Chelsea FC v AFC Bournemouth
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Chelsea FC v AFC Bournemouth
Recommended bet
Over 1.5 goals
Total goals
De-vigged fair price from the marketLow
Win probability81%
Implied (with margin)81%
Model edge—
Odds1.23 2/9
All markets
Model-only estimates · 108 markets
Match winnerProbOddsEdge
Double chance — Chelsea FC or AFC Bournemouth73%——
Double chance — Chelsea FC or Draw69%——
Double chance — AFC Bournemouth or Draw58%——
Draw no bet — Chelsea FC58%——
Draw no bet — AFC Bournemouth43%——
Chelsea FC to win42%——
AFC Bournemouth to win31%——
Draw27%——
GoalsProbOddsEdge
Over 0.5 goals93%——
Under 5.5 goals92%——
Under 4.5 goals82%——
Over 1.5 goals81%——
Under 3.5 goals65%——
BTTS — Yes61%——
Over 2.5 goals57%——
BTTS Yes + Over 2.548%——
Goals range — 2-3 goals47%——
Under 2.5 goals43%——
BTTS — No39%——
Over 3.5 goals35%——
Goals range — 4-6 goals31%——
Under 1.5 goals19%——
Goals range — 0-1 goals19%——
Over 4.5 goals18%——
BTTS Yes + Under 2.513%——
Over 5.5 goals8%——
Under 0.5 goals7%——
Goals range — 7+ goals3%——
Score & marginProbOddsEdge
Both score no draw40%——
AFC Bournemouth to score 135%——
Chelsea FC to score 132%——
Winning margin — Draw27%——
Chelsea FC to score 226%——
AFC Bournemouth to score 026%——
Chelsea FC clean sheet26%——
AFC Bournemouth to score 224%——
Chelsea FC to score 3+22%——
Chelsea FC to score 020%——
AFC Bournemouth clean sheet20%——
Winning margin — Chelsea FC by 120%——
Chelsea FC win to nil19%——
Winning margin — AFC Bournemouth by 117%——
AFC Bournemouth to score 3+16%——
AFC Bournemouth win to nil13%——
Winning margin — Chelsea FC by 213%——
Correct score 1-113%——
Winning margin — AFC Bournemouth by 29%——
Correct score 2-19%——
Correct score 1-28%——
Correct score 1-07%——
Correct score 2-07%——
Correct score 0-07%——
Correct score 2-26%——
Winning margin — Chelsea FC by 36%——
Correct score 0-16%——
Correct score 3-15%——
Correct score 0-25%——
Winning margin — AFC Bournemouth by 34%——
Winning margin — Chelsea FC by 42%——
Winning margin — AFC Bournemouth by 41%——
Winning margin — Chelsea FC by 5+1%——
Winning margin — AFC Bournemouth by 5+0%——
HalvesProbOddsEdge
1st Half Under 2.5 goals81%——
1st Half Over 0.5 goals78%——
Chelsea FC to win either half60%——
1st Half Under 1.5 goals56%——
AFC Bournemouth to win either half49%——
Half with most goals — 2nd46%——
1st Half Over 1.5 goals44%——
1st Half result — Draw37%——
1st Half result — Chelsea FC35%——
Chelsea FC to score in both halves35%——
Half with most goals — 1st32%——
AFC Bournemouth to score in both halves28%——
1st Half result — AFC Bournemouth28%——
HT/FT Chelsea FC / Chelsea FC27%——
Half with most goals — Equal23%——
1st Half Under 0.5 goals23%——
HT/FT AFC Bournemouth / AFC Bournemouth19%——
1st Half Over 2.5 goals19%——
HT/FT Draw / Chelsea FC14%——
Chelsea FC to win both halves13%——
HT/FT Draw / Draw12%——
HT/FT Draw / AFC Bournemouth11%——
AFC Bournemouth to win both halves8%——
HT/FT AFC Bournemouth / Draw5%——
HT/FT Chelsea FC / Draw5%——
HT/FT AFC Bournemouth / Chelsea FC3%——
HT/FT Chelsea FC / AFC Bournemouth3%——
HandicapsProbOddsEdge
Handicap — Chelsea FC +2.595%——
Handicap — AFC Bournemouth -2.591%——
Handicap — Chelsea FC +1.586%——
Handicap — AFC Bournemouth -1.578%——
Handicap — Chelsea FC +0.569%——
Handicap — AFC Bournemouth -0.558%——
Handicap — Chelsea FC -0.542%——
Handicap — AFC Bournemouth +0.531%——
Handicap — Chelsea FC -1.522%——
Handicap — AFC Bournemouth +1.514%——
Handicap — Chelsea FC -2.59%——
Handicap — AFC Bournemouth +2.55%——
GoalscorersProbOddsEdge
Player to score or assist — João Pedro Junqueira de Jesus (Chelsea)43%——
Player anytime scorer — João Pedro Junqueira de Jesus (Chelsea)41%——
Player cardsProbOddsEdge
Player carded — Adam Smith (Bournemouth)43%——
Player carded — João Pedro Junqueira de Jesus (Chelsea)24%——
Player carded — Maxence Lacroix (Chelsea)24%——
Player carded — Adrien Truffert (Bournemouth)24%——
Player carded — António João Pereira de Albuquerque Tavares da Silva (Bournemouth)24%——