Arsenal FC v Leeds United FC
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Football·Premier League· 2026-10-10 · 11:30

Arsenal FC v Leeds United FC

Recommended bet
Over 1.5 goals
Total goals
De-vigged fair price from the marketLow
Win probability75%
Implied (with margin)75%
Model edge
Odds1.33 1/3
All markets
Model-only estimates · 104 markets
Match winnerProbOddsEdge
Double chance — Arsenal FC or Leeds United FC71%
Double chance — Arsenal FC or Draw67%
Double chance — Leeds United FC or Draw62%
Draw no bet — Arsenal FC54%
Draw no bet — Leeds United FC46%
Arsenal FC to win38%
Leeds United FC to win33%
Draw30%
GoalsProbOddsEdge
Under 5.5 goals95%
Over 0.5 goals91%
Under 4.5 goals88%
Over 1.5 goals75%
Under 3.5 goals73%
BTTS — Yes55%
Under 2.5 goals52%
Over 2.5 goals49%
Goals range — 2-3 goals49%
BTTS — No45%
BTTS Yes + Over 2.541%
Over 3.5 goals27%
Under 1.5 goals25%
Goals range — 0-1 goals25%
Goals range — 4-6 goals25%
BTTS Yes + Under 2.514%
Over 4.5 goals12%
Under 0.5 goals9%
Over 5.5 goals5%
Goals range — 7+ goals2%
Score & marginProbOddsEdge
Leeds United FC to score 136%
Arsenal FC to score 135%
Both score no draw34%
Winning margin — Draw30%
Leeds United FC to score 029%
Arsenal FC clean sheet29%
Arsenal FC to score 026%
Leeds United FC clean sheet26%
Arsenal FC to score 224%
Leeds United FC to score 222%
Winning margin — Arsenal FC by 120%
Arsenal FC win to nil20%
Winning margin — Leeds United FC by 118%
Leeds United FC win to nil17%
Arsenal FC to score 3+16%
Correct score 1-114%
Leeds United FC to score 3+13%
Winning margin — Arsenal FC by 212%
Winning margin — Leeds United FC by 210%
Correct score 0-09%
Correct score 2-19%
Correct score 1-08%
Correct score 1-28%
Correct score 0-18%
Correct score 2-07%
Correct score 0-26%
Correct score 2-25%
Winning margin — Arsenal FC by 35%
Correct score 3-14%
Winning margin — Leeds United FC by 34%
Winning margin — Arsenal FC by 42%
Winning margin — Leeds United FC by 41%
Winning margin — Arsenal FC by 5+1%
Winning margin — Leeds United FC by 5+0%
HalvesProbOddsEdge
1st Half Under 2.5 goals93%
1st Half Under 1.5 goals75%
1st Half Over 0.5 goals62%
Arsenal FC to win either half50%
1st Half result — Draw48%
Leeds United FC to win either half45%
Half with most goals — 2nd41%
1st Half Under 0.5 goals38%
Half with most goals — 1st30%
Half with most goals — Equal30%
1st Half result — Arsenal FC28%
1st Half Over 1.5 goals25%
1st Half result — Leeds United FC25%
HT/FT Arsenal FC / Arsenal FC21%
HT/FT Draw / Draw20%
HT/FT Leeds United FC / Leeds United FC19%
Arsenal FC to score in both halves18%
Leeds United FC to score in both halves16%
HT/FT Draw / Arsenal FC14%
HT/FT Draw / Leeds United FC13%
Arsenal FC to win both halves8%
1st Half Over 2.5 goals7%
Leeds United FC to win both halves7%
HT/FT Leeds United FC / Draw5%
HT/FT Arsenal FC / Draw5%
HT/FT Leeds United FC / Arsenal FC2%
HT/FT Arsenal FC / Leeds United FC2%
HandicapsProbOddsEdge
Handicap — Arsenal FC +2.595%
Handicap — Leeds United FC -2.593%
Handicap — Arsenal FC +1.585%
Handicap — Leeds United FC -1.582%
Handicap — Arsenal FC +0.567%
Handicap — Leeds United FC -0.562%
Handicap — Arsenal FC -0.538%
Handicap — Leeds United FC +0.533%
Handicap — Arsenal FC -1.518%
Handicap — Leeds United FC +1.515%
Handicap — Arsenal FC -2.57%
Handicap — Leeds United FC +2.55%
GoalscorersProbOddsEdge
Player to score or assist — Anton Stach (Leeds)16%
Player anytime scorer — Anton Stach (Leeds)13%
Player cardsProbOddsEdge
Player carded — Gabriel dos Santos Magalhães (Arsenal)24%