Aston Villa FC v Brentford FC
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Aston Villa FC v Brentford FC
Recommended bet
Over 1.5 goals
Total goals
De-vigged fair price from the marketLow
Win probability79%
Implied (with margin)79%
Model edge—
Odds1.27 2/7
All markets
Model-only estimates · 105 markets
Match winnerProbOddsEdge
Double chance — Aston Villa FC or Draw74%——
Double chance — Aston Villa FC or Brentford FC73%——
Draw no bet — Aston Villa FC64%——
Double chance — Brentford FC or Draw54%——
Aston Villa FC to win46%——
Draw no bet — Brentford FC36%——
Draw28%——
Brentford FC to win26%——
GoalsProbOddsEdge
Under 5.5 goals93%——
Over 0.5 goals93%——
Under 4.5 goals85%——
Over 1.5 goals79%——
Under 3.5 goals69%——
BTTS — Yes57%——
Over 2.5 goals53%——
Goals range — 2-3 goals48%——
Under 2.5 goals47%——
BTTS Yes + Over 2.544%——
BTTS — No43%——
Over 3.5 goals31%——
Goals range — 4-6 goals29%——
Under 1.5 goals21%——
Goals range — 0-1 goals21%——
Over 4.5 goals16%——
BTTS Yes + Under 2.513%——
Under 0.5 goals8%——
Over 5.5 goals7%——
Goals range — 7+ goals3%——
Score & marginProbOddsEdge
Both score no draw37%——
Brentford FC to score 136%——
Aston Villa FC to score 132%——
Brentford FC to score 031%——
Aston Villa FC clean sheet31%——
Winning margin — Draw28%——
Aston Villa FC to score 226%——
Aston Villa FC win to nil23%——
Aston Villa FC to score 3+22%——
Brentford FC to score 222%——
Winning margin — Aston Villa FC by 121%——
Aston Villa FC to score 020%——
Brentford FC clean sheet20%——
Winning margin — Brentford FC by 115%——
Winning margin — Aston Villa FC by 215%——
Correct score 1-113%——
Brentford FC win to nil12%——
Brentford FC to score 3+12%——
Correct score 2-19%——
Correct score 1-08%——
Correct score 2-08%——
Winning margin — Brentford FC by 28%——
Correct score 0-08%——
Correct score 1-27%——
Winning margin — Aston Villa FC by 37%——
Correct score 0-16%——
Correct score 2-26%——
Correct score 3-15%——
Correct score 3-04%——
Winning margin — Brentford FC by 33%——
Winning margin — Aston Villa FC by 43%——
Winning margin — Aston Villa FC by 5+1%——
Winning margin — Brentford FC by 41%——
Winning margin — Brentford FC by 5+0%——
HalvesProbOddsEdge
1st Half Under 2.5 goals87%——
1st Half Over 0.5 goals72%——
1st Half Under 1.5 goals64%——
Aston Villa FC to win either half61%——
Half with most goals — 2nd44%——
Brentford FC to win either half43%——
1st Half result — Draw40%——
1st Half Over 1.5 goals36%——
1st Half result — Aston Villa FC36%——
Half with most goals — 1st31%——
Aston Villa FC to score in both halves31%——
HT/FT Aston Villa FC / Aston Villa FC29%——
1st Half Under 0.5 goals28%——
Half with most goals — Equal25%——
1st Half result — Brentford FC24%——
Brentford FC to score in both halves20%——
HT/FT Draw / Aston Villa FC16%——
HT/FT Brentford FC / Brentford FC16%——
HT/FT Draw / Draw14%——
Aston Villa FC to win both halves14%——
1st Half Over 2.5 goals14%——
HT/FT Draw / Brentford FC10%——
Brentford FC to win both halves6%——
HT/FT Brentford FC / Draw5%——
HT/FT Aston Villa FC / Draw5%——
HT/FT Brentford FC / Aston Villa FC3%——
HT/FT Aston Villa FC / Brentford FC2%——
HandicapsProbOddsEdge
Handicap — Aston Villa FC +2.597%——
Handicap — Brentford FC -2.590%——
Handicap — Aston Villa FC +1.589%——
Handicap — Brentford FC -1.575%——
Handicap — Aston Villa FC +0.574%——
Handicap — Brentford FC -0.554%——
Handicap — Aston Villa FC -0.546%——
Handicap — Brentford FC +0.526%——
Handicap — Aston Villa FC -1.525%——
Handicap — Brentford FC +1.511%——
Handicap — Aston Villa FC -2.511%——
Handicap — Brentford FC +2.54%——
GoalscorersProbOddsEdge
Player to score or assist — Vitaly Janelt (Brentford)21%——
Player anytime scorer — Vitaly Janelt (Brentford)13%——
Player cardsProbOddsEdge
Player carded — Vitaly Janelt (Brentford)57%——
Player carded — Kristoffer Ajer (Brentford)24%——