Nottingham Forest FC v Manchester City FC
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Nottingham Forest FC v Manchester City FC
Recommended bet
Over 1.5 goals
Total goals
De-vigged fair price from the marketLow
Win probability77%
Implied (with margin)77%
Model edge—
Odds1.31 3/10
All markets
Model-only estimates · 172 markets
Match winnerProbOddsEdge
Double chance — Manchester City FC or Draw76%——
Double chance — Nottingham Forest FC or Manchester City FC72%——
Draw no bet — Manchester City FC67%——
Double chance — Nottingham Forest FC or Draw52%——
Manchester City FC to win48%——
Draw no bet — Nottingham Forest FC34%——
Draw28%——
Nottingham Forest FC to win24%——
GoalsProbOddsEdge
Under 5.5 goals94%——
Over 0.5 goals92%——
Under 4.5 goals86%——
Over 1.5 goals77%——
Under 3.5 goals72%——
BTTS — Yes55%——
Over 2.5 goals51%——
Under 2.5 goals50%——
Goals range — 2-3 goals48%——
BTTS — No46%——
BTTS Yes + Over 2.541%——
Over 3.5 goals29%——
Goals range — 4-6 goals26%——
Under 1.5 goals23%——
Goals range — 0-1 goals23%——
Over 4.5 goals14%——
BTTS Yes + Under 2.513%——
Under 0.5 goals8%——
Over 5.5 goals6%——
Goals range — 7+ goals2%——
Score & marginProbOddsEdge
Nottingham Forest FC to score 137%——
Both score no draw35%——
Nottingham Forest FC to score 034%——
Manchester City FC clean sheet34%——
Manchester City FC to score 132%——
Winning margin — Draw28%——
Manchester City FC to score 226%——
Manchester City FC win to nil26%——
Winning margin — Manchester City FC by 122%——
Manchester City FC to score 3+22%——
Manchester City FC to score 020%——
Nottingham Forest FC clean sheet20%——
Nottingham Forest FC to score 220%——
Winning margin — Manchester City FC by 215%——
Winning margin — Nottingham Forest FC by 114%——
Correct score 1-113%——
Nottingham Forest FC win to nil12%——
Nottingham Forest FC to score 3+10%——
Correct score 1-210%——
Correct score 0-19%——
Correct score 0-29%——
Correct score 0-08%——
Winning margin — Manchester City FC by 37%——
Winning margin — Nottingham Forest FC by 27%——
Correct score 2-16%——
Correct score 1-06%——
Correct score 2-25%——
Correct score 1-35%——
Correct score 0-35%——
Winning margin — Manchester City FC by 43%——
Winning margin — Nottingham Forest FC by 32%——
Winning margin — Manchester City FC by 5+1%——
Winning margin — Nottingham Forest FC by 41%——
Winning margin — Nottingham Forest FC by 5+0%——
HalvesProbOddsEdge
1st Half Under 2.5 goals91%——
1st Half Under 1.5 goals71%——
1st Half Over 0.5 goals66%——
Manchester City FC to win either half60%——
1st Half result — Draw44%——
Half with most goals — 2nd42%——
Nottingham Forest FC to win either half39%——
1st Half result — Manchester City FC35%——
1st Half Under 0.5 goals34%——
Half with most goals — 1st31%——
1st Half Over 1.5 goals29%——
HT/FT Manchester City FC / Manchester City FC29%——
Half with most goals — Equal28%——
Manchester City FC to score in both halves26%——
1st Half result — Nottingham Forest FC21%——
HT/FT Draw / Draw17%——
HT/FT Draw / Manchester City FC17%——
Nottingham Forest FC to score in both halves14%——
HT/FT Nottingham Forest FC / Nottingham Forest FC14%——
Manchester City FC to win both halves13%——
HT/FT Draw / Nottingham Forest FC10%——
1st Half Over 2.5 goals9%——
Nottingham Forest FC to win both halves5%——
HT/FT Manchester City FC / Draw5%——
HT/FT Nottingham Forest FC / Draw5%——
HT/FT Nottingham Forest FC / Manchester City FC2%——
HT/FT Manchester City FC / Nottingham Forest FC1%——
HandicapsProbOddsEdge
Handicap — Manchester City FC -2.597%——
Handicap — Manchester City FC -1.590%——
Handicap — Nottingham Forest FC +2.589%——
Handicap — Manchester City FC -0.576%——
Handicap — Nottingham Forest FC +1.574%——
Handicap — Nottingham Forest FC +0.552%——
Handicap — Manchester City FC +0.548%——
Handicap — Manchester City FC +1.526%——
Handicap — Nottingham Forest FC -0.524%——
Handicap — Manchester City FC +2.511%——
Handicap — Nottingham Forest FC -1.510%——
Handicap — Nottingham Forest FC -2.53%——
CardsProbOddsEdge
Under 6.5 cards91%——
Under 5.5 cards81%——
Over 2.5 cards74%——
Under 4.5 cards66%——
Most cards — Manchester City FC60%——
Over 3.5 cards53%——
Under 3.5 cards47%——
Over 4.5 cards34%——
Under 2.5 cards26%——
Most cards — Nottingham Forest FC21%——
Over 5.5 cards19%——
Most cards — Tie19%——
Any red card13%——
Over 6.5 cards9%——
Manchester City FC expected cards2%——
Nottingham Forest FC expected cards1%——
2+ red cards1%——
CornersProbOddsEdge
Over 7.5 corners80%——
Under 12.5 corners76%——
Over 8.5 corners70%——
Under 11.5 corners66%——
Over 9.5 corners58%——
Under 10.5 corners55%——
Most corners — Manchester City FC54%——
Over 10.5 corners45%——
Under 9.5 corners42%——
Over 11.5 corners34%——
Most corners — Nottingham Forest FC34%——
Under 8.5 corners30%——
Over 12.5 corners24%——
Under 7.5 corners20%——
Manchester City FC expected corners6%——
Nottingham Forest FC expected corners5%——
FoulsProbOddsEdge
Over 19.5 fouls89%——
Over 20.5 fouls84%——
Over 21.5 fouls78%——
Over 22.5 fouls72%——
Over 23.5 fouls64%——
Most fouls — Nottingham Forest FC60%——
Over 24.5 fouls57%——
Under 24.5 fouls43%——
Under 23.5 fouls36%——
Most fouls — Manchester City FC33%——
Under 22.5 fouls28%——
Under 21.5 fouls22%——
Under 20.5 fouls16%——
Under 19.5 fouls11%——
GoalscorersProbOddsEdge
Player to score or assist — Phil Foden (Man City)61%——
Player to score or assist — Erling Haaland (Man City)54%——
Player anytime scorer — Erling Haaland (Man City)50%——
Player to score or assist — Rayan Cherki (Man City)44%——
Player anytime scorer — Phil Foden (Man City)43%——
Player to score or assist — Morgan Gibbs-White (Nott'm Forest)41%——
Player to score or assist — Dan Ndoye (Nott'm Forest)40%——
Player to score or assist — Liam Delap (Nott'm Forest)35%——
Player anytime scorer — Liam Delap (Nott'm Forest)30%——
Player anytime scorer — Dan Ndoye (Nott'm Forest)28%——
Player to score or assist — Enzo Fernández (Man City)28%——
Player anytime scorer — Morgan Gibbs-White (Nott'm Forest)25%——
Player anytime scorer — Rayan Cherki (Man City)22%——
Player to score or assist — James McAtee (Nott'm Forest)17%——
Player anytime scorer — Iliman Ndiaye (Man City)16%——
Player anytime scorer — James McAtee (Nott'm Forest)6%——
Player cardsProbOddsEdge
Player carded — Ola Aina (Nott'm Forest)44%——
Player carded — Murillo Costa dos Santos (Nott'm Forest)27%——
Player carded — Joško Gvardiol (Man City)27%——
Player carded — Liam Delap (Nott'm Forest)25%——
Player carded — Jair Paula da Cunha Filho (Nott'm Forest)25%——
Player carded — Abdukodir Khusanov (Man City)23%——
Player carded — Phil Foden (Man City)23%——
Player carded — Nico O'Reilly (Man City)18%——