Nottingham Forest FC v Chelsea FC
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Nottingham Forest FC v Chelsea FC
Recommended bet
Over 1.5 goals
Total goals
De-vigged fair price from the marketLow
Win probability77%
Implied (with margin)77%
Model edge—
Odds1.30 3/10
All markets
Model-only estimates · 172 markets
Match winnerProbOddsEdge
Double chance — Nottingham Forest FC or Chelsea FC71%——
Double chance — Chelsea FC or Draw70%——
Double chance — Nottingham Forest FC or Draw59%——
Draw no bet — Chelsea FC58%——
Draw no bet — Nottingham Forest FC42%——
Chelsea FC to win41%——
Nottingham Forest FC to win30%——
Draw29%——
GoalsProbOddsEdge
Under 5.5 goals94%——
Over 0.5 goals92%——
Under 4.5 goals86%——
Over 1.5 goals77%——
Under 3.5 goals72%——
BTTS — Yes56%——
Over 2.5 goals51%——
Under 2.5 goals50%——
Goals range — 2-3 goals48%——
BTTS — No44%——
BTTS Yes + Over 2.542%——
Over 3.5 goals29%——
Goals range — 4-6 goals27%——
Under 1.5 goals23%——
Goals range — 0-1 goals23%——
Over 4.5 goals14%——
BTTS Yes + Under 2.514%——
Under 0.5 goals8%——
Over 5.5 goals6%——
Goals range — 7+ goals2%——
Score & marginProbOddsEdge
Nottingham Forest FC to score 136%——
Both score no draw36%——
Chelsea FC to score 134%——
Nottingham Forest FC to score 029%——
Chelsea FC clean sheet29%——
Winning margin — Draw29%——
Chelsea FC to score 225%——
Chelsea FC to score 023%——
Nottingham Forest FC clean sheet23%——
Nottingham Forest FC to score 222%——
Chelsea FC win to nil21%——
Winning margin — Chelsea FC by 120%——
Chelsea FC to score 3+18%——
Winning margin — Nottingham Forest FC by 117%——
Nottingham Forest FC win to nil15%——
Correct score 1-114%——
Winning margin — Chelsea FC by 213%——
Nottingham Forest FC to score 3+13%——
Correct score 1-29%——
Winning margin — Nottingham Forest FC by 29%——
Correct score 0-08%——
Correct score 0-18%——
Correct score 2-18%——
Correct score 0-27%——
Correct score 1-07%——
Correct score 2-26%——
Winning margin — Chelsea FC by 36%——
Correct score 2-05%——
Correct score 1-34%——
Winning margin — Nottingham Forest FC by 33%——
Winning margin — Chelsea FC by 42%——
Winning margin — Nottingham Forest FC by 41%——
Winning margin — Chelsea FC by 5+1%——
Winning margin — Nottingham Forest FC by 5+0%——
HalvesProbOddsEdge
1st Half Under 2.5 goals90%——
1st Half Under 1.5 goals70%——
1st Half Over 0.5 goals67%——
Chelsea FC to win either half55%——
Nottingham Forest FC to win either half45%——
1st Half result — Draw44%——
Half with most goals — 2nd42%——
1st Half Under 0.5 goals33%——
1st Half result — Chelsea FC31%——
Half with most goals — 1st31%——
1st Half Over 1.5 goals30%——
Half with most goals — Equal27%——
1st Half result — Nottingham Forest FC25%——
HT/FT Chelsea FC / Chelsea FC25%——
Chelsea FC to score in both halves24%——
Nottingham Forest FC to score in both halves18%——
HT/FT Nottingham Forest FC / Nottingham Forest FC18%——
HT/FT Draw / Draw17%——
HT/FT Draw / Chelsea FC15%——
HT/FT Draw / Nottingham Forest FC12%——
Chelsea FC to win both halves11%——
1st Half Over 2.5 goals10%——
Nottingham Forest FC to win both halves7%——
HT/FT Chelsea FC / Draw5%——
HT/FT Nottingham Forest FC / Draw5%——
HT/FT Nottingham Forest FC / Chelsea FC2%——
HT/FT Chelsea FC / Nottingham Forest FC2%——
HandicapsProbOddsEdge
Handicap — Chelsea FC -2.596%——
Handicap — Nottingham Forest FC +2.592%——
Handicap — Chelsea FC -1.587%——
Handicap — Nottingham Forest FC +1.579%——
Handicap — Chelsea FC -0.570%——
Handicap — Nottingham Forest FC +0.559%——
Handicap — Chelsea FC +0.541%——
Handicap — Nottingham Forest FC -0.530%——
Handicap — Chelsea FC +1.521%——
Handicap — Nottingham Forest FC -1.513%——
Handicap — Chelsea FC +2.58%——
Handicap — Nottingham Forest FC -2.54%——
CardsProbOddsEdge
Over 2.5 cards86%——
Under 6.5 cards79%——
Over 3.5 cards71%——
Most cards — Chelsea FC65%——
Under 5.5 cards65%——
Over 4.5 cards53%——
Under 4.5 cards47%——
Over 5.5 cards35%——
Under 3.5 cards29%——
Over 6.5 cards21%——
Most cards — Nottingham Forest FC19%——
Most cards — Tie16%——
Under 2.5 cards14%——
Any red card11%——
Chelsea FC expected cards3%——
Nottingham Forest FC expected cards2%——
2+ red cards1%——
CornersProbOddsEdge
Over 7.5 corners83%——
Under 12.5 corners74%——
Over 8.5 corners73%——
Under 11.5 corners63%——
Over 9.5 corners61%——
Most corners — Chelsea FC59%——
Under 10.5 corners51%——
Over 10.5 corners49%——
Under 9.5 corners39%——
Over 11.5 corners37%——
Most corners — Nottingham Forest FC30%——
Under 8.5 corners27%——
Over 12.5 corners26%——
Under 7.5 corners17%——
Chelsea FC expected corners6%——
Nottingham Forest FC expected corners5%——
FoulsProbOddsEdge
Over 19.5 fouls79%——
Over 20.5 fouls72%——
Over 21.5 fouls65%——
Most fouls — Nottingham Forest FC64%——
Under 24.5 fouls60%——
Over 22.5 fouls57%——
Under 23.5 fouls52%——
Over 23.5 fouls49%——
Under 22.5 fouls43%——
Over 24.5 fouls41%——
Under 21.5 fouls35%——
Most fouls — Chelsea FC29%——
Under 20.5 fouls28%——
Under 19.5 fouls21%——
GoalscorersProbOddsEdge
Player to score or assist — Morgan Gibbs-White (Nott'm Forest)39%——
Player to score or assist — Dan Ndoye (Nott'm Forest)37%——
Player to score or assist — Liam Delap (Nott'm Forest)34%——
Player to score or assist — Morgan Rogers (Chelsea)33%——
Player to score or assist — Cole Palmer (Chelsea)30%——
Player anytime scorer — Liam Delap (Nott'm Forest)29%——
Player to score or assist — Pedro Lomba Neto (Chelsea)27%——
Player anytime scorer — Dan Ndoye (Nott'm Forest)25%——
Player anytime scorer — Morgan Gibbs-White (Nott'm Forest)23%——
Player anytime scorer — Morgan Rogers (Chelsea)23%——
Player anytime scorer — Cole Palmer (Chelsea)22%——
Player to score or assist — James McAtee (Nott'm Forest)20%——
Player anytime scorer — Pedro Lomba Neto (Chelsea)18%——
Player to score or assist — Roméo Lavia (Chelsea)16%——
Player anytime scorer — Roméo Lavia (Chelsea)14%——
Player anytime scorer — James McAtee (Nott'm Forest)6%——
Player cardsProbOddsEdge
Player carded — Ola Aina (Nott'm Forest)41%——
Player carded — Nikola Milenković (Nott'm Forest)28%——
Player carded — James McAtee (Nott'm Forest)25%——
Player carded — Morgan Rogers (Chelsea)25%——
Player carded — Murillo Costa dos Santos (Nott'm Forest)24%——
Player carded — Pedro Lomba Neto (Chelsea)20%——
Player carded — Roméo Lavia (Chelsea)19%——
Player carded — Cole Palmer (Chelsea)17%——