Aston Villa FC v Brentford FC
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Football·Premier League· 2026-10-10 · 14:00

Aston Villa FC v Brentford FC

Recommended bet
Over 1.5 goals
Total goals
De-vigged fair price from the marketLow
Win probability79%
Implied (with margin)79%
Model edge—
Odds1.27 1/4
Crowd odds — Polymarket
Aston Villa FC36%
Draw28%
Brentford FC38%
$12,571 liquidity · $1,005 traded · data from Polymarket
All markets
Match winnerProbOddsEdge
Match Winner — Aston Villa FC46%2.78—
Match Winner — Draw27%3.65—
Match Winner — Brentford FC26%2.70—
GoalsProbOddsEdge
Over 2.5 goals54%1.75—
Under 2.5 goals46%2.28—
Over 2.75 goals—1.88—
Under 2.75 goals—2.01—
Over 3 goals—2.07—
Under 3 goals—1.76—
Model-only estimates · 171 markets
Match winnerProbOddsEdge
Double chance — Aston Villa FC or Draw74%——
Double chance — Aston Villa FC or Brentford FC73%——
Draw no bet — Aston Villa FC64%——
Double chance — Brentford FC or Draw54%——
Aston Villa FC to win46%——
Draw no bet — Brentford FC36%——
Draw27%——
Brentford FC to win26%——
GoalsProbOddsEdge
Under 5.5 goals93%——
Over 0.5 goals93%——
Under 4.5 goals84%——
Over 1.5 goals79%——
Under 3.5 goals68%——
BTTS — Yes58%——
Over 2.5 goals54%——
Goals range — 2-3 goals47%——
Under 2.5 goals46%——
BTTS Yes + Over 2.545%——
BTTS — No42%——
Over 3.5 goals32%——
Goals range — 4-6 goals29%——
Under 1.5 goals21%——
Goals range — 0-1 goals21%——
Over 4.5 goals16%——
BTTS Yes + Under 2.513%——
Under 0.5 goals7%——
Over 5.5 goals7%——
Goals range — 7+ goals3%——
Score & marginProbOddsEdge
Both score no draw38%——
Brentford FC to score 136%——
Aston Villa FC to score 132%——
Brentford FC to score 030%——
Aston Villa FC clean sheet30%——
Winning margin — Draw27%——
Aston Villa FC to score 226%——
Aston Villa FC win to nil23%——
Aston Villa FC to score 3+23%——
Brentford FC to score 222%——
Winning margin — Aston Villa FC by 121%——
Aston Villa FC to score 019%——
Brentford FC clean sheet19%——
Winning margin — Brentford FC by 115%——
Winning margin — Aston Villa FC by 215%——
Correct score 1-113%——
Brentford FC win to nil12%——
Brentford FC to score 3+12%——
Correct score 2-19%——
Correct score 1-08%——
Correct score 2-08%——
Winning margin — Brentford FC by 28%——
Correct score 0-07%——
Correct score 1-27%——
Winning margin — Aston Villa FC by 37%——
Correct score 2-26%——
Correct score 0-16%——
Correct score 3-15%——
Correct score 3-04%——
Winning margin — Brentford FC by 33%——
Winning margin — Aston Villa FC by 43%——
Winning margin — Aston Villa FC by 5+1%——
Winning margin — Brentford FC by 41%——
Winning margin — Brentford FC by 5+0%——
HalvesProbOddsEdge
1st Half Under 2.5 goals86%——
1st Half Over 0.5 goals73%——
1st Half Under 1.5 goals63%——
Aston Villa FC to win either half62%——
Half with most goals — 2nd44%——
Brentford FC to win either half43%——
1st Half result — Draw40%——
1st Half Over 1.5 goals37%——
1st Half result — Aston Villa FC36%——
Aston Villa FC to score in both halves32%——
Half with most goals — 1st31%——
HT/FT Aston Villa FC / Aston Villa FC29%——
1st Half Under 0.5 goals28%——
Half with most goals — Equal25%——
1st Half result — Brentford FC24%——
Brentford FC to score in both halves20%——
HT/FT Brentford FC / Brentford FC16%——
HT/FT Draw / Aston Villa FC16%——
Aston Villa FC to win both halves14%——
1st Half Over 2.5 goals14%——
HT/FT Draw / Draw14%——
HT/FT Draw / Brentford FC10%——
Brentford FC to win both halves6%——
HT/FT Brentford FC / Draw5%——
HT/FT Aston Villa FC / Draw5%——
HT/FT Brentford FC / Aston Villa FC3%——
HT/FT Aston Villa FC / Brentford FC2%——
HandicapsProbOddsEdge
Handicap — Aston Villa FC +2.596%——
Handicap — Brentford FC -2.590%——
Handicap — Aston Villa FC +1.589%——
Handicap — Brentford FC -1.575%——
Handicap — Aston Villa FC +0.574%——
Handicap — Brentford FC -0.554%——
Handicap — Aston Villa FC -0.546%——
Handicap — Brentford FC +0.526%——
Handicap — Aston Villa FC -1.525%——
Handicap — Brentford FC +1.511%——
Handicap — Aston Villa FC -2.511%——
Handicap — Brentford FC +2.54%——
CardsProbOddsEdge
Over 2.5 cards92%——
Over 3.5 cards82%——
Over 4.5 cards67%——
Under 6.5 cards66%——
Over 5.5 cards50%——
Most cards — Aston Villa FC50%——
Under 5.5 cards50%——
Over 6.5 cards34%——
Most cards — Brentford FC33%——
Under 4.5 cards33%——
Under 3.5 cards18%——
Any red card18%——
Most cards — Tie17%——
Under 2.5 cards8%——
Aston Villa FC expected cards3%——
Brentford FC expected cards3%——
2+ red cards2%——
CornersProbOddsEdge
Under 12.5 corners96%——
Under 11.5 corners93%——
Under 10.5 corners87%——
Under 9.5 corners79%——
Under 8.5 corners68%——
Most corners — Brentford FC63%——
Under 7.5 corners54%——
Over 7.5 corners46%——
Over 8.5 corners32%——
Most corners — Aston Villa FC24%——
Over 9.5 corners21%——
Over 10.5 corners13%——
Over 11.5 corners7%——
Brentford FC expected corners4%——
Over 12.5 corners4%——
Aston Villa FC expected corners3%——
FoulsProbOddsEdge
Over 19.5 fouls94%——
Over 20.5 fouls91%——
Over 21.5 fouls87%——
Over 22.5 fouls82%——
Over 23.5 fouls76%——
Over 24.5 fouls69%——
Most fouls — Brentford FC58%——
Most fouls — Aston Villa FC34%——
Under 24.5 fouls31%——
Under 23.5 fouls24%——
Under 22.5 fouls19%——
Under 21.5 fouls14%——
Under 20.5 fouls10%——
Under 19.5 fouls6%——
GoalscorersProbOddsEdge
Player to score or assist — Igor Thiago Nascimento Rodrigues (Brentford)43%——
Player anytime scorer — Igor Thiago Nascimento Rodrigues (Brentford)41%——
Player to score or assist — Keane Lewis-Potter (Brentford)31%——
Player to score or assist — Nicolas Jackson (Aston Villa)28%——
Player to score or assist — Kevin Schade (Brentford)27%——
Player anytime scorer — Kevin Schade (Brentford)23%——
Player to score or assist — Mamadou Sangaré (Brentford)22%——
Player anytime scorer — Keane Lewis-Potter (Brentford)20%——
Player to score or assist — Emiliano Buendía Stati (Aston Villa)20%——
Player to score or assist — John McGinn (Aston Villa)16%——
Player anytime scorer — Emiliano Buendía Stati (Aston Villa)16%——
Player anytime scorer — Nicolas Jackson (Aston Villa)16%——
Player anytime scorer — John McGinn (Aston Villa)13%——
Player to score or assist — Ross Barkley (Aston Villa)12%——
Player anytime scorer — Ross Barkley (Aston Villa)9%——
Player anytime scorer — Vitaly Janelt (Brentford)9%——
Player cardsProbOddsEdge
Player carded — Nicolas Jackson (Aston Villa)41%——
Player carded — Matty Cash (Aston Villa)40%——
Player carded — Vitaly Janelt (Brentford)39%——
Player carded — Mamadou Sangaré (Brentford)37%——
Player carded — John McGinn (Aston Villa)29%——
Player carded — Igor Thiago Nascimento Rodrigues (Brentford)29%——
Player carded — Kristoffer Ajer (Brentford)15%——