Manchester United FC v Aston Villa FC
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Manchester United FC v Aston Villa FC
Recommended bet
Over 1.5 goals
Total goals
De-vigged fair price from the marketLow
Win probability79%
Implied (with margin)79%
Model edge—
Odds1.27 2/7
All markets
Match winnerProbOddsEdge
Match Winner — Manchester United FC44%2.17—
Match Winner — Aston Villa FC28%3.40—
Match Winner — Draw28%3.95—
GoalsProbOddsEdge
Over 2.5 goals54%1.65—
Under 2.5 goals46%2.45—
Over 3 goals—1.98—
Under 3 goals—1.85—
Model-only estimates · 172 markets
Match winnerProbOddsEdge
Double chance — Manchester United FC or Aston Villa FC72%——
Double chance — Manchester United FC or Draw72%——
Draw no bet — Manchester United FC61%——
Double chance — Aston Villa FC or Draw56%——
Manchester United FC to win44%——
Draw no bet — Aston Villa FC39%——
Aston Villa FC to win28%——
Draw28%——
GoalsProbOddsEdge
Under 5.5 goals93%——
Over 0.5 goals93%——
Under 4.5 goals84%——
Over 1.5 goals79%——
Under 3.5 goals69%——
BTTS — Yes58%——
Over 2.5 goals54%——
Goals range — 2-3 goals48%——
Under 2.5 goals46%——
BTTS Yes + Over 2.545%——
BTTS — No42%——
Over 3.5 goals31%——
Goals range — 4-6 goals29%——
Under 1.5 goals21%——
Goals range — 0-1 goals21%——
Over 4.5 goals16%——
BTTS Yes + Under 2.513%——
Under 0.5 goals7%——
Over 5.5 goals7%——
Goals range — 7+ goals3%——
Score & marginProbOddsEdge
Both score no draw38%——
Aston Villa FC to score 136%——
Manchester United FC to score 132%——
Aston Villa FC to score 029%——
Manchester United FC clean sheet29%——
Winning margin — Draw28%——
Manchester United FC to score 226%——
Aston Villa FC to score 222%——
Manchester United FC win to nil22%——
Manchester United FC to score 3+22%——
Winning margin — Manchester United FC by 121%——
Manchester United FC to score 020%——
Aston Villa FC clean sheet20%——
Winning margin — Aston Villa FC by 116%——
Winning margin — Manchester United FC by 214%——
Correct score 1-113%——
Aston Villa FC win to nil13%——
Aston Villa FC to score 3+13%——
Correct score 2-19%——
Winning margin — Aston Villa FC by 28%——
Correct score 1-08%——
Correct score 2-08%——
Correct score 0-07%——
Correct score 1-27%——
Winning margin — Manchester United FC by 36%——
Correct score 0-16%——
Correct score 2-26%——
Correct score 3-15%——
Correct score 0-25%——
Winning margin — Aston Villa FC by 33%——
Winning margin — Manchester United FC by 42%——
Winning margin — Manchester United FC by 5+1%——
Winning margin — Aston Villa FC by 41%——
Winning margin — Aston Villa FC by 5+0%——
HalvesProbOddsEdge
1st Half Under 2.5 goals86%——
1st Half Over 0.5 goals72%——
1st Half Under 1.5 goals64%——
Manchester United FC to win either half60%——
Aston Villa FC to win either half45%——
Half with most goals — 2nd44%——
1st Half result — Draw40%——
1st Half Over 1.5 goals36%——
1st Half result — Manchester United FC35%——
Half with most goals — 1st31%——
Manchester United FC to score in both halves30%——
1st Half Under 0.5 goals28%——
HT/FT Manchester United FC / Manchester United FC28%——
Half with most goals — Equal25%——
1st Half result — Aston Villa FC25%——
Aston Villa FC to score in both halves21%——
HT/FT Aston Villa FC / Aston Villa FC17%——
HT/FT Draw / Manchester United FC15%——
HT/FT Draw / Draw14%——
1st Half Over 2.5 goals14%——
Manchester United FC to win both halves13%——
HT/FT Draw / Aston Villa FC11%——
Aston Villa FC to win both halves7%——
HT/FT Aston Villa FC / Draw5%——
HT/FT Manchester United FC / Draw5%——
HT/FT Aston Villa FC / Manchester United FC3%——
HT/FT Manchester United FC / Aston Villa FC2%——
HandicapsProbOddsEdge
Handicap — Manchester United FC +2.596%——
Handicap — Aston Villa FC -2.590%——
Handicap — Manchester United FC +1.588%——
Handicap — Aston Villa FC -1.577%——
Handicap — Manchester United FC +0.572%——
Handicap — Aston Villa FC -0.556%——
Handicap — Manchester United FC -0.544%——
Handicap — Aston Villa FC +0.528%——
Handicap — Manchester United FC -1.523%——
Handicap — Aston Villa FC +1.512%——
Handicap — Manchester United FC -2.510%——
Handicap — Aston Villa FC +2.54%——
CardsProbOddsEdge
Under 6.5 cards90%——
Under 5.5 cards80%——
Over 2.5 cards75%——
Under 4.5 cards65%——
Over 3.5 cards55%——
Under 3.5 cards45%——
Most cards — Manchester United FC41%——
Most cards — Aston Villa FC38%——
Over 4.5 cards35%——
Under 2.5 cards25%——
Most cards — Tie21%——
Over 5.5 cards20%——
Any red card13%——
Over 6.5 cards10%——
Manchester United FC expected cards2%——
Aston Villa FC expected cards2%——
2+ red cards1%——
CornersProbOddsEdge
Under 12.5 corners85%——
Most corners — Manchester United FC80%——
Under 11.5 corners77%——
Over 7.5 corners71%——
Under 10.5 corners67%——
Over 8.5 corners58%——
Under 9.5 corners55%——
Over 9.5 corners45%——
Under 8.5 corners42%——
Over 10.5 corners33%——
Under 7.5 corners29%——
Over 11.5 corners23%——
Over 12.5 corners15%——
Most corners — Aston Villa FC12%——
Manchester United FC expected corners6%——
Aston Villa FC expected corners3%——
FoulsProbOddsEdge
Under 24.5 fouls89%——
Under 23.5 fouls85%——
Under 22.5 fouls79%——
Under 21.5 fouls73%——
Under 20.5 fouls65%——
Under 19.5 fouls56%——
Most fouls — Aston Villa FC50%——
Over 19.5 fouls44%——
Most fouls — Manchester United FC41%——
Over 20.5 fouls35%——
Over 21.5 fouls27%——
Over 22.5 fouls21%——
Over 23.5 fouls15%——
Over 24.5 fouls11%——
GoalscorersProbOddsEdge
Player to score or assist — Bryan Mbeumo (Man Utd)44%——
Player to score or assist — Bruno Borges Fernandes (Man Utd)39%——
Player to score or assist — Johan Manzambi (Aston Villa)38%——
Player anytime scorer — Bryan Mbeumo (Man Utd)38%——
Player to score or assist — Nicolas Jackson (Aston Villa)31%——
Player anytime scorer — Johan Manzambi (Aston Villa)30%——
Player anytime scorer — Bruno Borges Fernandes (Man Utd)27%——
Player to score or assist — Matheus Santos Carneiro da Cunha (Man Utd)23%——
Player to score or assist — John McGinn (Aston Villa)23%——
Player to score or assist — Emiliano Buendía Stati (Aston Villa)23%——
Player anytime scorer — Nicolas Jackson (Aston Villa)22%——
Player to score or assist — Youri Tielemans (Man Utd)22%——
Player anytime scorer — Emiliano Buendía Stati (Aston Villa)19%——
Player anytime scorer — John McGinn (Aston Villa)17%——
Player anytime scorer — Matheus Santos Carneiro da Cunha (Man Utd)12%——
Player anytime scorer — Marcus Rashford (Man Utd)12%——
Player cardsProbOddsEdge
Player carded — Matty Cash (Aston Villa)41%——
Player carded — Diogo Dalot Teixeira (Man Utd)27%——
Player carded — Nicolas Jackson (Aston Villa)24%——
Player carded — Emiliano Buendía Stati (Aston Villa)24%——
Player carded — Bruno Borges Fernandes (Man Utd)21%——
Player carded — Harry Maguire (Man Utd)21%——
Player carded — John McGinn (Aston Villa)21%——
Player carded — Bryan Mbeumo (Man Utd)11%——