Arsenal FC v Chelsea FC
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Football·Premier League· 2026-09-05 · 14:00

Arsenal FC v Chelsea FC

Recommended bet
Arsenal FC or Draw
Double chance
De-vigged fair price from the marketLow
Win probability82%
Implied (with margin)82%
Model edge
Odds1.22 2/9
All markets
Model-only estimates · 172 markets
Match winnerProbOddsEdge
Double chance — Arsenal FC or Draw82%
Draw no bet — Arsenal FC76%
Double chance — Arsenal FC or Chelsea FC75%
Arsenal FC to win57%
Double chance — Chelsea FC or Draw43%
Draw25%
Draw no bet — Chelsea FC24%
Chelsea FC to win18%
GoalsProbOddsEdge
Over 0.5 goals93%
Under 5.5 goals92%
Under 4.5 goals83%
Over 1.5 goals80%
Under 3.5 goals67%
Over 2.5 goals56%
BTTS — Yes56%
Goals range — 2-3 goals47%
BTTS — No45%
Under 2.5 goals44%
BTTS Yes + Over 2.544%
Over 3.5 goals33%
Goals range — 4-6 goals30%
Under 1.5 goals20%
Goals range — 0-1 goals20%
Over 4.5 goals17%
BTTS Yes + Under 2.512%
Over 5.5 goals8%
Under 0.5 goals7%
Goals range — 7+ goals3%
Score & marginProbOddsEdge
Both score no draw38%
Chelsea FC to score 137%
Chelsea FC to score 036%
Arsenal FC clean sheet36%
Arsenal FC to score 3+30%
Arsenal FC win to nil30%
Arsenal FC to score 128%
Arsenal FC to score 227%
Winning margin — Draw25%
Winning margin — Arsenal FC by 123%
Chelsea FC to score 219%
Winning margin — Arsenal FC by 218%
Arsenal FC to score 015%
Chelsea FC clean sheet15%
Correct score 1-112%
Winning margin — Chelsea FC by 111%
Correct score 2-110%
Winning margin — Arsenal FC by 310%
Correct score 2-010%
Correct score 1-09%
Chelsea FC to score 3+8%
Chelsea FC win to nil8%
Correct score 0-07%
Correct score 3-16%
Correct score 3-06%
Correct score 1-25%
Correct score 2-25%
Winning margin — Chelsea FC by 25%
Winning margin — Arsenal FC by 44%
Correct score 0-14%
Winning margin — Arsenal FC by 5+2%
Winning margin — Chelsea FC by 32%
Winning margin — Chelsea FC by 40%
Winning margin — Chelsea FC by 5+0%
HalvesProbOddsEdge
1st Half Under 2.5 goals85%
1st Half Over 0.5 goals73%
Arsenal FC to win either half70%
1st Half Under 1.5 goals62%
Half with most goals — 2nd44%
1st Half result — Arsenal FC43%
1st Half result — Draw39%
1st Half Over 1.5 goals38%
Arsenal FC to score in both halves37%
HT/FT Arsenal FC / Arsenal FC37%
Chelsea FC to win either half34%
Half with most goals — 1st31%
1st Half Under 0.5 goals27%
Half with most goals — Equal24%
Arsenal FC to win both halves20%
1st Half result — Chelsea FC19%
HT/FT Draw / Arsenal FC18%
Chelsea FC to score in both halves16%
1st Half Over 2.5 goals15%
HT/FT Draw / Draw13%
HT/FT Chelsea FC / Chelsea FC11%
HT/FT Draw / Chelsea FC7%
HT/FT Chelsea FC / Draw5%
HT/FT Arsenal FC / Draw5%
Chelsea FC to win both halves4%
HT/FT Chelsea FC / Arsenal FC3%
HT/FT Arsenal FC / Chelsea FC1%
HandicapsProbOddsEdge
Handicap — Arsenal FC +2.598%
Handicap — Arsenal FC +1.593%
Handicap — Chelsea FC -2.584%
Handicap — Arsenal FC +0.582%
Handicap — Chelsea FC -1.566%
Handicap — Arsenal FC -0.557%
Handicap — Chelsea FC -0.543%
Handicap — Arsenal FC -1.534%
Handicap — Chelsea FC +0.518%
Handicap — Arsenal FC -2.516%
Handicap — Chelsea FC +1.57%
Handicap — Chelsea FC +2.52%
CardsProbOddsEdge
Under 6.5 cards94%
Under 5.5 cards86%
Under 4.5 cards73%
Most cards — Chelsea FC69%
Over 2.5 cards67%
Under 3.5 cards55%
Over 3.5 cards46%
Under 2.5 cards33%
Over 4.5 cards27%
Most cards — Tie17%
Any red card17%
Over 5.5 cards14%
Most cards — Arsenal FC14%
Over 6.5 cards6%
Chelsea FC expected cards2%
2+ red cards2%
Arsenal FC expected cards1%
CornersProbOddsEdge
Over 7.5 corners90%
Over 8.5 corners83%
Over 9.5 corners74%
Over 10.5 corners63%
Under 12.5 corners60%
Over 11.5 corners51%
Under 11.5 corners49%
Most corners — Chelsea FC49%
Over 12.5 corners40%
Most corners — Arsenal FC40%
Under 10.5 corners37%
Under 9.5 corners26%
Under 8.5 corners17%
Under 7.5 corners10%
Chelsea FC expected corners6%
Arsenal FC expected corners6%
FoulsProbOddsEdge
Under 24.5 fouls76%
Under 23.5 fouls69%
Over 19.5 fouls65%
Under 22.5 fouls61%
Over 20.5 fouls56%
Under 21.5 fouls52%
Most fouls — Chelsea FC50%
Over 21.5 fouls48%
Under 20.5 fouls44%
Most fouls — Arsenal FC42%
Over 22.5 fouls39%
Under 19.5 fouls35%
Over 23.5 fouls32%
Over 24.5 fouls25%
GoalscorersProbOddsEdge
Player to score or assist — Gabriel Fernando de Jesus (Arsenal)41%
Player to score or assist — Kai Havertz (Arsenal)40%
Player to score or assist — Bukayo Saka (Arsenal)39%
Player to score or assist — Cole Palmer (Chelsea)39%
Player to score or assist — Viktor Gyökeres (Arsenal)38%
Player anytime scorer — Gabriel Fernando de Jesus (Arsenal)38%
Player to score or assist — João Pedro Junqueira de Jesus (Chelsea)38%
Player to score or assist — Enzo Fernández (Chelsea)36%
Player anytime scorer — Kai Havertz (Arsenal)35%
Player to score or assist — Alejandro Garnacho Ferreyra (Chelsea)35%
Player anytime scorer — Viktor Gyökeres (Arsenal)34%
Player anytime scorer — João Pedro Junqueira de Jesus (Chelsea)34%
Player anytime scorer — Cole Palmer (Chelsea)34%
Player anytime scorer — Liam Delap (Chelsea)27%
Player anytime scorer — Gabriel Martinelli Silva (Arsenal)25%
Player anytime scorer — Enzo Fernández (Chelsea)24%
Player cardsProbOddsEdge
Player carded — Gabriel Fernando de Jesus (Arsenal)42%
Player carded — Jorrel Hato (Chelsea)37%
Player carded — Myles Lewis-Skelly (Arsenal)28%
Player carded — Benoît Badiashile Mukinayi (Chelsea)27%
Player carded — Cristhian Mosquera (Arsenal)26%
Player carded — Moisés Caicedo Corozo (Chelsea)26%
Player carded — Liam Delap (Chelsea)24%
Player carded — Riccardo Calafiori (Arsenal)20%