Sunderland AFC v Chelsea FC
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Sunderland AFC v Chelsea FC
Recommended bet
Over 1.5 goals
Total goals
De-vigged fair price from the marketLow
Win probability77%
Implied (with margin)77%
Model edge—
Odds1.29 2/7
All markets
Model-only estimates · 172 markets
Match winnerProbOddsEdge
Double chance — Sunderland AFC or Chelsea FC71%——
Double chance — Chelsea FC or Draw68%——
Double chance — Sunderland AFC or Draw61%——
Draw no bet — Chelsea FC55%——
Draw no bet — Sunderland AFC45%——
Chelsea FC to win39%——
Sunderland AFC to win32%——
Draw29%——
GoalsProbOddsEdge
Under 5.5 goals94%——
Over 0.5 goals92%——
Under 4.5 goals86%——
Over 1.5 goals77%——
Under 3.5 goals71%——
BTTS — Yes57%——
Over 2.5 goals52%——
Under 2.5 goals48%——
Goals range — 2-3 goals48%——
BTTS Yes + Over 2.543%——
BTTS — No43%——
Over 3.5 goals29%——
Goals range — 4-6 goals27%——
Under 1.5 goals23%——
Goals range — 0-1 goals23%——
Over 4.5 goals14%——
BTTS Yes + Under 2.514%——
Under 0.5 goals8%——
Over 5.5 goals6%——
Goals range — 7+ goals2%——
Score & marginProbOddsEdge
Both score no draw36%——
Sunderland AFC to score 136%——
Chelsea FC to score 134%——
Winning margin — Draw29%——
Sunderland AFC to score 027%——
Chelsea FC clean sheet27%——
Chelsea FC to score 225%——
Chelsea FC to score 024%——
Sunderland AFC clean sheet24%——
Sunderland AFC to score 223%——
Winning margin — Chelsea FC by 120%——
Chelsea FC win to nil19%——
Chelsea FC to score 3+18%——
Winning margin — Sunderland AFC by 118%——
Sunderland AFC win to nil16%——
Sunderland AFC to score 3+14%——
Correct score 1-114%——
Winning margin — Chelsea FC by 212%——
Winning margin — Sunderland AFC by 210%——
Correct score 1-29%——
Correct score 0-08%——
Correct score 2-18%——
Correct score 0-18%——
Correct score 1-07%——
Correct score 0-27%——
Correct score 2-26%——
Correct score 2-05%——
Winning margin — Chelsea FC by 35%——
Correct score 1-34%——
Winning margin — Sunderland AFC by 34%——
Winning margin — Chelsea FC by 42%——
Winning margin — Sunderland AFC by 41%——
Winning margin — Chelsea FC by 5+1%——
Winning margin — Sunderland AFC by 5+0%——
HalvesProbOddsEdge
1st Half Under 2.5 goals89%——
1st Half Under 1.5 goals69%——
1st Half Over 0.5 goals68%——
Chelsea FC to win either half53%——
Sunderland AFC to win either half47%——
1st Half result — Draw43%——
Half with most goals — 2nd43%——
1st Half Under 0.5 goals32%——
1st Half Over 1.5 goals32%——
Half with most goals — 1st31%——
1st Half result — Chelsea FC30%——
Half with most goals — Equal27%——
1st Half result — Sunderland AFC26%——
Chelsea FC to score in both halves24%——
HT/FT Chelsea FC / Chelsea FC23%——
Sunderland AFC to score in both halves20%——
HT/FT Sunderland AFC / Sunderland AFC19%——
HT/FT Draw / Draw17%——
HT/FT Draw / Chelsea FC14%——
HT/FT Draw / Sunderland AFC12%——
1st Half Over 2.5 goals11%——
Chelsea FC to win both halves10%——
Sunderland AFC to win both halves8%——
HT/FT Chelsea FC / Draw5%——
HT/FT Sunderland AFC / Draw5%——
HT/FT Sunderland AFC / Chelsea FC2%——
HT/FT Chelsea FC / Sunderland AFC2%——
HandicapsProbOddsEdge
Handicap — Chelsea FC -2.595%——
Handicap — Sunderland AFC +2.593%——
Handicap — Chelsea FC -1.585%——
Handicap — Sunderland AFC +1.581%——
Handicap — Chelsea FC -0.568%——
Handicap — Sunderland AFC +0.561%——
Handicap — Chelsea FC +0.539%——
Handicap — Sunderland AFC -0.532%——
Handicap — Chelsea FC +1.519%——
Handicap — Sunderland AFC -1.515%——
Handicap — Chelsea FC +2.57%——
Handicap — Sunderland AFC -2.55%——
CardsProbOddsEdge
Over 2.5 cards90%——
Over 3.5 cards77%——
Under 6.5 cards72%——
Over 4.5 cards60%——
Under 5.5 cards57%——
Most cards — Chelsea FC45%——
Over 5.5 cards43%——
Under 4.5 cards40%——
Most cards — Sunderland AFC37%——
Over 6.5 cards28%——
Any red card25%——
Under 3.5 cards23%——
Most cards — Tie18%——
Under 2.5 cards11%——
2+ red cards3%——
Chelsea FC expected cards3%——
Sunderland AFC expected cards3%——
CornersProbOddsEdge
Over 7.5 corners79%——
Under 12.5 corners78%——
Over 8.5 corners68%——
Under 11.5 corners68%——
Most corners — Chelsea FC63%——
Under 10.5 corners57%——
Over 9.5 corners56%——
Under 9.5 corners44%——
Over 10.5 corners44%——
Over 11.5 corners32%——
Under 8.5 corners32%——
Most corners — Sunderland AFC26%——
Over 12.5 corners22%——
Under 7.5 corners21%——
Chelsea FC expected corners6%——
Sunderland AFC expected corners4%——
FoulsProbOddsEdge
Under 24.5 fouls87%——
Under 23.5 fouls82%——
Under 22.5 fouls76%——
Under 21.5 fouls69%——
Under 20.5 fouls60%——
Most fouls — Sunderland AFC55%——
Under 19.5 fouls52%——
Over 19.5 fouls49%——
Over 20.5 fouls40%——
Most fouls — Chelsea FC37%——
Over 21.5 fouls32%——
Over 22.5 fouls24%——
Over 23.5 fouls18%——
Over 24.5 fouls13%——
GoalscorersProbOddsEdge
Player to score or assist — Enzo Le Fée (Sunderland)37%——
Player to score or assist — Brian Brobbey (Sunderland)35%——
Player anytime scorer — Brian Brobbey (Sunderland)34%——
Player to score or assist — Morgan Rogers (Chelsea)31%——
Player to score or assist — João Pedro Junqueira de Jesus (Chelsea)30%——
Player anytime scorer — João Pedro Junqueira de Jesus (Chelsea)28%——
Player to score or assist — Pedro Lomba Neto (Chelsea)25%——
Player to score or assist — Cole Palmer (Chelsea)24%——
Player anytime scorer — Enzo Le Fée (Sunderland)23%——
Player anytime scorer — Morgan Rogers (Chelsea)20%——
Player anytime scorer — Roméo Lavia (Chelsea)18%——
Player to score or assist — Granit Xhaka (Sunderland)17%——
Player anytime scorer — Pedro Lomba Neto (Chelsea)16%——
Player to score or assist — Nilson Angulo (Sunderland)13%——
Player anytime scorer — Nilson Angulo (Sunderland)11%——
Player anytime scorer — Noah Sadiki (Sunderland)6%——
Player cardsProbOddsEdge
Player carded — Morgan Rogers (Chelsea)28%——
Player carded — Roméo Lavia (Chelsea)24%——
Player carded — Pedro Lomba Neto (Chelsea)22%——
Player carded — Wesley Fofana (Chelsea)21%——
Player carded — Granit Xhaka (Sunderland)21%——
Player carded — Nilson Angulo (Sunderland)18%——
Player carded — Brian Brobbey (Sunderland)13%——
Player carded — Nordi Mukiele (Sunderland)13%——