Chelsea FC v Leeds United FC
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Chelsea FC v Leeds United FC
Recommended bet
Over 1.5 goals
Total goals
De-vigged fair price from the marketLow
Win probability78%
Implied (with margin)78%
Model edge—
Odds1.28 2/7
All markets
Model-only estimates · 171 markets
Match winnerProbOddsEdge
Double chance — Chelsea FC or Leeds United FC72%——
Double chance — Chelsea FC or Draw69%——
Double chance — Leeds United FC or Draw60%——
Draw no bet — Chelsea FC56%——
Draw no bet — Leeds United FC44%——
Chelsea FC to win40%——
Leeds United FC to win31%——
Draw28%——
GoalsProbOddsEdge
Under 5.5 goals94%——
Over 0.5 goals92%——
Under 4.5 goals85%——
Over 1.5 goals78%——
Under 3.5 goals70%——
BTTS — Yes58%——
Over 2.5 goals52%——
Goals range — 2-3 goals48%——
Under 2.5 goals48%——
BTTS Yes + Over 2.544%——
BTTS — No43%——
Over 3.5 goals30%——
Goals range — 4-6 goals28%——
Under 1.5 goals22%——
Goals range — 0-1 goals22%——
Over 4.5 goals15%——
BTTS Yes + Under 2.514%——
Under 0.5 goals8%——
Over 5.5 goals6%——
Goals range — 7+ goals2%——
Score & marginProbOddsEdge
Both score no draw37%——
Leeds United FC to score 136%——
Chelsea FC to score 134%——
Winning margin — Draw28%——
Leeds United FC to score 028%——
Chelsea FC clean sheet28%——
Chelsea FC to score 225%——
Leeds United FC to score 223%——
Chelsea FC to score 023%——
Leeds United FC clean sheet23%——
Winning margin — Chelsea FC by 120%——
Chelsea FC win to nil20%——
Chelsea FC to score 3+19%——
Winning margin — Leeds United FC by 117%——
Leeds United FC win to nil15%——
Leeds United FC to score 3+14%——
Correct score 1-114%——
Winning margin — Chelsea FC by 213%——
Winning margin — Leeds United FC by 29%——
Correct score 2-19%——
Correct score 0-08%——
Correct score 1-08%——
Correct score 1-28%——
Correct score 2-07%——
Correct score 0-17%——
Correct score 2-26%——
Winning margin — Chelsea FC by 35%——
Correct score 0-25%——
Correct score 3-14%——
Winning margin — Leeds United FC by 34%——
Winning margin — Chelsea FC by 42%——
Winning margin — Leeds United FC by 41%——
Winning margin — Chelsea FC by 5+1%——
Winning margin — Leeds United FC by 5+0%——
HalvesProbOddsEdge
1st Half Under 2.5 goals88%——
1st Half Over 0.5 goals70%——
1st Half Under 1.5 goals67%——
Chelsea FC to win either half55%——
Leeds United FC to win either half47%——
Half with most goals — 2nd43%——
1st Half result — Draw42%——
1st Half Over 1.5 goals33%——
1st Half result — Chelsea FC32%——
Half with most goals — 1st31%——
1st Half Under 0.5 goals31%——
1st Half result — Leeds United FC26%——
Half with most goals — Equal26%——
Chelsea FC to score in both halves26%——
HT/FT Chelsea FC / Chelsea FC25%——
Leeds United FC to score in both halves21%——
HT/FT Leeds United FC / Leeds United FC19%——
HT/FT Draw / Draw16%——
HT/FT Draw / Chelsea FC15%——
HT/FT Draw / Leeds United FC12%——
1st Half Over 2.5 goals12%——
Chelsea FC to win both halves11%——
Leeds United FC to win both halves7%——
HT/FT Leeds United FC / Draw5%——
HT/FT Chelsea FC / Draw5%——
HT/FT Leeds United FC / Chelsea FC2%——
HT/FT Chelsea FC / Leeds United FC2%——
HandicapsProbOddsEdge
Handicap — Chelsea FC +2.595%——
Handicap — Leeds United FC -2.592%——
Handicap — Chelsea FC +1.586%——
Handicap — Leeds United FC -1.580%——
Handicap — Chelsea FC +0.569%——
Handicap — Leeds United FC -0.560%——
Handicap — Chelsea FC -0.540%——
Handicap — Leeds United FC +0.531%——
Handicap — Chelsea FC -1.520%——
Handicap — Leeds United FC +1.514%——
Handicap — Chelsea FC -2.58%——
Handicap — Leeds United FC +2.55%——
CardsProbOddsEdge
Under 6.5 cards86%——
Over 2.5 cards80%——
Under 5.5 cards74%——
Over 3.5 cards62%——
Under 4.5 cards57%——
Most cards — Leeds United FC57%——
Over 4.5 cards43%——
Under 3.5 cards38%——
Over 5.5 cards26%——
Most cards — Chelsea FC25%——
Under 2.5 cards20%——
Most cards — Tie18%——
Over 6.5 cards14%——
Any red card12%——
Leeds United FC expected cards3%——
Chelsea FC expected cards2%——
2+ red cards1%——
CornersProbOddsEdge
Under 12.5 corners82%——
Over 7.5 corners76%——
Under 11.5 corners73%——
Over 8.5 corners64%——
Most corners — Chelsea FC63%——
Under 10.5 corners61%——
Over 9.5 corners51%——
Under 9.5 corners49%——
Over 10.5 corners39%——
Under 8.5 corners36%——
Over 11.5 corners28%——
Most corners — Leeds United FC26%——
Under 7.5 corners24%——
Over 12.5 corners19%——
Chelsea FC expected corners6%——
Leeds United FC expected corners4%——
FoulsProbOddsEdge
Over 19.5 fouls71%——
Under 24.5 fouls69%——
Over 20.5 fouls63%——
Under 23.5 fouls62%——
Most fouls — Leeds United FC58%——
Over 21.5 fouls55%——
Under 22.5 fouls54%——
Over 22.5 fouls47%——
Under 21.5 fouls45%——
Over 23.5 fouls38%——
Under 20.5 fouls37%——
Most fouls — Chelsea FC34%——
Over 24.5 fouls31%——
Under 19.5 fouls29%——
GoalscorersProbOddsEdge
Player to score or assist — Dominic Calvert-Lewin (Leeds)34%——
Player anytime scorer — Dominic Calvert-Lewin (Leeds)32%——
Player to score or assist — Morgan Rogers (Chelsea)31%——
Player to score or assist — João Pedro Junqueira de Jesus (Chelsea)30%——
Player anytime scorer — João Pedro Junqueira de Jesus (Chelsea)28%——
Player to score or assist — Pedro Lomba Neto (Chelsea)25%——
Player to score or assist — Cole Palmer (Chelsea)24%——
Player anytime scorer — Morgan Rogers (Chelsea)20%——
Player to score or assist — Anton Stach (Leeds)20%——
Player anytime scorer — Roméo Lavia (Chelsea)18%——
Player anytime scorer — Pedro Lomba Neto (Chelsea)16%——
Player anytime scorer — Anton Stach (Leeds)15%——
Player to score or assist — Tanaka Ao (Leeds)14%——
Player anytime scorer — Tanaka Ao (Leeds)13%——
Player to score or assist — Noah Okafor (Leeds)11%——
Player cardsProbOddsEdge
Player carded — Jayden Bogle (Leeds)30%——
Player carded — Dominic Calvert-Lewin (Leeds)28%——
Player carded — Morgan Rogers (Chelsea)28%——
Player carded — Ethan Ampadu (Leeds)27%——
Player carded — Tanaka Ao (Leeds)26%——
Player carded — Roméo Lavia (Chelsea)24%——
Player carded — Pedro Lomba Neto (Chelsea)22%——
Player carded — Wesley Fofana (Chelsea)21%——