Coventry City FC v Newcastle United FC
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Coventry City FC v Newcastle United FC
Recommended bet
Over 1.5 goals
Total goals
De-vigged fair price from the marketLow
Win probability79%
Implied (with margin)79%
Model edge—
Odds1.26 1/4
Crowd odds — Polymarket
Coventry City FC29%
Draw27%
Newcastle United FC45%
All markets
Match winnerProbOddsEdge
Match Winner — Newcastle United FC46%2.22—
Match Winner — Draw27%3.75—
Match Winner — Coventry City FC27%3.45—
GoalsProbOddsEdge
Over 2.5 goals54%1.73—
Under 2.5 goals46%2.30—
Over 2.75 goals—1.83—
Under 2.75 goals—2.05—
Over 3 goals—2.07—
Under 3 goals—1.76—
Model-only estimates · 161 markets
Match winnerProbOddsEdge
Double chance — Newcastle United FC or Draw74%——
Double chance — Coventry City FC or Newcastle United FC73%——
Draw no bet — Newcastle United FC64%——
Double chance — Coventry City FC or Draw54%——
Newcastle United FC to win46%——
Draw no bet — Coventry City FC37%——
Draw27%——
Coventry City FC to win27%——
GoalsProbOddsEdge
Under 5.5 goals93%——
Over 0.5 goals93%——
Under 4.5 goals84%——
Over 1.5 goals79%——
Under 3.5 goals68%——
BTTS — Yes58%——
Over 2.5 goals54%——
Goals range — 2-3 goals47%——
Under 2.5 goals46%——
BTTS Yes + Over 2.545%——
BTTS — No42%——
Over 3.5 goals32%——
Goals range — 4-6 goals29%——
Under 1.5 goals21%——
Goals range — 0-1 goals21%——
Over 4.5 goals16%——
BTTS Yes + Under 2.513%——
Under 0.5 goals7%——
Over 5.5 goals7%——
Goals range — 7+ goals3%——
Score & marginProbOddsEdge
Both score no draw38%——
Coventry City FC to score 136%——
Newcastle United FC to score 132%——
Coventry City FC to score 030%——
Newcastle United FC clean sheet30%——
Winning margin — Draw27%——
Newcastle United FC to score 226%——
Newcastle United FC to score 3+23%——
Newcastle United FC win to nil23%——
Coventry City FC to score 222%——
Winning margin — Newcastle United FC by 121%——
Newcastle United FC to score 019%——
Coventry City FC clean sheet19%——
Winning margin — Coventry City FC by 115%——
Winning margin — Newcastle United FC by 215%——
Correct score 1-113%——
Coventry City FC to score 3+12%——
Coventry City FC win to nil12%——
Correct score 1-29%——
Correct score 0-18%——
Correct score 0-28%——
Winning margin — Coventry City FC by 28%——
Correct score 0-07%——
Correct score 2-17%——
Winning margin — Newcastle United FC by 37%——
Correct score 2-26%——
Correct score 1-06%——
Correct score 1-35%——
Correct score 0-34%——
Winning margin — Coventry City FC by 33%——
Winning margin — Newcastle United FC by 43%——
Winning margin — Newcastle United FC by 5+1%——
Winning margin — Coventry City FC by 41%——
Winning margin — Coventry City FC by 5+0%——
HalvesProbOddsEdge
1st Half Under 2.5 goals85%——
1st Half Over 0.5 goals73%——
1st Half Under 1.5 goals62%——
Newcastle United FC to win either half62%——
Half with most goals — 2nd44%——
Coventry City FC to win either half44%——
1st Half result — Draw39%——
1st Half Over 1.5 goals38%——
1st Half result — Newcastle United FC37%——
Newcastle United FC to score in both halves33%——
Half with most goals — 1st31%——
HT/FT Newcastle United FC / Newcastle United FC30%——
1st Half Under 0.5 goals27%——
Half with most goals — Equal24%——
1st Half result — Coventry City FC24%——
Coventry City FC to score in both halves21%——
HT/FT Coventry City FC / Coventry City FC16%——
HT/FT Draw / Newcastle United FC16%——
1st Half Over 2.5 goals15%——
Newcastle United FC to win both halves15%——
HT/FT Draw / Draw14%——
HT/FT Draw / Coventry City FC10%——
Coventry City FC to win both halves6%——
HT/FT Newcastle United FC / Draw5%——
HT/FT Coventry City FC / Draw5%——
HT/FT Coventry City FC / Newcastle United FC3%——
HT/FT Newcastle United FC / Coventry City FC2%——
HandicapsProbOddsEdge
Handicap — Newcastle United FC -2.596%——
Handicap — Coventry City FC +2.589%——
Handicap — Newcastle United FC -1.589%——
Handicap — Coventry City FC +1.575%——
Handicap — Newcastle United FC -0.574%——
Handicap — Coventry City FC +0.554%——
Handicap — Newcastle United FC +0.546%——
Handicap — Coventry City FC -0.527%——
Handicap — Newcastle United FC +1.525%——
Handicap — Coventry City FC -1.511%——
Handicap — Newcastle United FC +2.511%——
Handicap — Coventry City FC -2.54%——
CardsProbOddsEdge
Under 6.5 cards100%——
Under 5.5 cards99%——
Under 4.5 cards97%——
Under 3.5 cards90%——
Under 2.5 cards75%——
Most cards — Newcastle United FC37%——
Most cards — Tie34%——
Most cards — Coventry City FC30%——
Over 2.5 cards25%——
Any red card18%——
Over 3.5 cards10%——
Over 4.5 cards3%——
2+ red cards2%——
Newcastle United FC expected cards1%——
Over 5.5 cards1%——
Coventry City FC expected cards1%——
Over 6.5 cards0%——
CornersProbOddsEdge
Over 7.5 corners87%——
Most corners — Newcastle United FC79%——
Over 8.5 corners79%——
Over 9.5 corners68%——
Under 12.5 corners67%——
Over 10.5 corners56%——
Under 11.5 corners56%——
Over 11.5 corners45%——
Under 10.5 corners44%——
Over 12.5 corners33%——
Under 9.5 corners32%——
Under 8.5 corners22%——
Under 7.5 corners13%——
Most corners — Coventry City FC13%——
Newcastle United FC expected corners7%——
Coventry City FC expected corners4%——
FoulsProbOddsEdge
Under 24.5 fouls77%——
Under 23.5 fouls70%——
Over 19.5 fouls63%——
Under 22.5 fouls63%——
Most fouls — Coventry City FC55%——
Over 20.5 fouls54%——
Under 21.5 fouls54%——
Over 21.5 fouls46%——
Under 20.5 fouls46%——
Over 22.5 fouls37%——
Under 19.5 fouls37%——
Most fouls — Newcastle United FC37%——
Over 23.5 fouls30%——
Over 24.5 fouls23%——
GoalscorersProbOddsEdge
Player to score or assist — Jack Rudoni (Coventry City)40%——
Player to score or assist — Yoane Wissa (Newcastle)34%——
Player anytime scorer — Yoane Wissa (Newcastle)33%——
Player to score or assist — Joe Willock (Newcastle)26%——
Player anytime scorer — Jack Rudoni (Coventry City)21%——
Player anytime scorer — Joe Willock (Newcastle)20%——
Player to score or assist — Harvey Barnes (Newcastle)17%——
Player anytime scorer — Harvey Barnes (Newcastle)10%——
Player cardsProbOddsEdge
Player carded — Yoane Wissa (Newcastle)29%——
Player carded — Ethan Pinnock (Coventry City)23%——
Player carded — Sven Botman (Newcastle)15%——
Player carded — Milan van Ewijk (Coventry City)15%——
Player carded — Lewis Miley (Newcastle)13%——