Newcastle United FC v Manchester United FC
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Newcastle United FC v Manchester United FC
Recommended bet
Over 1.5 goals
Total goals
De-vigged fair price from the marketLow
Win probability78%
Implied (with margin)78%
Model edge—
Odds1.28 2/7
All markets
Model-only estimates · 172 markets
Match winnerProbOddsEdge
Double chance — Newcastle United FC or Manchester United FC72%——
Double chance — Newcastle United FC or Draw71%——
Draw no bet — Newcastle United FC59%——
Double chance — Manchester United FC or Draw57%——
Newcastle United FC to win43%——
Draw no bet — Manchester United FC41%——
Manchester United FC to win29%——
Draw28%——
GoalsProbOddsEdge
Under 5.5 goals94%——
Over 0.5 goals92%——
Under 4.5 goals85%——
Over 1.5 goals78%——
Under 3.5 goals70%——
BTTS — Yes57%——
Over 2.5 goals52%——
Under 2.5 goals48%——
Goals range — 2-3 goals48%——
BTTS Yes + Over 2.544%——
BTTS — No43%——
Over 3.5 goals30%——
Goals range — 4-6 goals28%——
Under 1.5 goals22%——
Goals range — 0-1 goals22%——
Over 4.5 goals15%——
BTTS Yes + Under 2.513%——
Under 0.5 goals8%——
Over 5.5 goals6%——
Goals range — 7+ goals2%——
Score & marginProbOddsEdge
Both score no draw37%——
Manchester United FC to score 136%——
Newcastle United FC to score 133%——
Manchester United FC to score 029%——
Newcastle United FC clean sheet29%——
Winning margin — Draw28%——
Newcastle United FC to score 225%——
Manchester United FC to score 222%——
Newcastle United FC to score 022%——
Manchester United FC clean sheet22%——
Newcastle United FC win to nil21%——
Winning margin — Newcastle United FC by 121%——
Newcastle United FC to score 3+20%——
Winning margin — Manchester United FC by 116%——
Manchester United FC win to nil14%——
Correct score 1-113%——
Winning margin — Newcastle United FC by 213%——
Manchester United FC to score 3+13%——
Correct score 2-19%——
Winning margin — Manchester United FC by 29%——
Correct score 1-08%——
Correct score 0-08%——
Correct score 2-07%——
Correct score 1-27%——
Correct score 0-16%——
Winning margin — Newcastle United FC by 36%——
Correct score 2-26%——
Correct score 0-25%——
Correct score 3-15%——
Winning margin — Manchester United FC by 33%——
Winning margin — Newcastle United FC by 42%——
Winning margin — Manchester United FC by 41%——
Winning margin — Newcastle United FC by 5+1%——
Winning margin — Manchester United FC by 5+0%——
HalvesProbOddsEdge
1st Half Under 2.5 goals88%——
1st Half Over 0.5 goals70%——
1st Half Under 1.5 goals66%——
Newcastle United FC to win either half57%——
Manchester United FC to win either half45%——
Half with most goals — 2nd43%——
1st Half result — Draw42%——
1st Half Over 1.5 goals34%——
1st Half result — Newcastle United FC33%——
Half with most goals — 1st31%——
1st Half Under 0.5 goals30%——
Newcastle United FC to score in both halves27%——
HT/FT Newcastle United FC / Newcastle United FC26%——
Half with most goals — Equal26%——
1st Half result — Manchester United FC25%——
Manchester United FC to score in both halves20%——
HT/FT Manchester United FC / Manchester United FC18%——
HT/FT Draw / Draw15%——
HT/FT Draw / Newcastle United FC15%——
1st Half Over 2.5 goals12%——
Newcastle United FC to win both halves12%——
HT/FT Draw / Manchester United FC11%——
Manchester United FC to win both halves7%——
HT/FT Manchester United FC / Draw5%——
HT/FT Newcastle United FC / Draw5%——
HT/FT Manchester United FC / Newcastle United FC3%——
HT/FT Newcastle United FC / Manchester United FC2%——
HandicapsProbOddsEdge
Handicap — Newcastle United FC +2.596%——
Handicap — Manchester United FC -2.591%——
Handicap — Newcastle United FC +1.587%——
Handicap — Manchester United FC -1.578%——
Handicap — Newcastle United FC +0.571%——
Handicap — Manchester United FC -0.557%——
Handicap — Newcastle United FC -0.543%——
Handicap — Manchester United FC +0.529%——
Handicap — Newcastle United FC -1.522%——
Handicap — Manchester United FC +1.513%——
Handicap — Newcastle United FC -2.59%——
Handicap — Manchester United FC +2.54%——
CardsProbOddsEdge
Over 2.5 cards93%——
Over 3.5 cards83%——
Over 4.5 cards69%——
Under 6.5 cards64%——
Over 5.5 cards52%——
Under 5.5 cards48%——
Most cards — Newcastle United FC43%——
Most cards — Manchester United FC40%——
Over 6.5 cards36%——
Under 4.5 cards31%——
Any red card20%——
Under 3.5 cards17%——
Most cards — Tie17%——
Under 2.5 cards7%——
Newcastle United FC expected cards3%——
Manchester United FC expected cards3%——
2+ red cards2%——
CornersProbOddsEdge
Over 7.5 corners92%——
Over 8.5 corners86%——
Over 9.5 corners78%——
Over 10.5 corners68%——
Over 11.5 corners56%——
Under 12.5 corners55%——
Over 12.5 corners45%——
Most corners — Newcastle United FC44%——
Most corners — Manchester United FC44%——
Under 11.5 corners44%——
Under 10.5 corners32%——
Under 9.5 corners22%——
Under 8.5 corners14%——
Under 7.5 corners8%——
Newcastle United FC expected corners6%——
Manchester United FC expected corners6%——
FoulsProbOddsEdge
Under 24.5 fouls73%——
Over 19.5 fouls67%——
Under 23.5 fouls66%——
Over 20.5 fouls59%——
Under 22.5 fouls58%——
Over 21.5 fouls50%——
Under 21.5 fouls50%——
Most fouls — Newcastle United FC46%——
Most fouls — Manchester United FC46%——
Over 22.5 fouls42%——
Under 20.5 fouls41%——
Over 23.5 fouls34%——
Under 19.5 fouls33%——
Over 24.5 fouls27%——
GoalscorersProbOddsEdge
Player to score or assist — Bryan Mbeumo (Man Utd)40%——
Player to score or assist — Bruno Borges Fernandes (Man Utd)38%——
Player anytime scorer — Bryan Mbeumo (Man Utd)32%——
Player to score or assist — Yoane Wissa (Newcastle)31%——
Player anytime scorer — Yoane Wissa (Newcastle)30%——
Player anytime scorer — Bruno Borges Fernandes (Man Utd)27%——
Player to score or assist — Matheus Santos Carneiro da Cunha (Man Utd)26%——
Player to score or assist — Anthony Elanga (Newcastle)24%——
Player to score or assist — Harvey Barnes (Newcastle)23%——
Player to score or assist — Jacob Murphy (Newcastle)21%——
Player to score or assist — Amad Diallo (Man Utd)21%——
Player anytime scorer — Harvey Barnes (Newcastle)17%——
Player anytime scorer — Amad Diallo (Man Utd)17%——
Player anytime scorer — Joe Willock (Newcastle)16%——
Player anytime scorer — William Osula (Newcastle)16%——
Player anytime scorer — Matheus Santos Carneiro da Cunha (Man Utd)15%——
Player cardsProbOddsEdge
Player carded — Jacob Murphy (Newcastle)41%——
Player carded — Andrey Nascimento dos Santos (Man Utd)37%——
Player carded — Nico González Iglesias (Newcastle)33%——
Player carded — Harry Maguire (Man Utd)31%——
Player carded — Yoane Wissa (Newcastle)27%——
Player carded — Dan Burn (Newcastle)24%——
Player carded — Diogo Dalot Teixeira (Man Utd)21%——
Player carded — Bruno Borges Fernandes (Man Utd)19%——