Chelsea FC v Crystal Palace FC
Back to board
Chelsea FC v Crystal Palace FC
Recommended bet
Over 1.5 goals
Total goals
De-vigged fair price from the marketLow
Win probability79%
Implied (with margin)79%
Model edge—
Odds1.26 1/4
All markets
Model-only estimates · 172 markets
Match winnerProbOddsEdge
Double chance — Chelsea FC or Draw75%——
Double chance — Chelsea FC or Crystal Palace FC73%——
Draw no bet — Chelsea FC66%——
Double chance — Crystal Palace FC or Draw52%——
Chelsea FC to win48%——
Draw no bet — Crystal Palace FC34%——
Draw27%——
Crystal Palace FC to win25%——
GoalsProbOddsEdge
Under 5.5 goals93%——
Over 0.5 goals93%——
Under 4.5 goals84%——
Over 1.5 goals79%——
Under 3.5 goals68%——
BTTS — Yes57%——
Over 2.5 goals54%——
Goals range — 2-3 goals47%——
Under 2.5 goals46%——
BTTS Yes + Over 2.545%——
BTTS — No43%——
Over 3.5 goals32%——
Goals range — 4-6 goals29%——
Under 1.5 goals21%——
Goals range — 0-1 goals21%——
Over 4.5 goals16%——
BTTS Yes + Under 2.513%——
Under 0.5 goals7%——
Over 5.5 goals7%——
Goals range — 7+ goals3%——
Score & marginProbOddsEdge
Both score no draw38%——
Crystal Palace FC to score 136%——
Chelsea FC to score 131%——
Crystal Palace FC to score 031%——
Chelsea FC clean sheet31%——
Winning margin — Draw27%——
Chelsea FC to score 226%——
Chelsea FC win to nil24%——
Chelsea FC to score 3+24%——
Winning margin — Chelsea FC by 122%——
Crystal Palace FC to score 221%——
Chelsea FC to score 019%——
Crystal Palace FC clean sheet19%——
Winning margin — Chelsea FC by 215%——
Winning margin — Crystal Palace FC by 114%——
Correct score 1-113%——
Crystal Palace FC win to nil11%——
Crystal Palace FC to score 3+11%——
Correct score 2-110%——
Correct score 1-08%——
Correct score 2-08%——
Winning margin — Chelsea FC by 37%——
Correct score 0-07%——
Winning margin — Crystal Palace FC by 27%——
Correct score 1-27%——
Correct score 2-26%——
Correct score 3-15%——
Correct score 0-15%——
Correct score 3-05%——
Winning margin — Chelsea FC by 43%——
Winning margin — Crystal Palace FC by 32%——
Winning margin — Chelsea FC by 5+1%——
Winning margin — Crystal Palace FC by 41%——
Winning margin — Crystal Palace FC by 5+0%——
HalvesProbOddsEdge
1st Half Under 2.5 goals85%——
1st Half Over 0.5 goals74%——
Chelsea FC to win either half64%——
1st Half Under 1.5 goals62%——
Half with most goals — 2nd44%——
Crystal Palace FC to win either half42%——
1st Half result — Draw39%——
1st Half Over 1.5 goals38%——
1st Half result — Chelsea FC38%——
Chelsea FC to score in both halves34%——
Half with most goals — 1st31%——
HT/FT Chelsea FC / Chelsea FC31%——
1st Half Under 0.5 goals26%——
Half with most goals — Equal24%——
1st Half result — Crystal Palace FC23%——
Crystal Palace FC to score in both halves20%——
HT/FT Draw / Chelsea FC16%——
Chelsea FC to win both halves16%——
1st Half Over 2.5 goals15%——
HT/FT Crystal Palace FC / Crystal Palace FC15%——
HT/FT Draw / Draw13%——
HT/FT Draw / Crystal Palace FC10%——
Crystal Palace FC to win both halves6%——
HT/FT Crystal Palace FC / Draw5%——
HT/FT Chelsea FC / Draw5%——
HT/FT Crystal Palace FC / Chelsea FC3%——
HT/FT Chelsea FC / Crystal Palace FC2%——
HandicapsProbOddsEdge
Handicap — Chelsea FC +2.597%——
Handicap — Chelsea FC +1.590%——
Handicap — Crystal Palace FC -2.589%——
Handicap — Chelsea FC +0.575%——
Handicap — Crystal Palace FC -1.573%——
Handicap — Crystal Palace FC -0.552%——
Handicap — Chelsea FC -0.548%——
Handicap — Chelsea FC -1.527%——
Handicap — Crystal Palace FC +0.525%——
Handicap — Chelsea FC -2.511%——
Handicap — Crystal Palace FC +1.510%——
Handicap — Crystal Palace FC +2.53%——
CardsProbOddsEdge
Under 6.5 cards97%——
Under 5.5 cards91%——
Under 4.5 cards81%——
Under 3.5 cards64%——
Over 2.5 cards58%——
Most cards — Crystal Palace FC43%——
Under 2.5 cards42%——
Over 3.5 cards36%——
Most cards — Chelsea FC33%——
Any red card28%——
Most cards — Tie24%——
Over 4.5 cards19%——
Over 5.5 cards9%——
2+ red cards5%——
Over 6.5 cards4%——
Crystal Palace FC expected cards2%——
Chelsea FC expected cards1%——
CornersProbOddsEdge
Under 12.5 corners87%——
Under 11.5 corners79%——
Most corners — Chelsea FC77%——
Under 10.5 corners69%——
Over 7.5 corners69%——
Under 9.5 corners57%——
Over 8.5 corners56%——
Under 8.5 corners44%——
Over 9.5 corners43%——
Under 7.5 corners31%——
Over 10.5 corners31%——
Over 11.5 corners21%——
Most corners — Crystal Palace FC14%——
Over 12.5 corners13%——
Chelsea FC expected corners6%——
Crystal Palace FC expected corners3%——
FoulsProbOddsEdge
Under 24.5 fouls92%——
Under 23.5 fouls88%——
Under 22.5 fouls83%——
Under 21.5 fouls77%——
Under 20.5 fouls70%——
Under 19.5 fouls62%——
Most fouls — Crystal Palace FC48%——
Most fouls — Chelsea FC43%——
Over 19.5 fouls38%——
Over 20.5 fouls30%——
Over 21.5 fouls23%——
Over 22.5 fouls17%——
Over 23.5 fouls12%——
Over 24.5 fouls8%——
GoalscorersProbOddsEdge
Player to score or assist — Morgan Rogers (Chelsea)33%——
Player to score or assist — Cole Palmer (Chelsea)30%——
Player to score or assist — Jørgen Strand Larsen (Crystal Palace)28%——
Player to score or assist — Pedro Lomba Neto (Chelsea)27%——
Player anytime scorer — Morgan Rogers (Chelsea)23%——
Player to score or assist — Yéremy Pino Santos (Crystal Palace)22%——
Player anytime scorer — Cole Palmer (Chelsea)22%——
Player anytime scorer — Jørgen Strand Larsen (Crystal Palace)22%——
Player anytime scorer — Pedro Lomba Neto (Chelsea)18%——
Player to score or assist — Roméo Lavia (Chelsea)16%——
Player to score or assist — Daichi Kamada (Crystal Palace)14%——
Player anytime scorer — Roméo Lavia (Chelsea)14%——
Player to score or assist — Adam Wharton (Crystal Palace)13%——
Player anytime scorer — Yéremy Pino Santos (Crystal Palace)12%——
Player anytime scorer — Daichi Kamada (Crystal Palace)9%——
Player anytime scorer — Quinten Timber (Crystal Palace)7%——
Player cardsProbOddsEdge
Player carded — Yéremy Pino Santos (Crystal Palace)31%——
Player carded — Morgan Rogers (Chelsea)25%——
Player carded — Pedro Lomba Neto (Chelsea)20%——
Player carded — Anan Khalaili (Crystal Palace)20%——
Player carded — Roméo Lavia (Chelsea)19%——
Player carded — Daichi Kamada (Crystal Palace)17%——
Player carded — Cole Palmer (Chelsea)17%——
Player carded — Jaydee Canvot (Crystal Palace)10%——