Sunderland AFC v Brighton & Hove Albion FC
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Football·Premier League· 2026-10-10 · 14:00

Sunderland AFC v Brighton & Hove Albion FC

Recommended bet
Over 1.5 goals
Total goals
De-vigged fair price from the marketLow
Win probability79%
Implied (with margin)79%
Model edge—
Odds1.27 2/7
Crowd odds — Polymarket
Sunderland AFC32%
Draw28%
Brighton & Hove Albion FC42%
$90,565 liquidity · $212,980 traded · data from Polymarket
All markets
Match winnerProbOddsEdge
Match Winner — Brighton & Hove Albion FC48%2.49—
Match Winner — Draw27%3.70—
Match Winner — Sunderland AFC25%3.10—
GoalsProbOddsEdge
Over 2.5 goals53%1.87—
Under 2.5 goals47%2.14—
Over 2.75 goals—2.03—
Under 2.75 goals—1.86—
Model-only estimates · 171 markets
Match winnerProbOddsEdge
Double chance — Brighton & Hove Albion FC or Draw75%——
Double chance — Sunderland AFC or Brighton & Hove Albion FC73%——
Draw no bet — Brighton & Hove Albion FC66%——
Double chance — Sunderland AFC or Draw52%——
Brighton & Hove Albion FC to win48%——
Draw no bet — Sunderland AFC34%——
Draw27%——
Sunderland AFC to win25%——
GoalsProbOddsEdge
Under 5.5 goals93%——
Over 0.5 goals93%——
Under 4.5 goals85%——
Over 1.5 goals79%——
Under 3.5 goals69%——
BTTS — Yes57%——
Over 2.5 goals53%——
Goals range — 2-3 goals48%——
Under 2.5 goals47%——
BTTS Yes + Over 2.544%——
BTTS — No43%——
Over 3.5 goals31%——
Goals range — 4-6 goals29%——
Under 1.5 goals22%——
Goals range — 0-1 goals22%——
Over 4.5 goals15%——
BTTS Yes + Under 2.513%——
Under 0.5 goals8%——
Over 5.5 goals7%——
Goals range — 7+ goals3%——
Score & marginProbOddsEdge
Both score no draw37%——
Sunderland AFC to score 136%——
Sunderland AFC to score 032%——
Brighton & Hove Albion FC clean sheet32%——
Brighton & Hove Albion FC to score 132%——
Winning margin — Draw27%——
Brighton & Hove Albion FC to score 226%——
Brighton & Hove Albion FC win to nil24%——
Brighton & Hove Albion FC to score 3+23%——
Winning margin — Brighton & Hove Albion FC by 122%——
Sunderland AFC to score 221%——
Brighton & Hove Albion FC to score 019%——
Sunderland AFC clean sheet19%——
Winning margin — Brighton & Hove Albion FC by 215%——
Winning margin — Sunderland AFC by 114%——
Correct score 1-113%——
Sunderland AFC win to nil11%——
Sunderland AFC to score 3+11%——
Correct score 1-210%——
Correct score 0-19%——
Correct score 0-28%——
Correct score 0-08%——
Winning margin — Brighton & Hove Albion FC by 37%——
Winning margin — Sunderland AFC by 27%——
Correct score 2-17%——
Correct score 2-26%——
Correct score 1-05%——
Correct score 1-35%——
Correct score 0-35%——
Winning margin — Brighton & Hove Albion FC by 43%——
Winning margin — Sunderland AFC by 32%——
Winning margin — Brighton & Hove Albion FC by 5+1%——
Winning margin — Sunderland AFC by 41%——
Winning margin — Sunderland AFC by 5+0%——
HalvesProbOddsEdge
1st Half Under 2.5 goals87%——
1st Half Over 0.5 goals71%——
1st Half Under 1.5 goals64%——
Brighton & Hove Albion FC to win either half62%——
Half with most goals — 2nd44%——
Sunderland AFC to win either half41%——
1st Half result — Draw41%——
1st Half result — Brighton & Hove Albion FC37%——
1st Half Over 1.5 goals36%——
Brighton & Hove Albion FC to score in both halves31%——
Half with most goals — 1st31%——
HT/FT Brighton & Hove Albion FC / Brighton & Hove Albion FC30%——
1st Half Under 0.5 goals29%——
Half with most goals — Equal25%——
1st Half result — Sunderland AFC23%——
Sunderland AFC to score in both halves19%——
HT/FT Draw / Brighton & Hove Albion FC16%——
Brighton & Hove Albion FC to win both halves15%——
HT/FT Sunderland AFC / Sunderland AFC15%——
HT/FT Draw / Draw15%——
1st Half Over 2.5 goals13%——
HT/FT Draw / Sunderland AFC10%——
Sunderland AFC to win both halves5%——
HT/FT Brighton & Hove Albion FC / Draw5%——
HT/FT Sunderland AFC / Draw5%——
HT/FT Sunderland AFC / Brighton & Hove Albion FC3%——
HT/FT Brighton & Hove Albion FC / Sunderland AFC2%——
HandicapsProbOddsEdge
Handicap — Brighton & Hove Albion FC -2.597%——
Handicap — Brighton & Hove Albion FC -1.590%——
Handicap — Sunderland AFC +2.589%——
Handicap — Brighton & Hove Albion FC -0.575%——
Handicap — Sunderland AFC +1.574%——
Handicap — Sunderland AFC +0.552%——
Handicap — Brighton & Hove Albion FC +0.548%——
Handicap — Brighton & Hove Albion FC +1.526%——
Handicap — Sunderland AFC -0.525%——
Handicap — Brighton & Hove Albion FC +2.511%——
Handicap — Sunderland AFC -1.510%——
Handicap — Sunderland AFC -2.53%——
CardsProbOddsEdge
Over 2.5 cards91%——
Over 3.5 cards80%——
Most cards — Sunderland AFC75%——
Under 6.5 cards69%——
Over 4.5 cards64%——
Under 5.5 cards53%——
Over 5.5 cards47%——
Under 4.5 cards36%——
Over 6.5 cards31%——
Under 3.5 cards20%——
Any red card18%——
Most cards — Brighton & Hove Albion FC13%——
Most cards — Tie12%——
Under 2.5 cards9%——
Sunderland AFC expected cards4%——
2+ red cards2%——
Brighton & Hove Albion FC expected cards2%——
CornersProbOddsEdge
Under 12.5 corners85%——
Under 11.5 corners76%——
Over 7.5 corners72%——
Under 10.5 corners66%——
Most corners — Brighton & Hove Albion FC61%——
Over 8.5 corners60%——
Under 9.5 corners54%——
Over 9.5 corners47%——
Under 8.5 corners40%——
Over 10.5 corners34%——
Under 7.5 corners28%——
Most corners — Sunderland AFC27%——
Over 11.5 corners24%——
Over 12.5 corners16%——
Brighton & Hove Albion FC expected corners5%——
Sunderland AFC expected corners4%——
FoulsProbOddsEdge
Over 19.5 fouls95%——
Over 20.5 fouls92%——
Over 21.5 fouls89%——
Over 22.5 fouls84%——
Over 23.5 fouls79%——
Over 24.5 fouls73%——
Most fouls — Sunderland AFC46%——
Most fouls — Brighton & Hove Albion FC46%——
Under 24.5 fouls28%——
Under 23.5 fouls21%——
Under 22.5 fouls16%——
Under 21.5 fouls11%——
Under 20.5 fouls8%——
Under 19.5 fouls5%——
GoalscorersProbOddsEdge
Player to score or assist — Enzo Le Fée (Sunderland)44%——
Player to score or assist — Pascal Groß (Brighton)35%——
Player anytime scorer — Enzo Le Fée (Sunderland)30%——
Player to score or assist — Charalampos Kostoulas (Brighton)26%——
Player anytime scorer — Pascal Groß (Brighton)25%——
Player anytime scorer — Charalampos Kostoulas (Brighton)25%——
Player to score or assist — Diego Gómez Amarilla (Brighton)23%——
Player to score or assist — Granit Xhaka (Sunderland)20%——
Player to score or assist — Yasin Ayari (Brighton)18%——
Player to score or assist — Nilson Angulo (Sunderland)16%——
Player anytime scorer — Yasin Ayari (Brighton)15%——
Player anytime scorer — Nilson Angulo (Sunderland)13%——
Player anytime scorer — Diego Gómez Amarilla (Brighton)13%——
Player to score or assist — Noah Sadiki (Sunderland)12%——
Player anytime scorer — Noah Sadiki (Sunderland)8%——
Player cardsProbOddsEdge
Player carded — Maxim De Cuyper (Brighton)30%——
Player carded — Granit Xhaka (Sunderland)28%——
Player carded — Pascal Groß (Brighton)28%——
Player carded — Nilson Angulo (Sunderland)21%——
Player carded — Ferdi Kadıoğlu (Brighton)20%——
Player carded — Yasin Ayari (Brighton)20%——
Player carded — Nordi Mukiele (Sunderland)19%——
Player carded — Noah Sadiki (Sunderland)17%——