Ipswich Town FC v Aston Villa FC
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Ipswich Town FC v Aston Villa FC
Recommended bet
Over 1.5 goals
Total goals
De-vigged fair price from the marketLow
Win probability77%
Implied (with margin)77%
Model edge—
Odds1.29 2/7
All markets
Model-only estimates · 171 markets
Match winnerProbOddsEdge
Double chance — Aston Villa FC or Draw72%——
Double chance — Ipswich Town FC or Aston Villa FC72%——
Draw no bet — Aston Villa FC62%——
Double chance — Ipswich Town FC or Draw56%——
Aston Villa FC to win44%——
Draw no bet — Ipswich Town FC39%——
Draw28%——
Ipswich Town FC to win28%——
GoalsProbOddsEdge
Under 5.5 goals94%——
Over 0.5 goals92%——
Under 4.5 goals86%——
Over 1.5 goals78%——
Under 3.5 goals70%——
BTTS — Yes56%——
Over 2.5 goals52%——
Under 2.5 goals48%——
Goals range — 2-3 goals48%——
BTTS — No44%——
BTTS Yes + Over 2.543%——
Over 3.5 goals30%——
Goals range — 4-6 goals27%——
Under 1.5 goals23%——
Goals range — 0-1 goals23%——
Over 4.5 goals14%——
BTTS Yes + Under 2.513%——
Under 0.5 goals8%——
Over 5.5 goals6%——
Goals range — 7+ goals2%——
Score & marginProbOddsEdge
Ipswich Town FC to score 136%——
Both score no draw36%——
Aston Villa FC to score 133%——
Ipswich Town FC to score 030%——
Aston Villa FC clean sheet30%——
Winning margin — Draw28%——
Aston Villa FC to score 226%——
Aston Villa FC win to nil22%——
Ipswich Town FC to score 222%——
Aston Villa FC to score 021%——
Ipswich Town FC clean sheet21%——
Winning margin — Aston Villa FC by 121%——
Aston Villa FC to score 3+21%——
Winning margin — Ipswich Town FC by 116%——
Winning margin — Aston Villa FC by 214%——
Correct score 1-113%——
Ipswich Town FC win to nil13%——
Ipswich Town FC to score 3+12%——
Correct score 1-29%——
Correct score 0-18%——
Winning margin — Ipswich Town FC by 28%——
Correct score 0-08%——
Correct score 0-28%——
Correct score 2-17%——
Winning margin — Aston Villa FC by 36%——
Correct score 1-06%——
Correct score 2-26%——
Correct score 1-35%——
Correct score 2-05%——
Winning margin — Ipswich Town FC by 33%——
Winning margin — Aston Villa FC by 42%——
Winning margin — Aston Villa FC by 5+1%——
Winning margin — Ipswich Town FC by 41%——
Winning margin — Ipswich Town FC by 5+0%——
HalvesProbOddsEdge
1st Half Under 2.5 goals88%——
1st Half Over 0.5 goals69%——
1st Half Under 1.5 goals67%——
Aston Villa FC to win either half58%——
Ipswich Town FC to win either half44%——
Half with most goals — 2nd43%——
1st Half result — Draw42%——
1st Half result — Aston Villa FC34%——
1st Half Over 1.5 goals33%——
Half with most goals — 1st31%——
1st Half Under 0.5 goals31%——
Aston Villa FC to score in both halves27%——
HT/FT Aston Villa FC / Aston Villa FC27%——
Half with most goals — Equal26%——
1st Half result — Ipswich Town FC24%——
Ipswich Town FC to score in both halves19%——
HT/FT Ipswich Town FC / Ipswich Town FC17%——
HT/FT Draw / Draw16%——
HT/FT Draw / Aston Villa FC16%——
Aston Villa FC to win both halves13%——
1st Half Over 2.5 goals12%——
HT/FT Draw / Ipswich Town FC11%——
Ipswich Town FC to win both halves6%——
HT/FT Aston Villa FC / Draw5%——
HT/FT Ipswich Town FC / Draw5%——
HT/FT Ipswich Town FC / Aston Villa FC2%——
HT/FT Aston Villa FC / Ipswich Town FC2%——
HandicapsProbOddsEdge
Handicap — Aston Villa FC -2.596%——
Handicap — Ipswich Town FC +2.591%——
Handicap — Aston Villa FC -1.588%——
Handicap — Ipswich Town FC +1.577%——
Handicap — Aston Villa FC -0.572%——
Handicap — Ipswich Town FC +0.556%——
Handicap — Aston Villa FC +0.544%——
Handicap — Ipswich Town FC -0.528%——
Handicap — Aston Villa FC +1.523%——
Handicap — Ipswich Town FC -1.512%——
Handicap — Aston Villa FC +2.59%——
Handicap — Ipswich Town FC -2.54%——
CardsProbOddsEdge
Under 6.5 cards96%——
Under 5.5 cards91%——
Under 4.5 cards80%——
Under 3.5 cards63%——
Over 2.5 cards60%——
Most cards — Aston Villa FC52%——
Under 2.5 cards40%——
Over 3.5 cards37%——
Most cards — Ipswich Town FC26%——
Most cards — Tie23%——
Over 4.5 cards20%——
Any red card20%——
Over 5.5 cards9%——
Over 6.5 cards4%——
2+ red cards2%——
Aston Villa FC expected cards2%——
Ipswich Town FC expected cards1%——
CornersProbOddsEdge
Under 12.5 corners98%——
Under 11.5 corners96%——
Under 10.5 corners93%——
Under 9.5 corners87%——
Under 8.5 corners79%——
Under 7.5 corners67%——
Most corners — Aston Villa FC54%——
Over 7.5 corners34%——
Most corners — Ipswich Town FC31%——
Over 8.5 corners22%——
Over 9.5 corners13%——
Over 10.5 corners7%——
Aston Villa FC expected corners4%——
Over 11.5 corners4%——
Ipswich Town FC expected corners3%——
Over 12.5 corners2%——
FoulsProbOddsEdge
Over 19.5 fouls74%——
Over 20.5 fouls67%——
Under 24.5 fouls66%——
Over 21.5 fouls59%——
Under 23.5 fouls58%——
Over 22.5 fouls50%——
Under 22.5 fouls50%——
Most fouls — Ipswich Town FC46%——
Most fouls — Aston Villa FC46%——
Over 23.5 fouls42%——
Under 21.5 fouls42%——
Over 24.5 fouls34%——
Under 20.5 fouls33%——
Under 19.5 fouls26%——
GoalscorersProbOddsEdge
Player to score or assist — Johan Manzambi (Aston Villa)35%——
Player to score or assist — Julio Enciso (Ipswich Town)34%——
Player to score or assist — Emersonn Correia da Silva (Ipswich Town)30%——
Player to score or assist — Nicolas Jackson (Aston Villa)30%——
Player anytime scorer — Emersonn Correia da Silva (Ipswich Town)28%——
Player to score or assist — John McGinn (Aston Villa)27%——
Player anytime scorer — Johan Manzambi (Aston Villa)27%——
Player to score or assist — Emiliano Buendía Stati (Aston Villa)23%——
Player anytime scorer — Nicolas Jackson (Aston Villa)23%——
Player anytime scorer — John McGinn (Aston Villa)22%——
Player to score or assist — Abdul Fatawu (Ipswich Town)20%——
Player to score or assist — Daizen Maeda (Ipswich Town)19%——
Player anytime scorer — Emiliano Buendía Stati (Aston Villa)19%——
Player anytime scorer — Julio Enciso (Ipswich Town)18%——
Player anytime scorer — Daizen Maeda (Ipswich Town)18%——
Player cardsProbOddsEdge
Player carded — Saša Lukić (Ipswich Town)26%——
Player carded — Abdul Fatawu (Ipswich Town)25%——
Player carded — Emiliano Buendía Stati (Aston Villa)23%——
Player carded — Nicolas Jackson (Aston Villa)21%——
Player carded — John McGinn (Aston Villa)19%——
Player carded — Julio Enciso (Ipswich Town)19%——
Player carded — Johan Manzambi (Aston Villa)18%——
Player carded — Issa Diop (Ipswich Town)17%——