AFC Bournemouth v Brighton & Hove Albion FC
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AFC Bournemouth v Brighton & Hove Albion FC
Recommended bet
Over 1.5 goals
Total goals
De-vigged fair price from the marketLow
Win probability78%
Implied (with margin)78%
Model edge—
Odds1.28 2/7
All markets
Model-only estimates · 172 markets
Match winnerProbOddsEdge
Double chance — AFC Bournemouth or Brighton & Hove Albion FC72%——
Double chance — Brighton & Hove Albion FC or Draw68%——
Double chance — AFC Bournemouth or Draw61%——
Draw no bet — Brighton & Hove Albion FC55%——
Draw no bet — AFC Bournemouth45%——
Brighton & Hove Albion FC to win40%——
AFC Bournemouth to win32%——
Draw29%——
GoalsProbOddsEdge
Under 5.5 goals94%——
Over 0.5 goals92%——
Under 4.5 goals85%——
Over 1.5 goals78%——
Under 3.5 goals70%——
BTTS — Yes58%——
Over 2.5 goals52%——
Under 2.5 goals48%——
Goals range — 2-3 goals48%——
BTTS Yes + Over 2.544%——
BTTS — No43%——
Over 3.5 goals30%——
Goals range — 4-6 goals28%——
Under 1.5 goals22%——
Goals range — 0-1 goals22%——
Over 4.5 goals15%——
BTTS Yes + Under 2.514%——
Under 0.5 goals8%——
Over 5.5 goals6%——
Goals range — 7+ goals2%——
Score & marginProbOddsEdge
Both score no draw37%——
AFC Bournemouth to score 135%——
Brighton & Hove Albion FC to score 134%——
Winning margin — Draw29%——
AFC Bournemouth to score 027%——
Brighton & Hove Albion FC clean sheet27%——
Brighton & Hove Albion FC to score 225%——
Brighton & Hove Albion FC to score 023%——
AFC Bournemouth clean sheet23%——
AFC Bournemouth to score 223%——
Winning margin — Brighton & Hove Albion FC by 120%——
Brighton & Hove Albion FC win to nil19%——
Brighton & Hove Albion FC to score 3+18%——
Winning margin — AFC Bournemouth by 117%——
AFC Bournemouth win to nil15%——
AFC Bournemouth to score 3+14%——
Correct score 1-114%——
Winning margin — Brighton & Hove Albion FC by 212%——
Winning margin — AFC Bournemouth by 210%——
Correct score 1-29%——
Correct score 0-08%——
Correct score 2-18%——
Correct score 0-18%——
Correct score 0-27%——
Correct score 1-07%——
Correct score 2-26%——
Correct score 2-05%——
Winning margin — Brighton & Hove Albion FC by 35%——
Correct score 1-34%——
Winning margin — AFC Bournemouth by 34%——
Winning margin — Brighton & Hove Albion FC by 42%——
Winning margin — AFC Bournemouth by 41%——
Winning margin — Brighton & Hove Albion FC by 5+1%——
Winning margin — AFC Bournemouth by 5+0%——
HalvesProbOddsEdge
1st Half Under 2.5 goals88%——
1st Half Over 0.5 goals70%——
1st Half Under 1.5 goals66%——
Brighton & Hove Albion FC to win either half55%——
AFC Bournemouth to win either half48%——
Half with most goals — 2nd43%——
1st Half result — Draw42%——
1st Half Over 1.5 goals34%——
1st Half result — Brighton & Hove Albion FC31%——
Half with most goals — 1st31%——
1st Half Under 0.5 goals30%——
1st Half result — AFC Bournemouth27%——
Brighton & Hove Albion FC to score in both halves26%——
Half with most goals — Equal26%——
HT/FT Brighton & Hove Albion FC / Brighton & Hove Albion FC24%——
AFC Bournemouth to score in both halves22%——
HT/FT AFC Bournemouth / AFC Bournemouth19%——
HT/FT Draw / Draw15%——
HT/FT Draw / Brighton & Hove Albion FC14%——
1st Half Over 2.5 goals12%——
HT/FT Draw / AFC Bournemouth12%——
Brighton & Hove Albion FC to win both halves11%——
AFC Bournemouth to win both halves8%——
HT/FT Brighton & Hove Albion FC / Draw5%——
HT/FT AFC Bournemouth / Draw5%——
HT/FT AFC Bournemouth / Brighton & Hove Albion FC2%——
HT/FT Brighton & Hove Albion FC / AFC Bournemouth2%——
HandicapsProbOddsEdge
Handicap — Brighton & Hove Albion FC -2.595%——
Handicap — AFC Bournemouth +2.592%——
Handicap — Brighton & Hove Albion FC -1.585%——
Handicap — AFC Bournemouth +1.580%——
Handicap — Brighton & Hove Albion FC -0.568%——
Handicap — AFC Bournemouth +0.561%——
Handicap — Brighton & Hove Albion FC +0.540%——
Handicap — AFC Bournemouth -0.532%——
Handicap — Brighton & Hove Albion FC +1.520%——
Handicap — AFC Bournemouth -1.515%——
Handicap — Brighton & Hove Albion FC +2.58%——
Handicap — AFC Bournemouth -2.55%——
CardsProbOddsEdge
Over 2.5 cards89%——
Over 3.5 cards76%——
Under 6.5 cards73%——
Over 4.5 cards60%——
Under 5.5 cards58%——
Most cards — AFC Bournemouth52%——
Over 5.5 cards42%——
Under 4.5 cards41%——
Most cards — Brighton & Hove Albion FC31%——
Over 6.5 cards27%——
Under 3.5 cards24%——
Most cards — Tie17%——
Under 2.5 cards11%——
Any red card11%——
AFC Bournemouth expected cards3%——
Brighton & Hove Albion FC expected cards2%——
2+ red cards1%——
CornersProbOddsEdge
Under 12.5 corners84%——
Under 11.5 corners76%——
Over 7.5 corners73%——
Under 10.5 corners65%——
Over 8.5 corners60%——
Under 9.5 corners53%——
Most corners — Brighton & Hove Albion FC48%——
Over 9.5 corners47%——
Under 8.5 corners40%——
Most corners — AFC Bournemouth39%——
Over 10.5 corners35%——
Under 7.5 corners27%——
Over 11.5 corners24%——
Over 12.5 corners16%——
Brighton & Hove Albion FC expected corners5%——
AFC Bournemouth expected corners5%——
FoulsProbOddsEdge
Over 19.5 fouls93%——
Over 20.5 fouls90%——
Over 21.5 fouls86%——
Over 22.5 fouls81%——
Over 23.5 fouls75%——
Over 24.5 fouls68%——
Most fouls — AFC Bournemouth50%——
Most fouls — Brighton & Hove Albion FC43%——
Under 24.5 fouls32%——
Under 23.5 fouls25%——
Under 22.5 fouls19%——
Under 21.5 fouls14%——
Under 20.5 fouls10%——
Under 19.5 fouls7%——
GoalscorersProbOddsEdge
Player to score or assist — Marcus Tavernier (Bournemouth)40%——
Player to score or assist — Malick Yalcouyé (Brighton)38%——
Player to score or assist — Francisco Evanilson de Lima Barbosa (Bournemouth)37%——
Player anytime scorer — Marcus Tavernier (Bournemouth)31%——
Player to score or assist — Ryan Christie (Bournemouth)30%——
Player to score or assist — Pascal Groß (Brighton)30%——
Player anytime scorer — Francisco Evanilson de Lima Barbosa (Bournemouth)30%——
Player anytime scorer — Malick Yalcouyé (Brighton)29%——
Player to score or assist — Rayan Vitor Simplício Rocha (Bournemouth)25%——
Player to score or assist — Charalampos Kostoulas (Brighton)25%——
Player anytime scorer — Charalampos Kostoulas (Brighton)24%——
Player to score or assist — Yasin Ayari (Brighton)23%——
Player anytime scorer — Rayan Vitor Simplício Rocha (Bournemouth)21%——
Player anytime scorer — Justin Kluivert (Bournemouth)21%——
Player anytime scorer — Yasin Ayari (Brighton)20%——
Player anytime scorer — Pascal Groß (Brighton)19%——
Player cardsProbOddsEdge
Player carded — Ryan Christie (Bournemouth)48%——
Player carded — Lewis Cook (Bournemouth)35%——
Player carded — Pascal Groß (Brighton)32%——
Player carded — José María Andrés Baixauli (Brighton)31%——
Player carded — Tyler Adams (Bournemouth)30%——
Player carded — Olivier Boscagli (Brighton)28%——
Player carded — Maxim De Cuyper (Brighton)26%——
Player carded — Marcus Tavernier (Bournemouth)26%——