Manchester City FC v Brighton & Hove Albion FC
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Manchester City FC v Brighton & Hove Albion FC
Recommended bet
Over 1.5 goals
Total goals
De-vigged fair price from the marketLow
Win probability82%
Implied (with margin)82%
Model edge—
Odds1.22 2/9
All markets
Model-only estimates · 172 markets
Match winnerProbOddsEdge
Double chance — Manchester City FC or Brighton & Hove Albion FC73%——
Double chance — Brighton & Hove Albion FC or Draw71%——
Draw no bet — Brighton & Hove Albion FC60%——
Double chance — Manchester City FC or Draw56%——
Brighton & Hove Albion FC to win44%——
Draw no bet — Manchester City FC40%——
Manchester City FC to win29%——
Draw27%——
GoalsProbOddsEdge
Over 0.5 goals94%——
Under 5.5 goals91%——
Over 1.5 goals82%——
Under 4.5 goals81%——
Under 3.5 goals64%——
BTTS — Yes62%——
Over 2.5 goals58%——
BTTS Yes + Over 2.549%——
Goals range — 2-3 goals46%——
Under 2.5 goals42%——
BTTS — No39%——
Over 3.5 goals36%——
Goals range — 4-6 goals32%——
Over 4.5 goals19%——
Under 1.5 goals18%——
Goals range — 0-1 goals18%——
BTTS Yes + Under 2.512%——
Over 5.5 goals9%——
Under 0.5 goals6%——
Goals range — 7+ goals3%——
Score & marginProbOddsEdge
Both score no draw41%——
Manchester City FC to score 135%——
Brighton & Hove Albion FC to score 131%——
Winning margin — Draw27%——
Brighton & Hove Albion FC to score 226%——
Manchester City FC to score 026%——
Brighton & Hove Albion FC clean sheet26%——
Brighton & Hove Albion FC to score 3+24%——
Manchester City FC to score 224%——
Winning margin — Brighton & Hove Albion FC by 120%——
Brighton & Hove Albion FC win to nil20%——
Brighton & Hove Albion FC to score 019%——
Manchester City FC clean sheet19%——
Winning margin — Manchester City FC by 116%——
Manchester City FC to score 3+15%——
Winning margin — Brighton & Hove Albion FC by 214%——
Correct score 1-112%——
Manchester City FC win to nil12%——
Correct score 1-29%——
Winning margin — Manchester City FC by 29%——
Correct score 2-17%——
Correct score 0-27%——
Correct score 0-17%——
Winning margin — Brighton & Hove Albion FC by 37%——
Correct score 0-06%——
Correct score 2-26%——
Correct score 1-35%——
Correct score 1-05%——
Correct score 2-04%——
Winning margin — Manchester City FC by 33%——
Winning margin — Brighton & Hove Albion FC by 43%——
Winning margin — Brighton & Hove Albion FC by 5+1%——
Winning margin — Manchester City FC by 41%——
Winning margin — Manchester City FC by 5+0%——
HalvesProbOddsEdge
1st Half Under 2.5 goals80%——
1st Half Over 0.5 goals79%——
Brighton & Hove Albion FC to win either half62%——
1st Half Under 1.5 goals54%——
Manchester City FC to win either half48%——
1st Half Over 1.5 goals46%——
Half with most goals — 2nd46%——
Brighton & Hove Albion FC to score in both halves38%——
1st Half result — Brighton & Hove Albion FC37%——
1st Half result — Draw36%——
Half with most goals — 1st32%——
HT/FT Brighton & Hove Albion FC / Brighton & Hove Albion FC29%——
Manchester City FC to score in both halves28%——
1st Half result — Manchester City FC27%——
Half with most goals — Equal22%——
1st Half Under 0.5 goals21%——
1st Half Over 2.5 goals21%——
HT/FT Manchester City FC / Manchester City FC18%——
Brighton & Hove Albion FC to win both halves15%——
HT/FT Draw / Brighton & Hove Albion FC14%——
HT/FT Draw / Draw11%——
HT/FT Draw / Manchester City FC10%——
Manchester City FC to win both halves8%——
HT/FT Brighton & Hove Albion FC / Draw5%——
HT/FT Manchester City FC / Draw5%——
HT/FT Manchester City FC / Brighton & Hove Albion FC3%——
HT/FT Brighton & Hove Albion FC / Manchester City FC3%——
HandicapsProbOddsEdge
Handicap — Brighton & Hove Albion FC -2.595%——
Handicap — Manchester City FC +2.590%——
Handicap — Brighton & Hove Albion FC -1.587%——
Handicap — Manchester City FC +1.576%——
Handicap — Brighton & Hove Albion FC -0.571%——
Handicap — Manchester City FC +0.556%——
Handicap — Brighton & Hove Albion FC +0.544%——
Handicap — Manchester City FC -0.529%——
Handicap — Brighton & Hove Albion FC +1.524%——
Handicap — Manchester City FC -1.513%——
Handicap — Brighton & Hove Albion FC +2.510%——
Handicap — Manchester City FC -2.55%——
CardsProbOddsEdge
Under 6.5 cards99%——
Under 5.5 cards96%——
Under 4.5 cards89%——
Under 3.5 cards76%——
Under 2.5 cards55%——
Most cards — Brighton & Hove Albion FC46%——
Over 2.5 cards45%——
Any red card28%——
Most cards — Manchester City FC27%——
Most cards — Tie27%——
Over 3.5 cards24%——
Over 4.5 cards11%——
2+ red cards5%——
Over 5.5 cards4%——
Brighton & Hove Albion FC expected cards1%——
Over 6.5 cards1%——
Manchester City FC expected cards1%——
CornersProbOddsEdge
Over 7.5 corners89%——
Over 8.5 corners81%——
Over 9.5 corners71%——
Under 12.5 corners63%——
Over 10.5 corners60%——
Most corners — Manchester City FC54%——
Under 11.5 corners52%——
Over 11.5 corners48%——
Under 10.5 corners40%——
Over 12.5 corners37%——
Most corners — Brighton & Hove Albion FC35%——
Under 9.5 corners29%——
Under 8.5 corners19%——
Under 7.5 corners11%——
Manchester City FC expected corners6%——
Brighton & Hove Albion FC expected corners5%——
FoulsProbOddsEdge
Over 19.5 fouls84%——
Over 20.5 fouls78%——
Over 21.5 fouls72%——
Over 22.5 fouls64%——
Over 23.5 fouls56%——
Most fouls — Brighton & Hove Albion FC53%——
Under 24.5 fouls52%——
Over 24.5 fouls48%——
Under 23.5 fouls44%——
Most fouls — Manchester City FC39%——
Under 22.5 fouls36%——
Under 21.5 fouls28%——
Under 20.5 fouls22%——
Under 19.5 fouls16%——
GoalscorersProbOddsEdge
Player to score or assist — Phil Foden (Man City)61%——
Player to score or assist — Erling Haaland (Man City)55%——
Player anytime scorer — Erling Haaland (Man City)50%——
Player to score or assist — Rayan Cherki (Man City)44%——
Player anytime scorer — Phil Foden (Man City)43%——
Player to score or assist — Pascal Groß (Brighton)35%——
Player to score or assist — Enzo Fernández (Man City)28%——
Player anytime scorer — Pascal Groß (Brighton)25%——
Player to score or assist — Diego Gómez Amarilla (Brighton)23%——
Player to score or assist — Charalampos Kostoulas (Brighton)23%——
Player anytime scorer — Rayan Cherki (Man City)22%——
Player anytime scorer — Charalampos Kostoulas (Brighton)22%——
Player anytime scorer — Iliman Ndiaye (Man City)19%——
Player to score or assist — Yasin Ayari (Brighton)17%——
Player anytime scorer — Diego Gómez Amarilla (Brighton)14%——
Player anytime scorer — Yasin Ayari (Brighton)14%——
Player cardsProbOddsEdge
Player carded — Joško Gvardiol (Man City)27%——
Player carded — Maxim De Cuyper (Brighton)26%——
Player carded — Olivier Boscagli (Brighton)26%——
Player carded — Pascal Groß (Brighton)24%——
Player carded — Abdukodir Khusanov (Man City)23%——
Player carded — Nico O'Reilly (Man City)23%——
Player carded — Phil Foden (Man City)23%——
Player carded — Lewis Dunk (Brighton)18%——