Aston Villa FC v Sunderland AFC
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Aston Villa FC v Sunderland AFC
Recommended bet
Over 1.5 goals
Total goals
De-vigged fair price from the marketLow
Win probability79%
Implied (with margin)79%
Model edge—
Odds1.27 1/4
All markets
Model-only estimates · 171 markets
Match winnerProbOddsEdge
Double chance — Aston Villa FC or Draw77%——
Double chance — Aston Villa FC or Sunderland AFC73%——
Draw no bet — Aston Villa FC69%——
Aston Villa FC to win51%——
Double chance — Sunderland AFC or Draw49%——
Draw no bet — Sunderland AFC31%——
Draw27%——
Sunderland AFC to win23%——
GoalsProbOddsEdge
Under 5.5 goals93%——
Over 0.5 goals93%——
Under 4.5 goals84%——
Over 1.5 goals79%——
Under 3.5 goals68%——
BTTS — Yes57%——
Over 2.5 goals54%——
Goals range — 2-3 goals47%——
Under 2.5 goals46%——
BTTS Yes + Over 2.544%——
BTTS — No44%——
Over 3.5 goals32%——
Goals range — 4-6 goals29%——
Under 1.5 goals21%——
Goals range — 0-1 goals21%——
Over 4.5 goals16%——
BTTS Yes + Under 2.513%——
Under 0.5 goals7%——
Over 5.5 goals7%——
Goals range — 7+ goals3%——
Score & marginProbOddsEdge
Both score no draw37%——
Sunderland AFC to score 137%——
Sunderland AFC to score 033%——
Aston Villa FC clean sheet33%——
Aston Villa FC to score 131%——
Winning margin — Draw27%——
Aston Villa FC to score 227%——
Aston Villa FC win to nil26%——
Aston Villa FC to score 3+25%——
Winning margin — Aston Villa FC by 122%——
Sunderland AFC to score 220%——
Aston Villa FC to score 018%——
Sunderland AFC clean sheet18%——
Winning margin — Aston Villa FC by 216%——
Winning margin — Sunderland AFC by 114%——
Correct score 1-113%——
Sunderland AFC win to nil10%——
Sunderland AFC to score 3+10%——
Correct score 2-110%——
Correct score 2-09%——
Correct score 1-09%——
Winning margin — Aston Villa FC by 38%——
Correct score 0-07%——
Winning margin — Sunderland AFC by 27%——
Correct score 1-26%——
Correct score 3-16%——
Correct score 2-25%——
Correct score 3-05%——
Correct score 0-15%——
Winning margin — Aston Villa FC by 43%——
Winning margin — Sunderland AFC by 32%——
Winning margin — Aston Villa FC by 5+1%——
Winning margin — Sunderland AFC by 41%——
Winning margin — Sunderland AFC by 5+0%——
HalvesProbOddsEdge
1st Half Under 2.5 goals86%——
1st Half Over 0.5 goals73%——
Aston Villa FC to win either half65%——
1st Half Under 1.5 goals63%——
Half with most goals — 2nd44%——
1st Half result — Draw40%——
Sunderland AFC to win either half39%——
1st Half result — Aston Villa FC39%——
1st Half Over 1.5 goals37%——
Aston Villa FC to score in both halves34%——
HT/FT Aston Villa FC / Aston Villa FC33%——
Half with most goals — 1st31%——
1st Half Under 0.5 goals28%——
Half with most goals — Equal25%——
1st Half result — Sunderland AFC21%——
Sunderland AFC to score in both halves18%——
HT/FT Draw / Aston Villa FC17%——
Aston Villa FC to win both halves17%——
1st Half Over 2.5 goals14%——
HT/FT Draw / Draw14%——
HT/FT Sunderland AFC / Sunderland AFC14%——
HT/FT Draw / Sunderland AFC9%——
HT/FT Sunderland AFC / Draw5%——
HT/FT Aston Villa FC / Draw5%——
Sunderland AFC to win both halves5%——
HT/FT Sunderland AFC / Aston Villa FC3%——
HT/FT Aston Villa FC / Sunderland AFC2%——
HandicapsProbOddsEdge
Handicap — Aston Villa FC +2.597%——
Handicap — Aston Villa FC +1.591%——
Handicap — Sunderland AFC -2.587%——
Handicap — Aston Villa FC +0.577%——
Handicap — Sunderland AFC -1.571%——
Handicap — Aston Villa FC -0.551%——
Handicap — Sunderland AFC -0.549%——
Handicap — Aston Villa FC -1.529%——
Handicap — Sunderland AFC +0.523%——
Handicap — Aston Villa FC -2.513%——
Handicap — Sunderland AFC +1.59%——
Handicap — Sunderland AFC +2.53%——
CardsProbOddsEdge
Over 2.5 cards91%——
Over 3.5 cards80%——
Under 6.5 cards68%——
Over 4.5 cards65%——
Under 5.5 cards52%——
Over 5.5 cards48%——
Most cards — Aston Villa FC46%——
Most cards — Sunderland AFC37%——
Under 4.5 cards35%——
Over 6.5 cards32%——
Any red card31%——
Under 3.5 cards20%——
Most cards — Tie17%——
Under 2.5 cards9%——
2+ red cards6%——
Aston Villa FC expected cards3%——
Sunderland AFC expected cards3%——
CornersProbOddsEdge
Under 12.5 corners96%——
Under 11.5 corners92%——
Under 10.5 corners86%——
Under 9.5 corners78%——
Under 8.5 corners66%——
Most corners — Sunderland AFC57%——
Under 7.5 corners53%——
Over 7.5 corners48%——
Over 8.5 corners34%——
Most corners — Aston Villa FC29%——
Over 9.5 corners22%——
Over 10.5 corners14%——
Over 11.5 corners8%——
Over 12.5 corners4%——
Sunderland AFC expected corners4%——
Aston Villa FC expected corners3%——
FoulsProbOddsEdge
Over 19.5 fouls78%——
Over 20.5 fouls71%——
Over 21.5 fouls63%——
Under 24.5 fouls62%——
Over 22.5 fouls55%——
Under 23.5 fouls54%——
Most fouls — Aston Villa FC49%——
Over 23.5 fouls46%——
Under 22.5 fouls45%——
Most fouls — Sunderland AFC43%——
Over 24.5 fouls38%——
Under 21.5 fouls37%——
Under 20.5 fouls29%——
Under 19.5 fouls22%——
GoalscorersProbOddsEdge
Player to score or assist — Brian Brobbey (Sunderland)42%——
Player anytime scorer — Brian Brobbey (Sunderland)40%——
Player to score or assist — Johan Manzambi (Aston Villa)38%——
Player to score or assist — Enzo Le Fée (Sunderland)35%——
Player to score or assist — Nicolas Jackson (Aston Villa)31%——
Player anytime scorer — Johan Manzambi (Aston Villa)30%——
Player to score or assist — John McGinn (Aston Villa)23%——
Player to score or assist — Emiliano Buendía Stati (Aston Villa)23%——
Player anytime scorer — Nicolas Jackson (Aston Villa)22%——
Player anytime scorer — Enzo Le Fée (Sunderland)22%——
Player anytime scorer — Emiliano Buendía Stati (Aston Villa)19%——
Player anytime scorer — John McGinn (Aston Villa)17%——
Player to score or assist — Granit Xhaka (Sunderland)16%——
Player to score or assist — Nilson Angulo (Sunderland)15%——
Player anytime scorer — Nilson Angulo (Sunderland)12%——
Player cardsProbOddsEdge
Player carded — Matty Cash (Aston Villa)41%——
Player carded — Nicolas Jackson (Aston Villa)24%——
Player carded — Emiliano Buendía Stati (Aston Villa)24%——
Player carded — John McGinn (Aston Villa)21%——
Player carded — Granit Xhaka (Sunderland)19%——
Player carded — Brian Brobbey (Sunderland)15%——
Player carded — Nilson Angulo (Sunderland)15%——
Player carded — Nordi Mukiele (Sunderland)12%——