Leeds United FC to score in both halves22%
HT/FT Leeds United FC / Leeds United FC17%
HT/FT Draw / Brighton & Hove Albion FC15%
HT/FT Draw / Draw14%
1st Half Over 2.5 goals14%
Brighton & Hove Albion FC to win both halves13%
HT/FT Draw / Leeds United FC11%
Leeds United FC to win both halves7%
HT/FT Leeds United FC / Draw5%
HT/FT Brighton & Hove Albion FC / Draw5%
HT/FT Leeds United FC / Brighton & Hove Albion FC3%
HT/FT Brighton & Hove Albion FC / Leeds United FC2%
HandicapsProbOddsEdge
Handicap — Brighton & Hove Albion FC +2.596%
Handicap — Leeds United FC -2.591%
Handicap — Brighton & Hove Albion FC +1.587%
Handicap — Leeds United FC -1.577%
Handicap — Brighton & Hove Albion FC +0.571%
Handicap — Leeds United FC -0.557%
Handicap — Brighton & Hove Albion FC -0.544%
Handicap — Leeds United FC +0.529%
Handicap — Brighton & Hove Albion FC -1.523%
Handicap — Leeds United FC +1.513%
Handicap — Brighton & Hove Albion FC -2.59%
Handicap — Leeds United FC +2.54%
GoalscorersProbOddsEdge
Player to score or assist — Lukas Nmecha (Leeds)46%
Player to score or assist — Charalampos Kostoulas (Brighton)43%
Player anytime scorer — Lukas Nmecha (Leeds)40%
Player to score or assist — Dominic Calvert-Lewin (Leeds)37%
Player anytime scorer — Charalampos Kostoulas (Brighton)36%
Player anytime scorer — Dominic Calvert-Lewin (Leeds)35%
Player to score or assist — Jack Hinshelwood (Brighton)27%
Player to score or assist — Noah Okafor (Leeds)27%
Player to score or assist — Harry Wilson (Leeds)26%
Player to score or assist — Diego Gómez Amarilla (Brighton)25%
Player to score or assist — Georginio Rutter (Brighton)22%
Player anytime scorer — Noah Okafor (Leeds)22%
Player anytime scorer — Diego Gómez Amarilla (Brighton)20%
Player anytime scorer — Jack Hinshelwood (Brighton)20%
Player anytime scorer — Harry Wilson (Leeds)15%
Player anytime scorer — Georginio Rutter (Brighton)12%
Player cardsProbOddsEdge
Player carded — Wilfried Gnonto (Leeds)35%
Player carded — Charalampos Kostoulas (Brighton)35%
Player carded — Diego Gómez Amarilla (Brighton)27%
Player carded — Mats Wieffer (Brighton)27%
Player carded — Lewis Dunk (Brighton)23%
Player carded — Ethan Ampadu (Leeds)21%
Player carded — Harry Wilson (Leeds)18%
Player carded — Sebastiaan Bornauw (Leeds)16%