Aston Villa FC v Everton FC
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Aston Villa FC v Everton FC
Recommended bet
Over 1.5 goals
Total goals
De-vigged fair price from the marketLow
Win probability77%
Implied (with margin)77%
Model edge—
Odds1.30 3/10
All markets
Model-only estimates · 172 markets
Match winnerProbOddsEdge
Double chance — Aston Villa FC or Everton FC72%——
Double chance — Aston Villa FC or Draw71%——
Draw no bet — Aston Villa FC60%——
Double chance — Everton FC or Draw57%——
Aston Villa FC to win43%——
Draw no bet — Everton FC40%——
Everton FC to win29%——
Draw29%——
GoalsProbOddsEdge
Under 5.5 goals94%——
Over 0.5 goals92%——
Under 4.5 goals86%——
Over 1.5 goals77%——
Under 3.5 goals71%——
BTTS — Yes56%——
Over 2.5 goals51%——
Under 2.5 goals49%——
Goals range — 2-3 goals48%——
BTTS — No44%——
BTTS Yes + Over 2.543%——
Over 3.5 goals29%——
Goals range — 4-6 goals27%——
Under 1.5 goals23%——
Goals range — 0-1 goals23%——
Over 4.5 goals14%——
BTTS Yes + Under 2.514%——
Under 0.5 goals8%——
Over 5.5 goals6%——
Goals range — 7+ goals2%——
Score & marginProbOddsEdge
Everton FC to score 136%——
Both score no draw36%——
Aston Villa FC to score 133%——
Everton FC to score 030%——
Aston Villa FC clean sheet30%——
Winning margin — Draw29%——
Aston Villa FC to score 225%——
Aston Villa FC to score 022%——
Everton FC clean sheet22%——
Everton FC to score 222%——
Aston Villa FC win to nil22%——
Winning margin — Aston Villa FC by 121%——
Aston Villa FC to score 3+19%——
Winning margin — Everton FC by 116%——
Everton FC win to nil14%——
Correct score 1-114%——
Winning margin — Aston Villa FC by 213%——
Everton FC to score 3+12%——
Correct score 2-19%——
Winning margin — Everton FC by 29%——
Correct score 1-08%——
Correct score 0-08%——
Correct score 2-08%——
Correct score 1-27%——
Correct score 0-16%——
Winning margin — Aston Villa FC by 36%——
Correct score 2-26%——
Correct score 0-25%——
Correct score 3-15%——
Winning margin — Everton FC by 33%——
Winning margin — Aston Villa FC by 42%——
Winning margin — Everton FC by 41%——
Winning margin — Aston Villa FC by 5+1%——
Winning margin — Everton FC by 5+0%——
HalvesProbOddsEdge
1st Half Under 2.5 goals89%——
1st Half Under 1.5 goals69%——
1st Half Over 0.5 goals68%——
Aston Villa FC to win either half57%——
Everton FC to win either half44%——
1st Half result — Draw43%——
Half with most goals — 2nd43%——
1st Half result — Aston Villa FC33%——
1st Half Under 0.5 goals32%——
1st Half Over 1.5 goals32%——
Half with most goals — 1st31%——
Half with most goals — Equal27%——
HT/FT Aston Villa FC / Aston Villa FC26%——
Aston Villa FC to score in both halves25%——
1st Half result — Everton FC24%——
Everton FC to score in both halves18%——
HT/FT Everton FC / Everton FC17%——
HT/FT Draw / Draw17%——
HT/FT Draw / Aston Villa FC15%——
Aston Villa FC to win both halves12%——
HT/FT Draw / Everton FC11%——
1st Half Over 2.5 goals11%——
Everton FC to win both halves6%——
HT/FT Everton FC / Draw5%——
HT/FT Aston Villa FC / Draw5%——
HT/FT Everton FC / Aston Villa FC2%——
HT/FT Aston Villa FC / Everton FC2%——
HandicapsProbOddsEdge
Handicap — Aston Villa FC +2.596%——
Handicap — Everton FC -2.591%——
Handicap — Aston Villa FC +1.588%——
Handicap — Everton FC -1.578%——
Handicap — Aston Villa FC +0.571%——
Handicap — Everton FC -0.557%——
Handicap — Aston Villa FC -0.543%——
Handicap — Everton FC +0.529%——
Handicap — Aston Villa FC -1.522%——
Handicap — Everton FC +1.513%——
Handicap — Aston Villa FC -2.59%——
Handicap — Everton FC +2.54%——
CardsProbOddsEdge
Under 6.5 cards85%——
Over 2.5 cards81%——
Under 5.5 cards73%——
Over 3.5 cards63%——
Under 4.5 cards56%——
Most cards — Aston Villa FC53%——
Over 4.5 cards44%——
Under 3.5 cards37%——
Most cards — Everton FC28%——
Over 5.5 cards27%——
Under 2.5 cards19%——
Most cards — Tie19%——
Over 6.5 cards15%——
Any red card11%——
Aston Villa FC expected cards3%——
Everton FC expected cards2%——
2+ red cards1%——
CornersProbOddsEdge
Under 12.5 corners91%——
Under 11.5 corners84%——
Under 10.5 corners76%——
Under 9.5 corners65%——
Over 7.5 corners62%——
Most corners — Everton FC60%——
Under 8.5 corners52%——
Over 8.5 corners49%——
Under 7.5 corners38%——
Over 9.5 corners35%——
Most corners — Aston Villa FC28%——
Over 10.5 corners24%——
Over 11.5 corners16%——
Over 12.5 corners9%——
Everton FC expected corners5%——
Aston Villa FC expected corners4%——
FoulsProbOddsEdge
Under 24.5 fouls94%——
Under 23.5 fouls91%——
Under 22.5 fouls87%——
Under 21.5 fouls82%——
Under 20.5 fouls75%——
Under 19.5 fouls67%——
Most fouls — Aston Villa FC59%——
Over 19.5 fouls33%——
Most fouls — Everton FC32%——
Over 20.5 fouls25%——
Over 21.5 fouls19%——
Over 22.5 fouls13%——
Over 23.5 fouls9%——
Over 24.5 fouls6%——
GoalscorersProbOddsEdge
Player to score or assist — Thierno Barry (Everton)50%——
Player anytime scorer — Thierno Barry (Everton)47%——
Player to score or assist — Johan Manzambi (Aston Villa)35%——
Player to score or assist — Nicolas Jackson (Aston Villa)30%——
Player to score or assist — John McGinn (Aston Villa)27%——
Player anytime scorer — Johan Manzambi (Aston Villa)27%——
Player to score or assist — Brennan Johnson (Everton)24%——
Player to score or assist — Emiliano Buendía Stati (Aston Villa)23%——
Player to score or assist — Kiernan Dewsbury-Hall (Everton)23%——
Player anytime scorer — Nicolas Jackson (Aston Villa)23%——
Player anytime scorer — John McGinn (Aston Villa)22%——
Player to score or assist — Jack Grealish (Everton)20%——
Player anytime scorer — Emiliano Buendía Stati (Aston Villa)19%——
Player anytime scorer — Brennan Johnson (Everton)18%——
Player anytime scorer — Kiernan Dewsbury-Hall (Everton)14%——
Player anytime scorer — Harrison Armstrong (Everton)7%——
Player cardsProbOddsEdge
Player carded — Brennan Johnson (Everton)31%——
Player carded — James Garner (Everton)25%——
Player carded — Harrison Armstrong (Everton)23%——
Player carded — Emiliano Buendía Stati (Aston Villa)23%——
Player carded — Nicolas Jackson (Aston Villa)21%——
Player carded — John McGinn (Aston Villa)19%——
Player carded — Johan Manzambi (Aston Villa)18%——
Player carded — Vitalii Mykolenko (Everton)17%——