Chelsea FC v Manchester United FC
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Chelsea FC v Manchester United FC
Recommended bet
Over 1.5 goals
Total goals
De-vigged fair price from the marketLow
Win probability80%
Implied (with margin)80%
Model edge—
Odds1.26 1/4
All markets
Model-only estimates · 172 markets
Match winnerProbOddsEdge
Double chance — Chelsea FC or Draw74%——
Double chance — Chelsea FC or Manchester United FC73%——
Draw no bet — Chelsea FC65%——
Double chance — Manchester United FC or Draw53%——
Chelsea FC to win47%——
Draw no bet — Manchester United FC35%——
Draw27%——
Manchester United FC to win26%——
GoalsProbOddsEdge
Under 5.5 goals93%——
Over 0.5 goals93%——
Under 4.5 goals84%——
Over 1.5 goals80%——
Under 3.5 goals68%——
BTTS — Yes58%——
Over 2.5 goals55%——
Goals range — 2-3 goals47%——
Under 2.5 goals45%——
BTTS Yes + Over 2.545%——
BTTS — No42%——
Over 3.5 goals32%——
Goals range — 4-6 goals30%——
Under 1.5 goals21%——
Goals range — 0-1 goals21%——
Over 4.5 goals16%——
BTTS Yes + Under 2.513%——
Under 0.5 goals7%——
Over 5.5 goals7%——
Goals range — 7+ goals3%——
Score & marginProbOddsEdge
Both score no draw38%——
Manchester United FC to score 136%——
Chelsea FC to score 131%——
Manchester United FC to score 030%——
Chelsea FC clean sheet30%——
Winning margin — Draw27%——
Chelsea FC to score 226%——
Chelsea FC to score 3+24%——
Chelsea FC win to nil23%——
Manchester United FC to score 222%——
Winning margin — Chelsea FC by 121%——
Chelsea FC to score 019%——
Manchester United FC clean sheet19%——
Winning margin — Chelsea FC by 215%——
Winning margin — Manchester United FC by 115%——
Correct score 1-113%——
Manchester United FC to score 3+12%——
Manchester United FC win to nil12%——
Correct score 2-110%——
Correct score 1-08%——
Correct score 2-08%——
Winning margin — Manchester United FC by 28%——
Correct score 0-07%——
Winning margin — Chelsea FC by 37%——
Correct score 1-27%——
Correct score 2-26%——
Correct score 3-15%——
Correct score 0-15%——
Correct score 3-05%——
Winning margin — Chelsea FC by 43%——
Winning margin — Manchester United FC by 33%——
Winning margin — Chelsea FC by 5+1%——
Winning margin — Manchester United FC by 41%——
Winning margin — Manchester United FC by 5+0%——
HalvesProbOddsEdge
1st Half Under 2.5 goals85%——
1st Half Over 0.5 goals74%——
Chelsea FC to win either half63%——
1st Half Under 1.5 goals62%——
Half with most goals — 2nd44%——
Manchester United FC to win either half43%——
1st Half result — Draw39%——
1st Half Over 1.5 goals38%——
1st Half result — Chelsea FC37%——
Chelsea FC to score in both halves33%——
Half with most goals — 1st31%——
HT/FT Chelsea FC / Chelsea FC30%——
1st Half Under 0.5 goals27%——
Half with most goals — Equal24%——
1st Half result — Manchester United FC24%——
Manchester United FC to score in both halves21%——
HT/FT Draw / Chelsea FC16%——
HT/FT Manchester United FC / Manchester United FC16%——
Chelsea FC to win both halves15%——
1st Half Over 2.5 goals15%——
HT/FT Draw / Draw14%——
HT/FT Draw / Manchester United FC10%——
Manchester United FC to win both halves6%——
HT/FT Manchester United FC / Draw5%——
HT/FT Chelsea FC / Draw5%——
HT/FT Manchester United FC / Chelsea FC3%——
HT/FT Chelsea FC / Manchester United FC2%——
HandicapsProbOddsEdge
Handicap — Chelsea FC +2.597%——
Handicap — Chelsea FC +1.589%——
Handicap — Manchester United FC -2.589%——
Handicap — Chelsea FC +0.574%——
Handicap — Manchester United FC -1.574%——
Handicap — Manchester United FC -0.553%——
Handicap — Chelsea FC -0.547%——
Handicap — Chelsea FC -1.526%——
Handicap — Manchester United FC +0.526%——
Handicap — Chelsea FC -2.511%——
Handicap — Manchester United FC +1.511%——
Handicap — Manchester United FC +2.54%——
CardsProbOddsEdge
Under 6.5 cards100%——
Under 5.5 cards99%——
Under 4.5 cards96%——
Under 3.5 cards89%——
Under 2.5 cards73%——
Most cards — Manchester United FC49%——
Most cards — Tie31%——
Over 2.5 cards27%——
Most cards — Chelsea FC20%——
Over 3.5 cards11%——
Over 4.5 cards4%——
Manchester United FC expected cards1%——
Over 5.5 cards1%——
Chelsea FC expected cards1%——
Over 6.5 cards0%——
Any red card0%——
2+ red cards0%——
CornersProbOddsEdge
Over 7.5 corners92%——
Over 8.5 corners87%——
Over 9.5 corners79%——
Over 10.5 corners69%——
Over 11.5 corners58%——
Most corners — Manchester United FC56%——
Under 12.5 corners54%——
Over 12.5 corners46%——
Under 11.5 corners42%——
Most corners — Chelsea FC33%——
Under 10.5 corners31%——
Under 9.5 corners21%——
Under 8.5 corners13%——
Under 7.5 corners8%——
Manchester United FC expected corners7%——
Chelsea FC expected corners6%——
FoulsProbOddsEdge
Under 24.5 fouls97%——
Under 23.5 fouls95%——
Under 22.5 fouls92%——
Under 21.5 fouls88%——
Under 20.5 fouls83%——
Under 19.5 fouls76%——
Most fouls — Manchester United FC54%——
Most fouls — Chelsea FC37%——
Over 19.5 fouls24%——
Over 20.5 fouls17%——
Over 21.5 fouls12%——
Over 22.5 fouls8%——
Over 23.5 fouls5%——
Over 24.5 fouls3%——
GoalscorersProbOddsEdge
Player to score or assist — Bryan Mbeumo (Man Utd)44%——
Player to score or assist — Bruno Borges Fernandes (Man Utd)43%——
Player to score or assist — João Pedro Junqueira de Jesus (Chelsea)41%——
Player anytime scorer — João Pedro Junqueira de Jesus (Chelsea)38%——
Player to score or assist — Morgan Rogers (Chelsea)37%——
Player anytime scorer — Bryan Mbeumo (Man Utd)37%——
Player anytime scorer — Bruno Borges Fernandes (Man Utd)30%——
Player to score or assist — Cole Palmer (Chelsea)27%——
Player anytime scorer — Morgan Rogers (Chelsea)24%——
Player to score or assist — Pedro Lomba Neto (Chelsea)23%——
Player to score or assist — Matheus Santos Carneiro da Cunha (Man Utd)23%——
Player to score or assist — Marcus Rashford (Man Utd)23%——
Player anytime scorer — Roméo Lavia (Chelsea)18%——
Player anytime scorer — Cole Palmer (Chelsea)17%——
Player anytime scorer — Marcus Rashford (Man Utd)15%——
Player anytime scorer — Matheus Santos Carneiro da Cunha (Man Utd)12%——
Player cardsProbOddsEdge
Player carded — Diogo Dalot Teixeira (Man Utd)33%——
Player carded — Harry Maguire (Man Utd)24%——
Player carded — Roméo Lavia (Chelsea)24%——
Player carded — Luke Shaw (Man Utd)23%——
Player carded — Wesley Fofana (Chelsea)21%——
Player carded — João Pedro Junqueira de Jesus (Chelsea)16%——
Player carded — Levi Samuels Colwill (Chelsea)16%——
Player carded — Lisandro Martínez (Man Utd)15%——