Manchester City FC v Sunderland AFC
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Football·Premier League· 2026-09-19 · 14:00

Manchester City FC v Sunderland AFC

Recommended bet
Over 1.5 goals
Total goals
De-vigged fair price from the marketLow
Win probability78%
Implied (with margin)78%
Model edge
Odds1.28 2/7
All markets
Model-only estimates · 101 markets
Match winnerProbOddsEdge
Double chance — Manchester City FC or Draw74%
Double chance — Manchester City FC or Sunderland AFC72%
Draw no bet — Manchester City FC64%
Double chance — Sunderland AFC or Draw54%
Manchester City FC to win46%
Draw no bet — Sunderland AFC36%
Draw28%
Sunderland AFC to win26%
GoalsProbOddsEdge
Under 5.5 goals94%
Over 0.5 goals92%
Under 4.5 goals85%
Over 1.5 goals78%
Under 3.5 goals70%
BTTS — Yes57%
Over 2.5 goals53%
Goals range — 2-3 goals48%
Under 2.5 goals47%
BTTS Yes + Over 2.544%
BTTS — No43%
Over 3.5 goals30%
Goals range — 4-6 goals28%
Under 1.5 goals22%
Goals range — 0-1 goals22%
Over 4.5 goals15%
BTTS Yes + Under 2.513%
Under 0.5 goals8%
Over 5.5 goals6%
Goals range — 7+ goals2%
Score & marginProbOddsEdge
Both score no draw37%
Sunderland AFC to score 136%
Manchester City FC to score 132%
Sunderland AFC to score 031%
Manchester City FC clean sheet31%
Winning margin — Draw28%
Manchester City FC to score 226%
Manchester City FC win to nil24%
Manchester City FC to score 3+22%
Winning margin — Manchester City FC by 121%
Sunderland AFC to score 221%
Manchester City FC to score 020%
Sunderland AFC clean sheet20%
Winning margin — Sunderland AFC by 115%
Winning margin — Manchester City FC by 215%
Correct score 1-113%
Sunderland AFC win to nil12%
Sunderland AFC to score 3+11%
Correct score 2-19%
Correct score 1-09%
Correct score 2-08%
Correct score 0-08%
Winning margin — Sunderland AFC by 28%
Correct score 1-27%
Winning margin — Manchester City FC by 37%
Correct score 0-16%
Correct score 2-26%
Correct score 3-15%
Correct score 3-04%
Winning margin — Sunderland AFC by 33%
Winning margin — Manchester City FC by 43%
Winning margin — Manchester City FC by 5+1%
Winning margin — Sunderland AFC by 41%
Winning margin — Sunderland AFC by 5+0%
HalvesProbOddsEdge
1st Half Under 2.5 goals88%
1st Half Over 0.5 goals70%
1st Half Under 1.5 goals66%
Manchester City FC to win either half61%
Half with most goals — 2nd43%
Sunderland AFC to win either half42%
1st Half result — Draw41%
1st Half result — Manchester City FC36%
1st Half Over 1.5 goals34%
Half with most goals — 1st31%
1st Half Under 0.5 goals30%
Manchester City FC to score in both halves29%
HT/FT Manchester City FC / Manchester City FC29%
Half with most goals — Equal26%
1st Half result — Sunderland AFC23%
Sunderland AFC to score in both halves18%
HT/FT Draw / Manchester City FC16%
HT/FT Sunderland AFC / Sunderland AFC16%
HT/FT Draw / Draw15%
Manchester City FC to win both halves14%
1st Half Over 2.5 goals12%
HT/FT Draw / Sunderland AFC10%
Sunderland AFC to win both halves6%
HT/FT Sunderland AFC / Draw5%
HT/FT Manchester City FC / Draw5%
HT/FT Sunderland AFC / Manchester City FC3%
HT/FT Manchester City FC / Sunderland AFC2%
HandicapsProbOddsEdge
Handicap — Manchester City FC +2.597%
Handicap — Sunderland AFC -2.590%
Handicap — Manchester City FC +1.589%
Handicap — Sunderland AFC -1.575%
Handicap — Manchester City FC +0.574%
Handicap — Sunderland AFC -0.554%
Handicap — Manchester City FC -0.546%
Handicap — Sunderland AFC +0.526%
Handicap — Manchester City FC -1.525%
Handicap — Sunderland AFC +1.511%
Handicap — Manchester City FC -2.510%
Handicap — Sunderland AFC +2.53%