Newcastle United FC v AFC Bournemouth
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Newcastle United FC v AFC Bournemouth
Recommended bet
Over 1.5 goals
Total goals
De-vigged fair price from the marketLow
Win probability80%
Implied (with margin)80%
Model edge—
Odds1.25 1/4
All markets
Model-only estimates · 172 markets
Match winnerProbOddsEdge
Double chance — Newcastle United FC or AFC Bournemouth72%——
Double chance — Newcastle United FC or Draw66%——
Double chance — AFC Bournemouth or Draw62%——
Draw no bet — Newcastle United FC53%——
Draw no bet — AFC Bournemouth47%——
Newcastle United FC to win38%——
AFC Bournemouth to win34%——
Draw28%——
GoalsProbOddsEdge
Over 0.5 goals93%——
Under 5.5 goals92%——
Under 4.5 goals83%——
Over 1.5 goals80%——
Under 3.5 goals67%——
BTTS — Yes60%——
Over 2.5 goals56%——
BTTS Yes + Over 2.547%——
Goals range — 2-3 goals47%——
Under 2.5 goals44%——
BTTS — No40%——
Over 3.5 goals33%——
Goals range — 4-6 goals30%——
Under 1.5 goals20%——
Goals range — 0-1 goals20%——
Over 4.5 goals17%——
BTTS Yes + Under 2.513%——
Over 5.5 goals8%——
Under 0.5 goals7%——
Goals range — 7+ goals3%——
Score & marginProbOddsEdge
Both score no draw40%——
AFC Bournemouth to score 134%——
Newcastle United FC to score 133%——
Winning margin — Draw28%——
Newcastle United FC to score 225%——
AFC Bournemouth to score 024%——
Newcastle United FC clean sheet24%——
AFC Bournemouth to score 224%——
Newcastle United FC to score 022%——
AFC Bournemouth clean sheet22%——
Newcastle United FC to score 3+19%——
Winning margin — Newcastle United FC by 119%——
Winning margin — AFC Bournemouth by 118%——
Newcastle United FC win to nil18%——
AFC Bournemouth to score 3+17%——
AFC Bournemouth win to nil15%——
Correct score 1-113%——
Winning margin — Newcastle United FC by 212%——
Winning margin — AFC Bournemouth by 210%——
Correct score 2-19%——
Correct score 1-28%——
Correct score 0-07%——
Correct score 1-07%——
Correct score 0-16%——
Correct score 2-06%——
Correct score 2-26%——
Correct score 0-25%——
Winning margin — Newcastle United FC by 35%——
Correct score 3-14%——
Winning margin — AFC Bournemouth by 34%——
Winning margin — Newcastle United FC by 42%——
Winning margin — AFC Bournemouth by 41%——
Winning margin — Newcastle United FC by 5+1%——
Winning margin — AFC Bournemouth by 5+1%——
HalvesProbOddsEdge
1st Half Under 2.5 goals85%——
1st Half Over 0.5 goals73%——
1st Half Under 1.5 goals62%——
Newcastle United FC to win either half55%——
AFC Bournemouth to win either half51%——
Half with most goals — 2nd44%——
1st Half result — Draw40%——
1st Half Over 1.5 goals38%——
1st Half result — Newcastle United FC31%——
Half with most goals — 1st31%——
1st Half result — AFC Bournemouth29%——
Newcastle United FC to score in both halves28%——
1st Half Under 0.5 goals27%——
AFC Bournemouth to score in both halves25%——
Half with most goals — Equal24%——
HT/FT Newcastle United FC / Newcastle United FC24%——
HT/FT AFC Bournemouth / AFC Bournemouth21%——
1st Half Over 2.5 goals15%——
HT/FT Draw / Draw14%——
HT/FT Draw / Newcastle United FC14%——
HT/FT Draw / AFC Bournemouth12%——
Newcastle United FC to win both halves11%——
AFC Bournemouth to win both halves9%——
HT/FT AFC Bournemouth / Draw5%——
HT/FT Newcastle United FC / Draw5%——
HT/FT AFC Bournemouth / Newcastle United FC3%——
HT/FT Newcastle United FC / AFC Bournemouth2%——
HandicapsProbOddsEdge
Handicap — Newcastle United FC +2.594%——
Handicap — AFC Bournemouth -2.593%——
Handicap — Newcastle United FC +1.584%——
Handicap — AFC Bournemouth -1.581%——
Handicap — Newcastle United FC +0.566%——
Handicap — AFC Bournemouth -0.562%——
Handicap — Newcastle United FC -0.538%——
Handicap — AFC Bournemouth +0.534%——
Handicap — Newcastle United FC -1.519%——
Handicap — AFC Bournemouth +1.516%——
Handicap — Newcastle United FC -2.58%——
Handicap — AFC Bournemouth +2.56%——
CardsProbOddsEdge
Under 6.5 cards84%——
Over 2.5 cards82%——
Under 5.5 cards71%——
Over 3.5 cards65%——
Under 4.5 cards54%——
Most cards — AFC Bournemouth47%——
Over 4.5 cards46%——
Under 3.5 cards35%——
Most cards — Newcastle United FC33%——
Over 5.5 cards29%——
Most cards — Tie19%——
Under 2.5 cards18%——
Over 6.5 cards16%——
Any red card12%——
AFC Bournemouth expected cards2%——
Newcastle United FC expected cards2%——
2+ red cards1%——
CornersProbOddsEdge
Over 7.5 corners81%——
Under 12.5 corners76%——
Over 8.5 corners71%——
Under 11.5 corners65%——
Over 9.5 corners59%——
Under 10.5 corners54%——
Most corners — AFC Bournemouth54%——
Over 10.5 corners46%——
Under 9.5 corners41%——
Over 11.5 corners35%——
Most corners — Newcastle United FC34%——
Under 8.5 corners29%——
Over 12.5 corners25%——
Under 7.5 corners19%——
AFC Bournemouth expected corners6%——
Newcastle United FC expected corners5%——
FoulsProbOddsEdge
Over 19.5 fouls73%——
Under 24.5 fouls67%——
Over 20.5 fouls66%——
Under 23.5 fouls59%——
Over 21.5 fouls58%——
Most fouls — AFC Bournemouth53%——
Under 22.5 fouls51%——
Over 22.5 fouls49%——
Under 21.5 fouls42%——
Over 23.5 fouls41%——
Most fouls — Newcastle United FC39%——
Under 20.5 fouls34%——
Over 24.5 fouls33%——
Under 19.5 fouls27%——
GoalscorersProbOddsEdge
Player to score or assist — David Brooks (Bournemouth)44%——
Player to score or assist — Yoane Wissa (Newcastle)41%——
Player to score or assist — Anthony Gordon (Newcastle)40%——
Player to score or assist — William Osula (Newcastle)37%——
Player anytime scorer — Yoane Wissa (Newcastle)36%——
Player to score or assist — Junior Kroupi (Bournemouth)36%——
Player anytime scorer — William Osula (Newcastle)33%——
Player to score or assist — Harvey Barnes (Newcastle)31%——
Player to score or assist — Marcus Tavernier (Bournemouth)31%——
Player anytime scorer — Junior Kroupi (Bournemouth)31%——
Player anytime scorer — Anthony Gordon (Newcastle)31%——
Player anytime scorer — David Brooks (Bournemouth)31%——
Player to score or assist — Francisco Evanilson de Lima Barbosa (Bournemouth)28%——
Player anytime scorer — Francisco Evanilson de Lima Barbosa (Bournemouth)25%——
Player anytime scorer — Harvey Barnes (Newcastle)23%——
Player anytime scorer — Marcus Tavernier (Bournemouth)22%——
Player cardsProbOddsEdge
Player carded — David Brooks (Bournemouth)36%——
Player carded — Yoane Wissa (Newcastle)35%——
Player carded — Justin Kluivert (Bournemouth)33%——
Player carded — Tyler Adams (Bournemouth)29%——
Player carded — Álex Jiménez Sánchez (Bournemouth)28%——
Player carded — Dan Burn (Newcastle)27%——
Player carded — Joe Willock (Newcastle)21%——
Player carded — Bruno Guimarães Rodriguez Moura (Newcastle)17%——