Manchester United FC v AFC Bournemouth
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Manchester United FC v AFC Bournemouth
Recommended bet
Over 1.5 goals
Total goals
De-vigged fair price from the marketLow
Win probability81%
Implied (with margin)81%
Model edge—
Odds1.23 2/9
All markets
Model-only estimates · 170 markets
Match winnerProbOddsEdge
Double chance — Manchester United FC or AFC Bournemouth73%——
Double chance — Manchester United FC or Draw69%——
Double chance — AFC Bournemouth or Draw59%——
Draw no bet — Manchester United FC57%——
Draw no bet — AFC Bournemouth43%——
Manchester United FC to win41%——
AFC Bournemouth to win31%——
Draw27%——
GoalsProbOddsEdge
Over 0.5 goals94%——
Under 5.5 goals92%——
Under 4.5 goals82%——
Over 1.5 goals81%——
Under 3.5 goals65%——
BTTS — Yes61%——
Over 2.5 goals57%——
BTTS Yes + Over 2.549%——
Goals range — 2-3 goals46%——
Under 2.5 goals43%——
BTTS — No39%——
Over 3.5 goals35%——
Goals range — 4-6 goals32%——
Under 1.5 goals19%——
Goals range — 0-1 goals19%——
Over 4.5 goals18%——
BTTS Yes + Under 2.513%——
Over 5.5 goals8%——
Under 0.5 goals7%——
Goals range — 7+ goals3%——
Score & marginProbOddsEdge
Both score no draw41%——
AFC Bournemouth to score 135%——
Manchester United FC to score 132%——
Winning margin — Draw27%——
Manchester United FC to score 226%——
AFC Bournemouth to score 025%——
Manchester United FC clean sheet25%——
AFC Bournemouth to score 224%——
Manchester United FC to score 3+22%——
Manchester United FC to score 020%——
AFC Bournemouth clean sheet20%——
Winning margin — Manchester United FC by 120%——
Manchester United FC win to nil19%——
Winning margin — AFC Bournemouth by 117%——
AFC Bournemouth to score 3+16%——
AFC Bournemouth win to nil14%——
Winning margin — Manchester United FC by 213%——
Correct score 1-113%——
Winning margin — AFC Bournemouth by 210%——
Correct score 2-19%——
Correct score 1-28%——
Correct score 1-07%——
Correct score 2-07%——
Correct score 0-07%——
Correct score 2-26%——
Winning margin — Manchester United FC by 36%——
Correct score 0-16%——
Correct score 3-15%——
Correct score 0-25%——
Winning margin — AFC Bournemouth by 34%——
Winning margin — Manchester United FC by 42%——
Winning margin — AFC Bournemouth by 41%——
Winning margin — Manchester United FC by 5+1%——
Winning margin — AFC Bournemouth by 5+0%——
HalvesProbOddsEdge
1st Half Under 2.5 goals81%——
1st Half Over 0.5 goals78%——
Manchester United FC to win either half60%——
1st Half Under 1.5 goals56%——
AFC Bournemouth to win either half50%——
Half with most goals — 2nd46%——
1st Half Over 1.5 goals44%——
1st Half result — Draw37%——
1st Half result — Manchester United FC35%——
Manchester United FC to score in both halves35%——
Half with most goals — 1st32%——
AFC Bournemouth to score in both halves29%——
1st Half result — AFC Bournemouth28%——
HT/FT Manchester United FC / Manchester United FC27%——
Half with most goals — Equal23%——
1st Half Under 0.5 goals22%——
HT/FT AFC Bournemouth / AFC Bournemouth20%——
1st Half Over 2.5 goals19%——
HT/FT Draw / Manchester United FC14%——
Manchester United FC to win both halves13%——
HT/FT Draw / Draw12%——
HT/FT Draw / AFC Bournemouth11%——
AFC Bournemouth to win both halves9%——
HT/FT AFC Bournemouth / Draw5%——
HT/FT Manchester United FC / Draw5%——
HT/FT AFC Bournemouth / Manchester United FC3%——
HT/FT Manchester United FC / AFC Bournemouth3%——
HandicapsProbOddsEdge
Handicap — Manchester United FC +2.595%——
Handicap — AFC Bournemouth -2.591%——
Handicap — Manchester United FC +1.585%——
Handicap — AFC Bournemouth -1.578%——
Handicap — Manchester United FC +0.569%——
Handicap — AFC Bournemouth -0.559%——
Handicap — Manchester United FC -0.541%——
Handicap — AFC Bournemouth +0.531%——
Handicap — Manchester United FC -1.522%——
Handicap — AFC Bournemouth +1.515%——
Handicap — Manchester United FC -2.59%——
Handicap — AFC Bournemouth +2.55%——
CardsProbOddsEdge
Over 2.5 cards90%——
Over 3.5 cards77%——
Under 6.5 cards72%——
Over 4.5 cards61%——
Under 5.5 cards57%——
Most cards — AFC Bournemouth46%——
Over 5.5 cards43%——
Under 4.5 cards39%——
Most cards — Manchester United FC36%——
Over 6.5 cards28%——
Under 3.5 cards23%——
Most cards — Tie18%——
Under 2.5 cards10%——
AFC Bournemouth expected cards3%——
Manchester United FC expected cards2%——
Any red card0%——
2+ red cards0%——
CornersProbOddsEdge
Over 7.5 corners88%——
Over 8.5 corners80%——
Over 9.5 corners70%——
Most corners — Manchester United FC67%——
Under 12.5 corners65%——
Over 10.5 corners58%——
Under 11.5 corners54%——
Over 11.5 corners46%——
Under 10.5 corners42%——
Over 12.5 corners35%——
Under 9.5 corners31%——
Most corners — AFC Bournemouth23%——
Under 8.5 corners20%——
Under 7.5 corners12%——
Manchester United FC expected corners7%——
AFC Bournemouth expected corners5%——
FoulsProbOddsEdge
Over 19.5 fouls74%——
Under 24.5 fouls66%——
Over 20.5 fouls66%——
Under 23.5 fouls59%——
Over 21.5 fouls58%——
Most fouls — AFC Bournemouth55%——
Under 22.5 fouls50%——
Over 22.5 fouls50%——
Under 21.5 fouls42%——
Over 23.5 fouls41%——
Most fouls — Manchester United FC37%——
Under 20.5 fouls34%——
Over 24.5 fouls34%——
Under 19.5 fouls26%——
GoalscorersProbOddsEdge
Player to score or assist — Bryan Mbeumo (Man Utd)44%——
Player to score or assist — Bruno Borges Fernandes (Man Utd)43%——
Player anytime scorer — Bryan Mbeumo (Man Utd)37%——
Player to score or assist — Marcus Tavernier (Bournemouth)33%——
Player anytime scorer — Bruno Borges Fernandes (Man Utd)30%——
Player to score or assist — Francisco Evanilson de Lima Barbosa (Bournemouth)27%——
Player to score or assist — Matheus Santos Carneiro da Cunha (Man Utd)23%——
Player to score or assist — Marcus Rashford (Man Utd)23%——
Player anytime scorer — Marcus Tavernier (Bournemouth)23%——
Player to score or assist — Rayan Vitor Simplício Rocha (Bournemouth)21%——
Player anytime scorer — Francisco Evanilson de Lima Barbosa (Bournemouth)20%——
Player anytime scorer — Marcus Rashford (Man Utd)15%——
Player anytime scorer — Rayan Vitor Simplício Rocha (Bournemouth)15%——
Player anytime scorer — Matheus Santos Carneiro da Cunha (Man Utd)12%——
Player cardsProbOddsEdge
Player carded — Marcus Tavernier (Bournemouth)36%——
Player carded — Adam Smith (Bournemouth)36%——
Player carded — Diogo Dalot Teixeira (Man Utd)33%——
Player carded — Adrien Truffert (Bournemouth)25%——
Player carded — Harry Maguire (Man Utd)24%——
Player carded — António João Pereira de Albuquerque Tavares da Silva (Bournemouth)24%——
Player carded — Luke Shaw (Man Utd)23%——
Player carded — Lisandro Martínez (Man Utd)15%——