Coventry City FC v Newcastle United FC
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Football·Premier League· 2026-10-12 · 19:00

Coventry City FC v Newcastle United FC

Recommended bet
Over 1.5 goals
Total goals
De-vigged fair price from the marketLow
Win probability78%
Implied (with margin)78%
Model edge
Odds1.27 2/7
All markets
Match winnerProbOddsEdge
Match Winner — Newcastle United FC50%3.30
Match Winner — Draw27%4.10
Match Winner — Coventry City FC23%2.23
GoalsProbOddsEdge
Under 3.5 goals69%1.71
Over 2.5 goals53%1.53
Under 2.5 goals47%2.55
Over 3.5 goals31%2.32
Over 3.25 goals2.01
Under 3.25 goals1.83
Model-only estimates · 106 markets
Match winnerProbOddsEdge
Double chance — Newcastle United FC or Draw77%
Double chance — Coventry City FC or Newcastle United FC73%
Draw no bet — Newcastle United FC69%
Newcastle United FC to win50%
Double chance — Coventry City FC or Draw50%
Draw no bet — Coventry City FC31%
Draw27%
Coventry City FC to win23%
GoalsProbOddsEdge
Under 5.5 goals93%
Over 0.5 goals93%
Under 4.5 goals85%
Over 1.5 goals79%
Under 3.5 goals69%
BTTS — Yes56%
Over 2.5 goals53%
Goals range — 2-3 goals48%
Under 2.5 goals47%
BTTS — No44%
BTTS Yes + Over 2.543%
Over 3.5 goals31%
Goals range — 4-6 goals29%
Under 1.5 goals22%
Goals range — 0-1 goals22%
Over 4.5 goals15%
BTTS Yes + Under 2.513%
Under 0.5 goals8%
Over 5.5 goals7%
Goals range — 7+ goals3%
Score & marginProbOddsEdge
Both score no draw37%
Coventry City FC to score 137%
Coventry City FC to score 033%
Newcastle United FC clean sheet33%
Newcastle United FC to score 131%
Winning margin — Draw27%
Newcastle United FC to score 226%
Newcastle United FC win to nil26%
Newcastle United FC to score 3+25%
Winning margin — Newcastle United FC by 122%
Coventry City FC to score 220%
Newcastle United FC to score 018%
Coventry City FC clean sheet18%
Winning margin — Newcastle United FC by 216%
Winning margin — Coventry City FC by 114%
Correct score 1-113%
Coventry City FC win to nil11%
Coventry City FC to score 3+10%
Correct score 1-210%
Correct score 0-19%
Correct score 0-29%
Winning margin — Newcastle United FC by 38%
Correct score 0-08%
Winning margin — Coventry City FC by 27%
Correct score 2-16%
Correct score 1-36%
Correct score 2-25%
Correct score 1-05%
Correct score 0-35%
Winning margin — Newcastle United FC by 43%
Winning margin — Coventry City FC by 32%
Winning margin — Newcastle United FC by 5+1%
Winning margin — Coventry City FC by 41%
Winning margin — Coventry City FC by 5+0%
HalvesProbOddsEdge
1st Half Under 2.5 goals87%
1st Half Over 0.5 goals71%
1st Half Under 1.5 goals64%
Newcastle United FC to win either half64%
Half with most goals — 2nd44%
1st Half result — Draw40%
Coventry City FC to win either half39%
1st Half result — Newcastle United FC38%
1st Half Over 1.5 goals36%
Newcastle United FC to score in both halves32%
HT/FT Newcastle United FC / Newcastle United FC32%
Half with most goals — 1st31%
1st Half Under 0.5 goals29%
Half with most goals — Equal25%
1st Half result — Coventry City FC21%
Coventry City FC to score in both halves18%
HT/FT Draw / Newcastle United FC17%
Newcastle United FC to win both halves16%
HT/FT Draw / Draw14%
HT/FT Coventry City FC / Coventry City FC14%
1st Half Over 2.5 goals13%
HT/FT Draw / Coventry City FC9%
HT/FT Newcastle United FC / Draw5%
HT/FT Coventry City FC / Draw5%
Coventry City FC to win both halves5%
HT/FT Coventry City FC / Newcastle United FC3%
HT/FT Newcastle United FC / Coventry City FC2%
HandicapsProbOddsEdge
Handicap — Newcastle United FC -2.597%
Handicap — Newcastle United FC -1.591%
Handicap — Coventry City FC +2.588%
Handicap — Newcastle United FC -0.577%
Handicap — Coventry City FC +1.572%
Handicap — Newcastle United FC +0.550%
Handicap — Coventry City FC +0.550%
Handicap — Newcastle United FC +1.528%
Handicap — Coventry City FC -0.523%
Handicap — Newcastle United FC +2.512%
Handicap — Coventry City FC -1.59%
Handicap — Coventry City FC -2.53%
GoalscorersProbOddsEdge
Player to score or assist — Harvey Barnes (Newcastle)7%
Player anytime scorer — Harvey Barnes (Newcastle)6%
Player cardsProbOddsEdge
Player carded — Sven Botman (Newcastle)24%
Player carded — Aurèle Amenda (Coventry City)19%
Player carded — Milan van Ewijk (Coventry City)19%