Hull City AFC v Aston Villa FC
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Hull City AFC v Aston Villa FC
Recommended bet
Aston Villa FC or Draw
Double chance
De-vigged fair price from the marketLow
Win probability83%
Implied (with margin)83%
Model edge—
Odds1.21 1/5
All markets
Model-only estimates · 172 markets
Match winnerProbOddsEdge
Double chance — Aston Villa FC or Draw83%——
Draw no bet — Aston Villa FC78%——
Double chance — Hull City AFC or Aston Villa FC76%——
Aston Villa FC to win59%——
Double chance — Hull City AFC or Draw41%——
Draw24%——
Draw no bet — Hull City AFC23%——
Hull City AFC to win17%——
GoalsProbOddsEdge
Over 0.5 goals93%——
Under 5.5 goals92%——
Under 4.5 goals83%——
Over 1.5 goals80%——
Under 3.5 goals67%——
Over 2.5 goals56%——
BTTS — Yes55%——
Goals range — 2-3 goals47%——
BTTS — No45%——
Under 2.5 goals44%——
BTTS Yes + Over 2.543%——
Over 3.5 goals33%——
Goals range — 4-6 goals30%——
Under 1.5 goals20%——
Goals range — 0-1 goals20%——
Over 4.5 goals17%——
BTTS Yes + Under 2.512%——
Over 5.5 goals8%——
Under 0.5 goals7%——
Goals range — 7+ goals3%——
Score & marginProbOddsEdge
Hull City AFC to score 038%——
Aston Villa FC clean sheet38%——
Both score no draw37%——
Hull City AFC to score 137%——
Aston Villa FC win to nil31%——
Aston Villa FC to score 3+31%——
Aston Villa FC to score 128%——
Aston Villa FC to score 227%——
Winning margin — Draw24%——
Winning margin — Aston Villa FC by 123%——
Winning margin — Aston Villa FC by 218%——
Hull City AFC to score 218%——
Aston Villa FC to score 014%——
Hull City AFC clean sheet14%——
Correct score 1-112%——
Winning margin — Hull City AFC by 111%——
Winning margin — Aston Villa FC by 310%——
Correct score 0-210%——
Correct score 1-210%——
Correct score 0-19%——
Hull City AFC win to nil8%——
Hull City AFC to score 3+8%——
Correct score 0-07%——
Correct score 0-37%——
Correct score 1-36%——
Correct score 2-15%——
Correct score 2-25%——
Winning margin — Hull City AFC by 25%——
Winning margin — Aston Villa FC by 45%——
Correct score 1-04%——
Winning margin — Aston Villa FC by 5+2%——
Winning margin — Hull City AFC by 31%——
Winning margin — Hull City AFC by 40%——
Winning margin — Hull City AFC by 5+0%——
HalvesProbOddsEdge
1st Half Under 2.5 goals85%——
1st Half Over 0.5 goals73%——
Aston Villa FC to win either half71%——
1st Half Under 1.5 goals62%——
Half with most goals — 2nd44%——
1st Half result — Aston Villa FC44%——
HT/FT Aston Villa FC / Aston Villa FC39%——
1st Half result — Draw38%——
Aston Villa FC to score in both halves38%——
1st Half Over 1.5 goals38%——
Hull City AFC to win either half33%——
Half with most goals — 1st31%——
1st Half Under 0.5 goals27%——
Half with most goals — Equal24%——
Aston Villa FC to win both halves21%——
HT/FT Draw / Aston Villa FC19%——
1st Half result — Hull City AFC18%——
Hull City AFC to score in both halves15%——
1st Half Over 2.5 goals15%——
HT/FT Draw / Draw13%——
HT/FT Hull City AFC / Hull City AFC10%——
HT/FT Draw / Hull City AFC7%——
HT/FT Aston Villa FC / Draw4%——
HT/FT Hull City AFC / Draw4%——
Hull City AFC to win both halves3%——
HT/FT Hull City AFC / Aston Villa FC3%——
HT/FT Aston Villa FC / Hull City AFC1%——
HandicapsProbOddsEdge
Handicap — Aston Villa FC -2.598%——
Handicap — Aston Villa FC -1.594%——
Handicap — Aston Villa FC -0.583%——
Handicap — Hull City AFC +2.583%——
Handicap — Hull City AFC +1.564%——
Handicap — Aston Villa FC +0.559%——
Handicap — Hull City AFC +0.541%——
Handicap — Aston Villa FC +1.536%——
Handicap — Aston Villa FC +2.517%——
Handicap — Hull City AFC -0.517%——
Handicap — Hull City AFC -1.56%——
Handicap — Hull City AFC -2.52%——
CardsProbOddsEdge
Under 6.5 cards96%——
Under 5.5 cards90%——
Under 4.5 cards80%——
Under 3.5 cards62%——
Over 2.5 cards60%——
Most cards — Aston Villa FC46%——
Under 2.5 cards40%——
Over 3.5 cards38%——
Most cards — Hull City AFC31%——
Most cards — Tie23%——
Over 4.5 cards20%——
Over 5.5 cards10%——
Over 6.5 cards4%——
Any red card3%——
Aston Villa FC expected cards2%——
Hull City AFC expected cards1%——
2+ red cards0%——
CornersProbOddsEdge
Over 7.5 corners90%——
Over 8.5 corners83%——
Over 9.5 corners73%——
Over 10.5 corners63%——
Under 12.5 corners61%——
Most corners — Hull City AFC59%——
Over 11.5 corners51%——
Under 11.5 corners49%——
Over 12.5 corners39%——
Under 10.5 corners38%——
Most corners — Aston Villa FC30%——
Under 9.5 corners27%——
Under 8.5 corners17%——
Under 7.5 corners10%——
Hull City AFC expected corners7%——
Aston Villa FC expected corners5%——
FoulsProbOddsEdge
Under 24.5 fouls91%——
Under 23.5 fouls87%——
Under 22.5 fouls81%——
Under 21.5 fouls75%——
Under 20.5 fouls67%——
Under 19.5 fouls59%——
Most fouls — Aston Villa FC47%——
Most fouls — Hull City AFC44%——
Over 19.5 fouls41%——
Over 20.5 fouls33%——
Over 21.5 fouls25%——
Over 22.5 fouls19%——
Over 23.5 fouls13%——
Over 24.5 fouls9%——
GoalscorersProbOddsEdge
Player to score or assist — Erling Haaland (Man City)51%——
Player to score or assist — Tammy Abraham (Aston Villa)48%——
Player anytime scorer — Erling Haaland (Man City)48%——
Player to score or assist — Rayan Cherki (Man City)43%——
Player anytime scorer — Tammy Abraham (Aston Villa)42%——
Player to score or assist — Ollie Watkins (Aston Villa)36%——
Player anytime scorer — Ollie Watkins (Aston Villa)34%——
Player to score or assist — Phil Foden (Man City)32%——
Player to score or assist — Sávio Moreira de Oliveira (Man City)32%——
Player to score or assist — Leon Bailey (Aston Villa)28%——
Player anytime scorer — Omar Marmoush (Man City)26%——
Player to score or assist — Morgan Rogers (Aston Villa)23%——
Player anytime scorer — Antoine Semenyo (Man City)23%——
Player anytime scorer — Sávio Moreira de Oliveira (Man City)21%——
Player anytime scorer — Morgan Rogers (Aston Villa)15%——
Player anytime scorer — Emiliano Buendía Stati (Aston Villa)13%——
Player cardsProbOddsEdge
Player carded — Rico Lewis (Man City)31%——
Player carded — Lamare Bogarde (Aston Villa)30%——
Player carded — Omar Marmoush (Man City)28%——
Player carded — Nico González Iglesias (Man City)25%——
Player carded — Bernardo Mota Veiga de Carvalho e Silva (Man City)23%——
Player carded — Emiliano Buendía Stati (Aston Villa)23%——
Player carded — Douglas Luiz Soares de Paulo (Aston Villa)22%——
Player carded — Matty Cash (Aston Villa)20%——