Arsenal FC v Manchester City FC
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Arsenal FC v Manchester City FC
Recommended bet
Arsenal FC or Draw
Double chance
De-vigged fair price from the marketLow
Win probability79%
Implied (with margin)79%
Model edge—
Odds1.26 1/4
All markets
Match winnerProbOddsEdge
Match Winner — Arsenal FC53%1.19—
Match Winner — Draw27%8.80—
Match Winner — Manchester City FC21%21.00—
GoalsProbOddsEdge
Under 3.5 goals70%1.70—
Over 2.5 goals52%1.50—
Under 2.5 goals48%2.64—
Over 3.5 goals30%2.38—
Over 3.25 goals—2.07—
Under 3.25 goals—1.82—
Over 3 goals—1.83—
Under 3 goals—2.05—
Model-only estimates · 172 markets
Match winnerProbOddsEdge
Double chance — Arsenal FC or Draw80%——
Double chance — Arsenal FC or Manchester City FC74%——
Draw no bet — Arsenal FC72%——
Arsenal FC to win53%——
Double chance — Manchester City FC or Draw47%——
Draw no bet — Manchester City FC28%——
Draw27%——
Manchester City FC to win21%——
GoalsProbOddsEdge
Under 5.5 goals94%——
Over 0.5 goals92%——
Under 4.5 goals85%——
Over 1.5 goals78%——
Under 3.5 goals70%——
BTTS — Yes54%——
Over 2.5 goals52%——
Under 2.5 goals48%——
Goals range — 2-3 goals48%——
BTTS — No46%——
BTTS Yes + Over 2.542%——
Over 3.5 goals30%——
Goals range — 4-6 goals28%——
Under 1.5 goals22%——
Goals range — 0-1 goals22%——
Over 4.5 goals15%——
BTTS Yes + Under 2.513%——
Under 0.5 goals8%——
Over 5.5 goals6%——
Goals range — 7+ goals2%——
Score & marginProbOddsEdge
Manchester City FC to score 137%——
Manchester City FC to score 036%——
Arsenal FC clean sheet36%——
Both score no draw35%——
Arsenal FC to score 131%——
Arsenal FC win to nil28%——
Arsenal FC to score 227%——
Winning margin — Draw27%——
Arsenal FC to score 3+26%——
Winning margin — Arsenal FC by 123%——
Manchester City FC to score 219%——
Arsenal FC to score 017%——
Manchester City FC clean sheet17%——
Winning margin — Arsenal FC by 217%——
Correct score 1-113%——
Winning margin — Manchester City FC by 113%——
Correct score 2-110%——
Manchester City FC win to nil10%——
Correct score 2-010%——
Correct score 1-010%——
Winning margin — Arsenal FC by 39%——
Manchester City FC to score 3+8%——
Correct score 0-08%——
Correct score 1-26%——
Correct score 3-16%——
Winning margin — Manchester City FC by 26%——
Correct score 3-06%——
Correct score 2-25%——
Correct score 0-15%——
Winning margin — Arsenal FC by 43%——
Winning margin — Manchester City FC by 32%——
Winning margin — Arsenal FC by 5+2%——
Winning margin — Manchester City FC by 40%——
Winning margin — Manchester City FC by 5+0%——
HalvesProbOddsEdge
1st Half Under 2.5 goals88%——
1st Half Over 0.5 goals70%——
1st Half Under 1.5 goals66%——
Arsenal FC to win either half66%——
Half with most goals — 2nd43%——
1st Half result — Draw41%——
1st Half result — Arsenal FC40%——
Manchester City FC to win either half36%——
1st Half Over 1.5 goals34%——
HT/FT Arsenal FC / Arsenal FC34%——
Arsenal FC to score in both halves32%——
Half with most goals — 1st31%——
1st Half Under 0.5 goals30%——
Half with most goals — Equal26%——
1st Half result — Manchester City FC20%——
HT/FT Draw / Arsenal FC18%——
Arsenal FC to win both halves17%——
Manchester City FC to score in both halves15%——
HT/FT Draw / Draw15%——
1st Half Over 2.5 goals12%——
HT/FT Manchester City FC / Manchester City FC12%——
HT/FT Draw / Manchester City FC8%——
HT/FT Manchester City FC / Draw5%——
HT/FT Arsenal FC / Draw5%——
Manchester City FC to win both halves4%——
HT/FT Manchester City FC / Arsenal FC3%——
HT/FT Arsenal FC / Manchester City FC1%——
HandicapsProbOddsEdge
Handicap — Arsenal FC +2.598%——
Handicap — Arsenal FC +1.592%——
Handicap — Manchester City FC -2.586%——
Handicap — Arsenal FC +0.580%——
Handicap — Manchester City FC -1.570%——
Handicap — Arsenal FC -0.553%——
Handicap — Manchester City FC -0.547%——
Handicap — Arsenal FC -1.530%——
Handicap — Manchester City FC +0.521%——
Handicap — Arsenal FC -2.514%——
Handicap — Manchester City FC +1.58%——
Handicap — Manchester City FC +2.52%——
CardsProbOddsEdge
Under 6.5 cards94%——
Under 5.5 cards86%——
Under 4.5 cards73%——
Most cards — Manchester City FC67%——
Over 2.5 cards67%——
Under 3.5 cards55%——
Over 3.5 cards45%——
Under 2.5 cards33%——
Over 4.5 cards27%——
Most cards — Tie18%——
Most cards — Arsenal FC15%——
Over 5.5 cards14%——
Any red card11%——
Over 6.5 cards6%——
Manchester City FC expected cards2%——
Arsenal FC expected cards1%——
2+ red cards1%——
CornersProbOddsEdge
Over 7.5 corners88%——
Over 8.5 corners81%——
Over 9.5 corners71%——
Under 12.5 corners64%——
Over 10.5 corners59%——
Under 11.5 corners53%——
Most corners — Manchester City FC51%——
Over 11.5 corners47%——
Under 10.5 corners41%——
Most corners — Arsenal FC38%——
Over 12.5 corners36%——
Under 9.5 corners29%——
Under 8.5 corners20%——
Under 7.5 corners12%——
Manchester City FC expected corners6%——
Arsenal FC expected corners5%——
FoulsProbOddsEdge
Under 24.5 fouls81%——
Under 23.5 fouls75%——
Under 22.5 fouls68%——
Under 21.5 fouls60%——
Over 19.5 fouls58%——
Under 20.5 fouls51%——
Most fouls — Manchester City FC50%——
Over 20.5 fouls49%——
Under 19.5 fouls42%——
Most fouls — Arsenal FC41%——
Over 21.5 fouls40%——
Over 22.5 fouls32%——
Over 23.5 fouls25%——
Over 24.5 fouls19%——
GoalscorersProbOddsEdge
Player to score or assist — Phil Foden (Man City)56%——
Player to score or assist — Erling Haaland (Man City)49%——
Player anytime scorer — Erling Haaland (Man City)45%——
Player to score or assist — Rayan Cherki (Man City)40%——
Player to score or assist — Jérémy Doku (Man City)39%——
Player anytime scorer — Phil Foden (Man City)38%——
Player to score or assist — Martin Ødegaard (Arsenal)36%——
Player to score or assist — Noni Madueke (Arsenal)35%——
Player to score or assist — Kai Havertz (Arsenal)28%——
Player anytime scorer — Kai Havertz (Arsenal)25%——
Player anytime scorer — Rayan Cherki (Man City)23%——
Player to score or assist — Declan Rice (Arsenal)21%——
Player anytime scorer — Martin Ødegaard (Arsenal)20%——
Player anytime scorer — Enzo Fernández (Man City)17%——
Player anytime scorer — Noni Madueke (Arsenal)15%——
Player anytime scorer — Christos Tzolis (Arsenal)6%——
Player cardsProbOddsEdge
Player carded — Myles Lewis-Skelly (Arsenal)30%——
Player carded — Noni Madueke (Arsenal)30%——
Player carded — Christos Tzolis (Arsenal)25%——
Player carded — Rayan Cherki (Man City)23%——
Player carded — Jurriën Timber (Arsenal)20%——
Player carded — Nico O'Reilly (Man City)19%——
Player carded — Phil Foden (Man City)19%——
Player carded — Elliot Anderson (Man City)17%——