Leeds United FC v Manchester United FC
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Football·Premier League· 2026-10-18 · 13:00

Leeds United FC v Manchester United FC

Recommended bet
Over 1.5 goals
Total goals
De-vigged fair price from the marketLow
Win probability79%
Implied (with margin)79%
Model edge
Odds1.26 1/4
All markets
Match winnerProbOddsEdge
Match Winner — Leeds United FC50%3.30
Match Winner — Draw27%4.10
Match Winner — Manchester United FC23%2.23
GoalsProbOddsEdge
Under 3.5 goals68%1.71
Over 2.5 goals55%1.53
Under 2.5 goals46%2.55
Over 3.5 goals32%2.32
Over 3.25 goals2.01
Under 3.25 goals1.83
Model-only estimates · 164 markets
Match winnerProbOddsEdge
Double chance — Leeds United FC or Draw77%
Double chance — Leeds United FC or Manchester United FC73%
Draw no bet — Leeds United FC68%
Leeds United FC to win50%
Double chance — Manchester United FC or Draw50%
Draw no bet — Manchester United FC32%
Draw27%
Manchester United FC to win23%
GoalsProbOddsEdge
Under 5.5 goals93%
Over 0.5 goals93%
Under 4.5 goals84%
Over 1.5 goals79%
Under 3.5 goals68%
BTTS — Yes57%
Over 2.5 goals55%
Goals range — 2-3 goals47%
Under 2.5 goals46%
BTTS Yes + Over 2.545%
BTTS — No43%
Over 3.5 goals32%
Goals range — 4-6 goals30%
Under 1.5 goals21%
Goals range — 0-1 goals21%
Over 4.5 goals16%
BTTS Yes + Under 2.513%
Under 0.5 goals7%
Over 5.5 goals7%
Goals range — 7+ goals3%
Score & marginProbOddsEdge
Both score no draw38%
Manchester United FC to score 137%
Manchester United FC to score 033%
Leeds United FC clean sheet33%
Leeds United FC to score 131%
Winning margin — Draw27%
Leeds United FC to score 227%
Leeds United FC win to nil25%
Leeds United FC to score 3+25%
Winning margin — Leeds United FC by 122%
Manchester United FC to score 221%
Leeds United FC to score 018%
Manchester United FC clean sheet18%
Winning margin — Leeds United FC by 216%
Winning margin — Manchester United FC by 114%
Correct score 1-113%
Manchester United FC to score 3+11%
Manchester United FC win to nil10%
Correct score 2-110%
Correct score 2-09%
Correct score 1-09%
Winning margin — Leeds United FC by 38%
Correct score 0-07%
Winning margin — Manchester United FC by 27%
Correct score 1-26%
Correct score 3-16%
Correct score 2-26%
Correct score 3-05%
Correct score 0-15%
Winning margin — Leeds United FC by 43%
Winning margin — Manchester United FC by 32%
Winning margin — Leeds United FC by 5+1%
Winning margin — Manchester United FC by 41%
Winning margin — Manchester United FC by 5+0%
HalvesProbOddsEdge
1st Half Under 2.5 goals85%
1st Half Over 0.5 goals74%
Leeds United FC to win either half65%
1st Half Under 1.5 goals62%
Half with most goals — 2nd44%
Manchester United FC to win either half40%
1st Half result — Leeds United FC39%
1st Half result — Draw39%
1st Half Over 1.5 goals38%
Leeds United FC to score in both halves35%
HT/FT Leeds United FC / Leeds United FC33%
Half with most goals — 1st31%
1st Half Under 0.5 goals26%
Half with most goals — Equal24%
1st Half result — Manchester United FC22%
Manchester United FC to score in both halves19%
Leeds United FC to win both halves17%
HT/FT Draw / Leeds United FC17%
1st Half Over 2.5 goals15%
HT/FT Manchester United FC / Manchester United FC14%
HT/FT Draw / Draw13%
HT/FT Draw / Manchester United FC9%
Manchester United FC to win both halves5%
HT/FT Manchester United FC / Draw5%
HT/FT Leeds United FC / Draw5%
HT/FT Manchester United FC / Leeds United FC3%
HT/FT Leeds United FC / Manchester United FC2%
HandicapsProbOddsEdge
Handicap — Leeds United FC +2.597%
Handicap — Leeds United FC +1.591%
Handicap — Manchester United FC -2.588%
Handicap — Leeds United FC +0.577%
Handicap — Manchester United FC -1.572%
Handicap — Leeds United FC -0.550%
Handicap — Manchester United FC -0.550%
Handicap — Leeds United FC -1.528%
Handicap — Manchester United FC +0.523%
Handicap — Leeds United FC -2.513%
Handicap — Manchester United FC +1.510%
Handicap — Manchester United FC +2.53%
CardsProbOddsEdge
Under 6.5 cards100%
Under 5.5 cards98%
Under 4.5 cards94%
Under 3.5 cards85%
Under 2.5 cards67%
Most cards — Manchester United FC66%
Over 2.5 cards33%
Most cards — Tie24%
Over 3.5 cards15%
Most cards — Leeds United FC10%
Over 4.5 cards6%
Over 5.5 cards2%
Manchester United FC expected cards2%
Over 6.5 cards1%
Leeds United FC expected cards0%
Any red card0%
2+ red cards0%
CornersProbOddsEdge
Over 7.5 corners80%
Under 12.5 corners77%
Over 8.5 corners70%
Under 11.5 corners67%
Most corners — Manchester United FC59%
Over 9.5 corners57%
Under 10.5 corners55%
Over 10.5 corners45%
Under 9.5 corners43%
Over 11.5 corners33%
Under 8.5 corners31%
Most corners — Leeds United FC29%
Over 12.5 corners23%
Under 7.5 corners20%
Manchester United FC expected corners6%
Leeds United FC expected corners5%
FoulsProbOddsEdge
Under 24.5 fouls78%
Under 23.5 fouls72%
Under 22.5 fouls64%
Over 19.5 fouls61%
Under 21.5 fouls56%
Over 20.5 fouls53%
Under 20.5 fouls47%
Most fouls — Manchester United FC47%
Most fouls — Leeds United FC45%
Over 21.5 fouls44%
Under 19.5 fouls39%
Over 22.5 fouls36%
Over 23.5 fouls28%
Over 24.5 fouls22%
GoalscorersProbOddsEdge
Player to score or assist — Bruno Borges Fernandes (Man Utd)51%
Player to score or assist — Bryan Mbeumo (Man Utd)50%
Player to score or assist — Dominic Calvert-Lewin (Leeds)44%
Player anytime scorer — Bryan Mbeumo (Man Utd)44%
Player anytime scorer — Dominic Calvert-Lewin (Leeds)43%
Player anytime scorer — Bruno Borges Fernandes (Man Utd)38%
Player to score or assist — Anton Stach (Leeds)22%
Player to score or assist — Matheus Santos Carneiro da Cunha (Man Utd)21%
Player to score or assist — Youri Tielemans (Man Utd)19%
Player anytime scorer — Anton Stach (Leeds)17%
Player anytime scorer — Matheus Santos Carneiro da Cunha (Man Utd)13%
Player anytime scorer — Youri Tielemans (Man Utd)13%
Player cardsProbOddsEdge
Player carded — Dominic Calvert-Lewin (Leeds)50%
Player carded — Harry Maguire (Man Utd)34%
Player carded — Jayden Bogle (Leeds)22%
Player carded — Bryan Mbeumo (Man Utd)19%