Newcastle United FC v AFC Bournemouth
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Newcastle United FC v AFC Bournemouth
Recommended bet
Over 1.5 goals
Total goals
De-vigged fair price from the marketLow
Win probability79%
Implied (with margin)79%
Model edge—
Odds1.26 1/4
All markets
Model-only estimates · 125 markets
Match winnerProbOddsEdge
Double chance — Newcastle United FC or AFC Bournemouth72%——
Double chance — Newcastle United FC or Draw66%——
Double chance — AFC Bournemouth or Draw62%——
Draw no bet — Newcastle United FC53%——
Draw no bet — AFC Bournemouth47%——
Newcastle United FC to win38%——
AFC Bournemouth to win34%——
Draw28%——
GoalsProbOddsEdge
Under 5.5 goals93%——
Over 0.5 goals93%——
Under 4.5 goals84%——
Over 1.5 goals79%——
Under 3.5 goals68%——
BTTS — Yes59%——
Over 2.5 goals54%——
Goals range — 2-3 goals47%——
Under 2.5 goals46%——
BTTS Yes + Over 2.546%——
BTTS — No41%——
Over 3.5 goals32%——
Goals range — 4-6 goals29%——
Under 1.5 goals21%——
Goals range — 0-1 goals21%——
Over 4.5 goals16%——
BTTS Yes + Under 2.513%——
Under 0.5 goals7%——
Over 5.5 goals7%——
Goals range — 7+ goals3%——
Score & marginProbOddsEdge
Both score no draw38%——
AFC Bournemouth to score 135%——
Newcastle United FC to score 134%——
Winning margin — Draw28%——
AFC Bournemouth to score 025%——
Newcastle United FC clean sheet25%——
Newcastle United FC to score 225%——
AFC Bournemouth to score 224%——
Newcastle United FC to score 023%——
AFC Bournemouth clean sheet23%——
Winning margin — Newcastle United FC by 119%——
Newcastle United FC to score 3+18%——
Newcastle United FC win to nil18%——
Winning margin — AFC Bournemouth by 118%——
AFC Bournemouth to score 3+16%——
AFC Bournemouth win to nil16%——
Correct score 1-113%——
Winning margin — Newcastle United FC by 212%——
Winning margin — AFC Bournemouth by 210%——
Correct score 2-19%——
Correct score 1-28%——
Correct score 0-07%——
Correct score 1-07%——
Correct score 0-17%——
Correct score 2-06%——
Correct score 2-26%——
Correct score 0-26%——
Winning margin — Newcastle United FC by 35%——
Correct score 3-14%——
Winning margin — AFC Bournemouth by 34%——
Winning margin — Newcastle United FC by 42%——
Winning margin — AFC Bournemouth by 41%——
Winning margin — Newcastle United FC by 5+1%——
Winning margin — AFC Bournemouth by 5+0%——
HalvesProbOddsEdge
1st Half Under 2.5 goals86%——
1st Half Over 0.5 goals72%——
1st Half Under 1.5 goals64%——
Newcastle United FC to win either half54%——
AFC Bournemouth to win either half50%——
Half with most goals — 2nd44%——
1st Half result — Draw41%——
1st Half Over 1.5 goals37%——
Half with most goals — 1st31%——
1st Half result — Newcastle United FC31%——
1st Half result — AFC Bournemouth29%——
1st Half Under 0.5 goals28%——
Newcastle United FC to score in both halves27%——
Half with most goals — Equal25%——
AFC Bournemouth to score in both halves24%——
HT/FT Newcastle United FC / Newcastle United FC24%——
HT/FT AFC Bournemouth / AFC Bournemouth21%——
HT/FT Draw / Draw15%——
1st Half Over 2.5 goals14%——
HT/FT Draw / Newcastle United FC14%——
HT/FT Draw / AFC Bournemouth12%——
Newcastle United FC to win both halves10%——
AFC Bournemouth to win both halves9%——
HT/FT AFC Bournemouth / Draw5%——
HT/FT Newcastle United FC / Draw5%——
HT/FT AFC Bournemouth / Newcastle United FC3%——
HT/FT Newcastle United FC / AFC Bournemouth2%——
HandicapsProbOddsEdge
Handicap — Newcastle United FC +2.594%——
Handicap — AFC Bournemouth -2.593%——
Handicap — Newcastle United FC +1.584%——
Handicap — AFC Bournemouth -1.581%——
Handicap — Newcastle United FC +0.566%——
Handicap — AFC Bournemouth -0.562%——
Handicap — Newcastle United FC -0.538%——
Handicap — AFC Bournemouth +0.534%——
Handicap — Newcastle United FC -1.519%——
Handicap — AFC Bournemouth +1.516%——
Handicap — Newcastle United FC -2.57%——
Handicap — AFC Bournemouth +2.56%——
GoalscorersProbOddsEdge
Player to score or assist — Yoane Wissa (Newcastle)41%——
Player to score or assist — William Osula (Newcastle)37%——
Player anytime scorer — Yoane Wissa (Newcastle)36%——
Player to score or assist — David Brooks (Bournemouth)35%——
Player anytime scorer — William Osula (Newcastle)33%——
Player to score or assist — Harvey Barnes (Newcastle)31%——
Player to score or assist — Marcus Tavernier (Bournemouth)31%——
Player to score or assist — Francisco Evanilson de Lima Barbosa (Bournemouth)28%——
Player to score or assist — Nick Woltemade (Newcastle)27%——
Player to score or assist — Rayan Vitor Simplício Rocha (Bournemouth)27%——
Player anytime scorer — Francisco Evanilson de Lima Barbosa (Bournemouth)25%——
Player anytime scorer — David Brooks (Bournemouth)24%——
Player anytime scorer — Harvey Barnes (Newcastle)23%——
Player anytime scorer — Nick Woltemade (Newcastle)23%——
Player anytime scorer — Marcus Tavernier (Bournemouth)22%——
Player anytime scorer — Rayan Vitor Simplício Rocha (Bournemouth)17%——
Player cardsProbOddsEdge
Player carded — Yoane Wissa (Newcastle)35%——
Player carded — Justin Kluivert (Bournemouth)33%——
Player carded — David Brooks (Bournemouth)28%——
Player carded — Dan Burn (Newcastle)27%——
Player carded — Tyler Adams (Bournemouth)23%——
Player carded — Joe Willock (Newcastle)21%——
Player carded — Adam Smith (Bournemouth)19%——
Player carded — Jacob Ramsey (Newcastle)14%——