Manchester City FC v Leeds United FC
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Manchester City FC v Leeds United FC
Recommended bet
Over 1.5 goals
Total goals
De-vigged fair price from the marketLow
Win probability78%
Implied (with margin)78%
Model edge—
Odds1.28 2/7
All markets
Model-only estimates · 172 markets
Match winnerProbOddsEdge
Double chance — Manchester City FC or Leeds United FC72%——
Double chance — Manchester City FC or Draw69%——
Double chance — Leeds United FC or Draw59%——
Draw no bet — Manchester City FC57%——
Draw no bet — Leeds United FC43%——
Manchester City FC to win41%——
Leeds United FC to win31%——
Draw28%——
GoalsProbOddsEdge
Under 5.5 goals94%——
Over 0.5 goals92%——
Under 4.5 goals85%——
Over 1.5 goals78%——
Under 3.5 goals70%——
BTTS — Yes57%——
Over 2.5 goals52%——
Under 2.5 goals48%——
Goals range — 2-3 goals48%——
BTTS Yes + Over 2.544%——
BTTS — No43%——
Over 3.5 goals30%——
Goals range — 4-6 goals28%——
Under 1.5 goals22%——
Goals range — 0-1 goals22%——
Over 4.5 goals15%——
BTTS Yes + Under 2.514%——
Under 0.5 goals8%——
Over 5.5 goals6%——
Goals range — 7+ goals2%——
Score & marginProbOddsEdge
Both score no draw37%——
Leeds United FC to score 136%——
Manchester City FC to score 134%——
Winning margin — Draw28%——
Leeds United FC to score 028%——
Manchester City FC clean sheet28%——
Manchester City FC to score 225%——
Leeds United FC to score 223%——
Manchester City FC to score 022%——
Leeds United FC clean sheet22%——
Manchester City FC win to nil20%——
Winning margin — Manchester City FC by 120%——
Manchester City FC to score 3+19%——
Winning margin — Leeds United FC by 117%——
Leeds United FC win to nil15%——
Leeds United FC to score 3+14%——
Correct score 1-114%——
Winning margin — Manchester City FC by 213%——
Winning margin — Leeds United FC by 29%——
Correct score 2-19%——
Correct score 1-08%——
Correct score 0-08%——
Correct score 1-28%——
Correct score 2-07%——
Correct score 0-16%——
Correct score 2-26%——
Winning margin — Manchester City FC by 36%——
Correct score 0-25%——
Correct score 3-15%——
Winning margin — Leeds United FC by 33%——
Winning margin — Manchester City FC by 42%——
Winning margin — Leeds United FC by 41%——
Winning margin — Manchester City FC by 5+1%——
Winning margin — Leeds United FC by 5+0%——
HalvesProbOddsEdge
1st Half Under 2.5 goals88%——
1st Half Over 0.5 goals70%——
1st Half Under 1.5 goals66%——
Manchester City FC to win either half56%——
Leeds United FC to win either half47%——
Half with most goals — 2nd43%——
1st Half result — Draw42%——
1st Half Over 1.5 goals34%——
1st Half result — Manchester City FC32%——
Half with most goals — 1st31%——
1st Half Under 0.5 goals30%——
Manchester City FC to score in both halves27%——
1st Half result — Leeds United FC26%——
Half with most goals — Equal26%——
HT/FT Manchester City FC / Manchester City FC25%——
Leeds United FC to score in both halves21%——
HT/FT Leeds United FC / Leeds United FC19%——
HT/FT Draw / Draw15%——
HT/FT Draw / Manchester City FC15%——
1st Half Over 2.5 goals12%——
HT/FT Draw / Leeds United FC12%——
Manchester City FC to win both halves11%——
Leeds United FC to win both halves7%——
HT/FT Leeds United FC / Draw5%——
HT/FT Manchester City FC / Draw5%——
HT/FT Leeds United FC / Manchester City FC2%——
HT/FT Manchester City FC / Leeds United FC2%——
HandicapsProbOddsEdge
Handicap — Manchester City FC +2.595%——
Handicap — Leeds United FC -2.592%——
Handicap — Manchester City FC +1.586%——
Handicap — Leeds United FC -1.579%——
Handicap — Manchester City FC +0.569%——
Handicap — Leeds United FC -0.559%——
Handicap — Manchester City FC -0.541%——
Handicap — Leeds United FC +0.531%——
Handicap — Manchester City FC -1.521%——
Handicap — Leeds United FC +1.514%——
Handicap — Manchester City FC -2.58%——
Handicap — Leeds United FC +2.55%——
CardsProbOddsEdge
Under 6.5 cards98%——
Under 5.5 cards93%——
Under 4.5 cards85%——
Under 3.5 cards69%——
Most cards — Leeds United FC66%——
Over 2.5 cards54%——
Under 2.5 cards47%——
Over 3.5 cards31%——
Most cards — Tie20%——
Over 4.5 cards16%——
Most cards — Manchester City FC14%——
Any red card11%——
Over 5.5 cards7%——
Over 6.5 cards3%——
Leeds United FC expected cards2%——
Manchester City FC expected cards1%——
2+ red cards1%——
CornersProbOddsEdge
Over 7.5 corners79%——
Under 12.5 corners78%——
Under 11.5 corners68%——
Over 8.5 corners68%——
Most corners — Manchester City FC67%——
Under 10.5 corners57%——
Over 9.5 corners56%——
Under 9.5 corners44%——
Over 10.5 corners43%——
Under 8.5 corners32%——
Over 11.5 corners32%——
Most corners — Leeds United FC22%——
Over 12.5 corners22%——
Under 7.5 corners21%——
Manchester City FC expected corners6%——
Leeds United FC expected corners4%——
FoulsProbOddsEdge
Over 19.5 fouls86%——
Over 20.5 fouls80%——
Over 21.5 fouls74%——
Over 22.5 fouls67%——
Over 23.5 fouls59%——
Most fouls — Leeds United FC54%——
Over 24.5 fouls51%——
Under 24.5 fouls49%——
Under 23.5 fouls41%——
Most fouls — Manchester City FC38%——
Under 22.5 fouls33%——
Under 21.5 fouls26%——
Under 20.5 fouls20%——
Under 19.5 fouls14%——
GoalscorersProbOddsEdge
Player to score or assist — Phil Foden (Man City)56%——
Player to score or assist — Erling Haaland (Man City)49%——
Player anytime scorer — Erling Haaland (Man City)45%——
Player to score or assist — Rayan Cherki (Man City)40%——
Player to score or assist — Jérémy Doku (Man City)39%——
Player anytime scorer — Phil Foden (Man City)38%——
Player to score or assist — Dominic Calvert-Lewin (Leeds)33%——
Player anytime scorer — Dominic Calvert-Lewin (Leeds)31%——
Player anytime scorer — Rayan Cherki (Man City)23%——
Player to score or assist — Noah Okafor (Leeds)18%——
Player anytime scorer — Enzo Fernández (Man City)17%——
Player to score or assist — Tanaka Ao (Leeds)15%——
Player anytime scorer — Tanaka Ao (Leeds)14%——
Player anytime scorer — Noah Okafor (Leeds)13%——
Player to score or assist — Anton Stach (Leeds)11%——
Player anytime scorer — Anton Stach (Leeds)8%——
Player cardsProbOddsEdge
Player carded — Ethan Ampadu (Leeds)28%——
Player carded — Jayden Bogle (Leeds)24%——
Player carded — Rayan Cherki (Man City)23%——
Player carded — Dominic Calvert-Lewin (Leeds)23%——
Player carded — Tanaka Ao (Leeds)21%——
Player carded — Nico O'Reilly (Man City)19%——
Player carded — Phil Foden (Man City)19%——
Player carded — Elliot Anderson (Man City)17%——