Aston Villa FC v Nottingham Forest FC
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Aston Villa FC v Nottingham Forest FC
Recommended bet
Over 1.5 goals
Total goals
De-vigged fair price from the marketLow
Win probability79%
Implied (with margin)79%
Model edge—
Odds1.27 1/4
All markets
Model-only estimates · 125 markets
Match winnerProbOddsEdge
Double chance — Aston Villa FC or Draw75%——
Double chance — Aston Villa FC or Nottingham Forest FC73%——
Draw no bet — Aston Villa FC65%——
Double chance — Nottingham Forest FC or Draw53%——
Aston Villa FC to win47%——
Draw no bet — Nottingham Forest FC35%——
Draw27%——
Nottingham Forest FC to win25%——
GoalsProbOddsEdge
Under 5.5 goals93%——
Over 0.5 goals93%——
Under 4.5 goals84%——
Over 1.5 goals79%——
Under 3.5 goals68%——
BTTS — Yes58%——
Over 2.5 goals54%——
Goals range — 2-3 goals47%——
Under 2.5 goals46%——
BTTS Yes + Over 2.545%——
BTTS — No43%——
Over 3.5 goals32%——
Goals range — 4-6 goals29%——
Under 1.5 goals21%——
Goals range — 0-1 goals21%——
Over 4.5 goals16%——
BTTS Yes + Under 2.513%——
Under 0.5 goals7%——
Over 5.5 goals7%——
Goals range — 7+ goals3%——
Score & marginProbOddsEdge
Both score no draw38%——
Nottingham Forest FC to score 136%——
Aston Villa FC to score 132%——
Nottingham Forest FC to score 031%——
Aston Villa FC clean sheet31%——
Winning margin — Draw27%——
Aston Villa FC to score 226%——
Aston Villa FC win to nil24%——
Aston Villa FC to score 3+23%——
Winning margin — Aston Villa FC by 121%——
Nottingham Forest FC to score 221%——
Aston Villa FC to score 019%——
Nottingham Forest FC clean sheet19%——
Winning margin — Aston Villa FC by 215%——
Winning margin — Nottingham Forest FC by 115%——
Correct score 1-113%——
Nottingham Forest FC win to nil12%——
Nottingham Forest FC to score 3+12%——
Correct score 2-110%——
Correct score 1-08%——
Correct score 2-08%——
Winning margin — Nottingham Forest FC by 27%——
Correct score 0-07%——
Winning margin — Aston Villa FC by 37%——
Correct score 1-27%——
Correct score 2-26%——
Correct score 0-15%——
Correct score 3-15%——
Correct score 3-05%——
Winning margin — Aston Villa FC by 43%——
Winning margin — Nottingham Forest FC by 33%——
Winning margin — Aston Villa FC by 5+1%——
Winning margin — Nottingham Forest FC by 41%——
Winning margin — Nottingham Forest FC by 5+0%——
HalvesProbOddsEdge
1st Half Under 2.5 goals86%——
1st Half Over 0.5 goals72%——
1st Half Under 1.5 goals64%——
Aston Villa FC to win either half62%——
Half with most goals — 2nd44%——
Nottingham Forest FC to win either half42%——
1st Half result — Draw40%——
1st Half result — Aston Villa FC37%——
1st Half Over 1.5 goals37%——
Aston Villa FC to score in both halves32%——
Half with most goals — 1st31%——
HT/FT Aston Villa FC / Aston Villa FC30%——
1st Half Under 0.5 goals28%——
Half with most goals — Equal25%——
1st Half result — Nottingham Forest FC23%——
Nottingham Forest FC to score in both halves20%——
HT/FT Draw / Aston Villa FC16%——
HT/FT Nottingham Forest FC / Nottingham Forest FC15%——
Aston Villa FC to win both halves15%——
HT/FT Draw / Draw14%——
1st Half Over 2.5 goals14%——
HT/FT Draw / Nottingham Forest FC10%——
Nottingham Forest FC to win both halves6%——
HT/FT Nottingham Forest FC / Draw5%——
HT/FT Aston Villa FC / Draw5%——
HT/FT Nottingham Forest FC / Aston Villa FC3%——
HT/FT Aston Villa FC / Nottingham Forest FC2%——
HandicapsProbOddsEdge
Handicap — Aston Villa FC +2.597%——
Handicap — Aston Villa FC +1.589%——
Handicap — Nottingham Forest FC -2.589%——
Handicap — Aston Villa FC +0.575%——
Handicap — Nottingham Forest FC -1.574%——
Handicap — Nottingham Forest FC -0.553%——
Handicap — Aston Villa FC -0.547%——
Handicap — Aston Villa FC -1.526%——
Handicap — Nottingham Forest FC +0.525%——
Handicap — Aston Villa FC -2.511%——
Handicap — Nottingham Forest FC +1.511%——
Handicap — Nottingham Forest FC +2.53%——
GoalscorersProbOddsEdge
Player to score or assist — Tammy Abraham (Aston Villa)39%——
Player to score or assist — Ollie Watkins (Aston Villa)36%——
Player to score or assist — Alejandro Garnacho Ferreyra (Aston Villa)35%——
Player anytime scorer — Tammy Abraham (Aston Villa)34%——
Player anytime scorer — Ollie Watkins (Aston Villa)34%——
Player to score or assist — Chris Wood (Nott'm Forest)32%——
Player anytime scorer — Chris Wood (Nott'm Forest)30%——
Player to score or assist — Leon Bailey (Aston Villa)28%——
Player to score or assist — Morgan Gibbs-White (Nott'm Forest)28%——
Player to score or assist — Omari Hutchinson (Nott'm Forest)23%——
Player anytime scorer — Morgan Gibbs-White (Nott'm Forest)23%——
Player to score or assist — Igor Jesus Maciel da Cruz (Nott'm Forest)22%——
Player anytime scorer — Alejandro Garnacho Ferreyra (Aston Villa)19%——
Player anytime scorer — Igor Jesus Maciel da Cruz (Nott'm Forest)19%——
Player anytime scorer — Emiliano Buendía Stati (Aston Villa)13%——
Player anytime scorer — Callum Hudson-Odoi (Nott'm Forest)11%——
Player cardsProbOddsEdge
Player carded — Lamare Bogarde (Aston Villa)30%——
Player carded — Felipe Rodrigues da Silva (Nott'm Forest)24%——
Player carded — Boubacar Kamara (Aston Villa)23%——
Player carded — James McAtee (Nott'm Forest)23%——
Player carded — Emiliano Buendía Stati (Aston Villa)23%——
Player carded — Matty Cash (Aston Villa)20%——
Player carded — Nicolás Domínguez (Nott'm Forest)18%——
Player carded — Ibrahim Sangaré (Nott'm Forest)17%——