AFC Bournemouth v Leeds United FC
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AFC Bournemouth v Leeds United FC
Recommended bet
Over 1.5 goals
Total goals
De-vigged fair price from the marketLow
Win probability77%
Implied (with margin)77%
Model edge—
Odds1.30 3/10
All markets
Model-only estimates · 171 markets
Match winnerProbOddsEdge
Double chance — AFC Bournemouth or Leeds United FC71%——
Double chance — AFC Bournemouth or Draw69%——
Double chance — Leeds United FC or Draw59%——
Draw no bet — AFC Bournemouth57%——
Draw no bet — Leeds United FC43%——
AFC Bournemouth to win41%——
Leeds United FC to win31%——
Draw29%——
GoalsProbOddsEdge
Under 5.5 goals94%——
Over 0.5 goals92%——
Under 4.5 goals86%——
Over 1.5 goals77%——
Under 3.5 goals71%——
BTTS — Yes56%——
Over 2.5 goals51%——
Under 2.5 goals49%——
Goals range — 2-3 goals48%——
BTTS — No44%——
BTTS Yes + Over 2.543%——
Over 3.5 goals29%——
Goals range — 4-6 goals27%——
Under 1.5 goals23%——
Goals range — 0-1 goals23%——
Over 4.5 goals14%——
BTTS Yes + Under 2.514%——
Under 0.5 goals8%——
Over 5.5 goals6%——
Goals range — 7+ goals2%——
Score & marginProbOddsEdge
Leeds United FC to score 136%——
Both score no draw36%——
AFC Bournemouth to score 134%——
Winning margin — Draw29%——
Leeds United FC to score 029%——
AFC Bournemouth clean sheet29%——
AFC Bournemouth to score 225%——
AFC Bournemouth to score 023%——
Leeds United FC clean sheet23%——
Leeds United FC to score 222%——
AFC Bournemouth win to nil21%——
Winning margin — AFC Bournemouth by 120%——
AFC Bournemouth to score 3+18%——
Winning margin — Leeds United FC by 117%——
Leeds United FC win to nil15%——
Correct score 1-114%——
Leeds United FC to score 3+13%——
Winning margin — AFC Bournemouth by 213%——
Winning margin — Leeds United FC by 29%——
Correct score 2-19%——
Correct score 0-08%——
Correct score 1-08%——
Correct score 1-28%——
Correct score 2-07%——
Correct score 0-17%——
Correct score 2-26%——
Winning margin — AFC Bournemouth by 35%——
Correct score 0-25%——
Correct score 3-14%——
Winning margin — Leeds United FC by 33%——
Winning margin — AFC Bournemouth by 42%——
Winning margin — Leeds United FC by 41%——
Winning margin — AFC Bournemouth by 5+1%——
Winning margin — Leeds United FC by 5+0%——
HalvesProbOddsEdge
1st Half Under 2.5 goals90%——
1st Half Under 1.5 goals70%——
1st Half Over 0.5 goals66%——
AFC Bournemouth to win either half54%——
Leeds United FC to win either half45%——
1st Half result — Draw44%——
Half with most goals — 2nd42%——
1st Half Under 0.5 goals34%——
1st Half result — AFC Bournemouth31%——
Half with most goals — 1st31%——
1st Half Over 1.5 goals30%——
Half with most goals — Equal27%——
1st Half result — Leeds United FC25%——
HT/FT AFC Bournemouth / AFC Bournemouth24%——
AFC Bournemouth to score in both halves23%——
Leeds United FC to score in both halves18%——
HT/FT Leeds United FC / Leeds United FC18%——
HT/FT Draw / Draw17%——
HT/FT Draw / AFC Bournemouth15%——
HT/FT Draw / Leeds United FC12%——
AFC Bournemouth to win both halves10%——
1st Half Over 2.5 goals10%——
Leeds United FC to win both halves7%——
HT/FT Leeds United FC / Draw5%——
HT/FT AFC Bournemouth / Draw5%——
HT/FT Leeds United FC / AFC Bournemouth2%——
HT/FT AFC Bournemouth / Leeds United FC2%——
HandicapsProbOddsEdge
Handicap — AFC Bournemouth +2.595%——
Handicap — Leeds United FC -2.592%——
Handicap — AFC Bournemouth +1.586%——
Handicap — Leeds United FC -1.580%——
Handicap — AFC Bournemouth +0.569%——
Handicap — Leeds United FC -0.559%——
Handicap — AFC Bournemouth -0.541%——
Handicap — Leeds United FC +0.531%——
Handicap — AFC Bournemouth -1.520%——
Handicap — Leeds United FC +1.514%——
Handicap — AFC Bournemouth -2.58%——
Handicap — Leeds United FC +2.55%——
CardsProbOddsEdge
Over 2.5 cards95%——
Over 3.5 cards87%——
Over 4.5 cards75%——
Over 5.5 cards59%——
Under 6.5 cards57%——
Most cards — Leeds United FC48%——
Over 6.5 cards43%——
Under 5.5 cards41%——
Most cards — AFC Bournemouth36%——
Under 4.5 cards25%——
Most cards — Tie16%——
Under 3.5 cards13%——
Under 2.5 cards5%——
Leeds United FC expected cards3%——
AFC Bournemouth expected cards3%——
Any red card0%——
2+ red cards0%——
CornersProbOddsEdge
Under 12.5 corners88%——
Under 11.5 corners80%——
Under 10.5 corners71%——
Over 7.5 corners68%——
Under 9.5 corners59%——
Over 8.5 corners54%——
Most corners — AFC Bournemouth48%——
Under 8.5 corners46%——
Over 9.5 corners41%——
Most corners — Leeds United FC39%——
Under 7.5 corners32%——
Over 10.5 corners29%——
Over 11.5 corners20%——
Over 12.5 corners12%——
AFC Bournemouth expected corners5%——
Leeds United FC expected corners4%——
FoulsProbOddsEdge
Over 19.5 fouls89%——
Over 20.5 fouls84%——
Over 21.5 fouls79%——
Over 22.5 fouls72%——
Over 23.5 fouls65%——
Over 24.5 fouls57%——
Most fouls — AFC Bournemouth47%——
Most fouls — Leeds United FC45%——
Under 24.5 fouls43%——
Under 23.5 fouls35%——
Under 22.5 fouls28%——
Under 21.5 fouls22%——
Under 20.5 fouls16%——
Under 19.5 fouls11%——
GoalscorersProbOddsEdge
Player to score or assist — Dominic Calvert-Lewin (Leeds)36%——
Player anytime scorer — Dominic Calvert-Lewin (Leeds)36%——
Player to score or assist — Marcus Tavernier (Bournemouth)33%——
Player to score or assist — Francisco Evanilson de Lima Barbosa (Bournemouth)27%——
Player to score or assist — Justin Kluivert (Bournemouth)23%——
Player anytime scorer — Marcus Tavernier (Bournemouth)23%——
Player anytime scorer — Justin Kluivert (Bournemouth)22%——
Player to score or assist — Rayan Vitor Simplício Rocha (Bournemouth)21%——
Player anytime scorer — Francisco Evanilson de Lima Barbosa (Bournemouth)20%——
Player to score or assist — Anton Stach (Leeds)18%——
Player to score or assist — Tanaka Ao (Leeds)17%——
Player anytime scorer — Tanaka Ao (Leeds)17%——
Player anytime scorer — Rayan Vitor Simplício Rocha (Bournemouth)15%——
Player anytime scorer — Anton Stach (Leeds)14%——
Player to score or assist — Noah Okafor (Leeds)10%——
Player cardsProbOddsEdge
Player carded — Tanaka Ao (Leeds)37%——
Player carded — Marcus Tavernier (Bournemouth)36%——
Player carded — Adam Smith (Bournemouth)36%——
Player carded — Dominic Calvert-Lewin (Leeds)36%——
Player carded — Jayden Bogle (Leeds)28%——
Player carded — Adrien Truffert (Bournemouth)25%——
Player carded — António João Pereira de Albuquerque Tavares da Silva (Bournemouth)24%——
Player carded — James Justin (Leeds)13%——